no numbers yet :(

Extrapolated ranges from ResetEra prediction results (Donny who runs the thread has actuals but cannot disclose them).

VGChartz estimates pre-adjustment:

NSW - 879,121

PS5 - 396,095

XBS - 252,046

Hopefully we get concrete leaks one day, but the above is the best we have so far.  Crazy month for PS5 and NSW.

Yes, expecting sales in the 10-12M range (after 9M in 2020).  High-end achievable if they supply a healthy amount of this upcoming revision (which I believe is an Ampere based device).  YoY the Switch is already up ~350K and after it loses the April battle to 2020, it will have favorable comparisons starting mid-May through August.  I expect May to be +0-10%, Jun/Jul to both be up >50%, and August to be +0-10% again.

If the Pro ends up being in short supply during the holidays, then next year holds up as another 9-11M year.  If its ample, next year drops to 7-9M.  

Crazy how despite vgchartz estimating crazy sales numbers for the Switch every time, the Switch seems to always exceed their estimates expectations every time! Shows how crazy dominant the Switch is right now and will be for years to come.

However, the Switch may possibly deal with some shortages later in 2021 as a result of the semiconductor shortages thats been plaguing the tech industry since the pandemic started. Nintendo's president Shuntaro Furukawa recently stated that Nintendo is able to fulfill Switch demand for now but said that the Switch may deal with some shortages later in 2021 due to the ongoing semiconductor shortage. So that might prevent 2021 from overtopping 2020 if Nintendo can't meet demand due to shortages. We have to keep this possibility in mid when making our 2021 sales prediction. Because of that, I expect the Switch to pretty much remain flat YoY in 2021 and sell around 27-28M, but think switch could sell around 30M if Nintendo's able to meet demand. Really Nintendo's 2021 sales numbers will all depend on supply, not demand.

I don’t the stimulus check was really the reaason sales went up as high as they did. (Though they helped a bit)

Like everyone knows about the fact that all 3 currently sell everything they ship (Nintendo more so the OG model as I never see it at retail), and like you said 5week that avg jumped up from feb 4week by roughly 25-30%. Mar10 sales/MH Rise limited edition and release and of course the end of FY that probably made Nintendo ship out lot for March which demand still hasn’t been settled

Also I’m on the “stop using past trends” ship as NSW is literally doing its own thing which has never been seen before and add to the fact that this is Nintendo first system that is solely focused on instead of splitting resources like in the pasr

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sorry for being extremely late had a lot of work to do, gonna be free for the next months!
Thread update incoming

If someone can help me out here, - I know the PlayStation sells more than MS at times when there are no shortages, but with all the consoles currently selling out, why isn't MS able to manufacture as many consoles as Sony can? Any answers to this question would be greatly appreciated.

Have there been any updates as of late? I would definitely like to update my charts with more concrete numbers

Also whats with the discrepancy between the NPD estimates and VgChartz numbers? VgChartz lists March sales at 784k, have they already been adjusted?

Did you get fired ?