It's really difficult to predict sales for these more niche titles, because you never know which one is going to unexpectedly catch on. Triangle Strategy feels like the kind of title that has a ceiling somewhere between 1.5 and 2 million at most, but it could also have really good legs and end up selling a lot more. I'm quite certain I'll get it eventually as well, but probably not any time soon.

Probably less than 2 millions.

Have the game but haven’t started due to a huge backlog.

And Octopath traveler only released on switch/PC/Xbox.

Around 2 mil I think.

I would say 1.5 million is kind of the maximum. It's a great game, but there's nothing about it that I think would make it perform that much better than other games in this mostly niche genre.

I think the actual number will be like 1.2. And, for an SRPG that likely didn't have a tremendous budget on a single console, that's pretty darn good.  

I think it can just barely make it to 2m.

Keep in mind, strategy games are bigger on Switch than any other dedicated gaming console in history - in terms of game volume, it’s to the point where there are “Top 20 Strategy RPGs on Nintendo Switch” lists. The potential is higher, and while it’s not the best strategy RPG on the console (maybe not even too 10), it might be the first or second most popular (next to Fire Emblem Three Houses) thanks to Square’s marketing and branding. And it might actually sell fairly close to the Fire Emblem game - currently 3 million.

Id say it can crawl to 1.5 million on Switch.

No idea, but the game is really good.

This game seems to have good word of mouth, so I'll say it can reach 1.5M.

Not sure if it can reach 2M, the games in this genre that sell more then that tend to have social elements, like the ones in Fire Emblem 3H (or pairing characters like in Fire Emblem Awakening) aka no waifus no 2M+.

Im so bad with predictions. 1.5 million is my guess. Octopath Traveler's last official numbers for Switch were 1.9 million right?

BQ: I'm cheating here, I haven't played it yet. It was on my maybe list, but since its reception from youtubers (ie: PlayerEssence, Rogersbase), it has moved to a definite future purchase. It looks too good to pass up on.