The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[trunkswd]

CourageTCD said:

XtremeBG said:

Yeah, but by the time it reach it with sales numbers, it's shipments will slow to a crawl, and it will be very close to the sold units, since from now on the gap will only close between the two. They can't maintain 2M gap or even 1.5M with sales of 60-80k per week and 500-600k per quarter. It's starting to get real ugly. I won't be surprised if we have like 0.5M shipment units for the next two quarters in order to decrease the gap of shipped vs sold.

You say it as if this 2-million-gap were something coming from Nintendo, but I actually see it more like a VGChartz thing. Most of the time, when quarter number releases, the difference between shipments and sold units are less than 2 million. After the release, the sold numbers are adjusted downwards and the gap goes back to 2 million. The question is not how long Nintendo will mantain this 2 million gap between shipments and units sold, is how long VGChartz will keep mantaing it

Nintendo did reveal "global sell-through approaching 150 million units" for the Switch 1 for the quarter ending March 31, 2025. So we have sell-through a hair below 150 million. That does mean the gap between shipped and sell-through is at least a little over 2.12 million as of March 31. Unless Nintendo states otherwise we plan to start shrinking the gap from here on out.

Page 12 - https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2025/250508_5e.pdf