To much doom and gloom against the switch now, ninty could suprise us with a pricecut, dont think they would increase it that would be insane.

The ps2 sold quit a lot at a crawl to, so can switch.

We will have to wait and see. Obviously during SW2 launchtime the SW1 family takes a hit. Logistics and retail was fully focused on SW2. When things normalize a bit, let's see what happens to SW1. We still have first party SW1 games coming out 2026 for example.

I see people are overreacting because of a limited sample size of sales data from Japan.

Nintendo forecasted a ~60% drop in global shipments for the current fiscal year. Famitsu sell-through for CQ2 was 668k in 2024, it's going to be just short of 300k in 2025, resulting in a drop of ~55%. Of course the yoy drops have been more severe since the launch of Switch 2, but the caveat here is that Japan happens to be the country which has the fastest generational transitions for Nintendo systems, so extrapolation to global sales isn't the best idea.

It has been talked about in this thread repeatedly that the OLED model will take a huge hit after Switch 2 is out, and that's exactly what's happening. Since Switch 2 launch:

Week 1: OLED responsibly for 29k of 35k yoy decline.
Week 2: 20k of 25k.
Week 3: 21k of 26k.

This has turned the Switch SKU sales contest from a no-brainer win for the OLED each and every week to an actual contest that the Lite has won the last two weeks. Sure, total weekly Switch sales are low, but the figures are hardly deviating from what was expected all along.

You say it as if this 2-million-gap were something coming from Nintendo, but I actually see it more like a VGChartz thing. Most of the time, when quarter number releases, the difference between shipments and sold units are less than 2 million. After the release, the sold numbers are adjusted downwards and the gap goes back to 2 million. The question is not how long Nintendo will mantain this 2 million gap between shipments and units sold, is how long VGChartz will keep mantaing it

Nintendo did reveal "global sell-through approaching 150 million units" for the Switch 1 for the quarter ending March 31, 2025. So we have sell-through a hair below 150 million. That does mean the gap between shipped and sell-through is at least a little over 2.12 million as of March 31. Unless Nintendo states otherwise we plan to start shrinking the gap from here on out.

Page 12 - https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2025/250508_5e.pdf

Hmmm, I see. I've never seen hardware sales information in these quarterly reports before. Are they frequent, or this was an one-off exception?

It's a rare occurrence, but it has happened before. 

It's getting a price INCREASE in Canada on August 1st. 

Looks Like Nintendo Will Raise Its Prices in Canada — but for Switch 1 and Nintendo Switch Online Subscriptions, Rather Than Switch 2 - IGN

Definitely need that Switch Lite TV edition (maybe even with a chord controller) as a cheaper alternative... Price increase after all this time is insane especially when Canadian prices are already high :(

The gap will shrink sure but they've forecasted 156.6m by the end of March next year so it's for sure going to sell over that much by the time it's discontinued.

The generation transition part is a good point but it doesn't have to have declined as much in the Americas and Europe the past few weeks for its total weekly sales to start getting low. The main thing is they need to exceed the forecast to still have a real shot of getting there but so far things aren't looking great for that scenario.

For the bolded is it really not notably quicker than you expected at all? Cause looking at how the DS and 3DS sold in Japan for the first stretch post their successors the Switch's decline lately really has been fast, faster than the DS even so far. Admittedly it is early but I was expecting it to be a fair amount slower than that.