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Forums - Sony Discussion - How much units will the PS5 sell next year?

         

How much will the PS5 sell in 2021?

< 5M 3 $1,050.02 6.52%
 
5-7.5M 1 $5.00 2.17%
 
7.5M-10M 3 $161.00 6.52%
 
10M-12.5M 3 $1,220.00 6.52%
 
12.5M-15M 7 $1,102.00 15.22%
 
15M-17.5M 17 $6,386.00 36.96%
 
17.5M-20M 8 $1,962.00 17.39%
 
20M-22.5M 1 $1,000.00 2.17%
 
22.5M-25M 2 $550.00 4.35%
 
> 25M 1 $1.00 2.17%
 
 
Totals: 46 $13,437.02  
Game closed: 12/31/2020

As many as they can make



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Can't bet cause i spent my cash on another bet already, but i think 10M-12.5M



Too much depends on how much they can make and how much covid 19 will damage the making of them and the distribution and sales. The demand is there to sell millions, its just whether the state of the world let's it.



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DonFerrari said:
VideoGameAccountant said:

This isn't necessarily true. Scalpers are doing it because they perceive the product will be popular or at least in small enough supply.  Also, as others and myself have pointed out before, the launch window is never indicative of lifetime sales. They always do well at launch which is why you have scalpers (make a quick buck on those people that have to have it). They're actions aren't indicative of how actual popular the product is.

Sure launch window doesn't ensure lifetime sales. But if there wasn't demand from even scalped consoles they wouldn't be continuing to scalp even a month after release and we will see lack of availability probably until April.

What your describing is a situation where there is absolutely no demand. That's not what's happening here. Again, console launches always have high demand. For an extreme example, the Wii U sold about 3 million in it's first quarter despite only selling 13 million over a 4 year lifespan. There isn't going to be a drop in demand until after about January.



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PortisheadBiscuit said:
DonFerrari said:

From start this have only been a rumor and Sony have denied.

I can deny the sky is blue too...

Sure you can. But since rumor had 0 proof of what they were claiming don't know why you would take that as true in the first place.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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VideoGameAccountant said:
DonFerrari said:

Sure launch window doesn't ensure lifetime sales. But if there wasn't demand from even scalped consoles they wouldn't be continuing to scalp even a month after release and we will see lack of availability probably until April.

What your describing is a situation where there is absolutely no demand. That's not what's happening here. Again, console launches always have high demand. For an extreme example, the Wii U sold about 3 million in it's first quarter despite only selling 13 million over a 4 year lifespan. There isn't going to be a drop in demand until after about January.

And you were basically claiming that if not by scalpers PS5 wouldn't be sold out. Do you think PS5 will be anywhere near the performance of WiiU?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

VideoGameAccountant said:
DonFerrari said:

Sure launch window doesn't ensure lifetime sales. But if there wasn't demand from even scalped consoles they wouldn't be continuing to scalp even a month after release and we will see lack of availability probably until April.

What your describing is a situation where there is absolutely no demand. That's not what's happening here. Again, console launches always have high demand. For an extreme example, the Wii U sold about 3 million in it's first quarter despite only selling 13 million over a 4 year lifespan. There isn't going to be a drop in demand until after about January.

Although I generally agree with you about launches, using the WiiU as an example actually works against your point:  It shipped 3 million in its first quarter but it only sold through about 2 million of those units during that time (EDIT: actually 2.5m if you count its first 3 months), but by the end of December it was clear to retailers that WiiU was not going to hold any kind of launch momentum and it took Nintendo months to sell through the rest of that initial shipment.  Certainly nothing like the current demand for the PS5.

Last edited by archbrix - on 23 December 2020

archbrix said:
VideoGameAccountant said:

What your describing is a situation where there is absolutely no demand. That's not what's happening here. Again, console launches always have high demand. For an extreme example, the Wii U sold about 3 million in it's first quarter despite only selling 13 million over a 4 year lifespan. There isn't going to be a drop in demand until after about January.

Although I generally agree with you about launches, using the WiiU as an example actually works against your point:  It shipped 3 million in its first quarter but it only sold through about 2 million of those units during that time.  By the end of December it was clear to retailers that WiiU was not going to hold any kind of launch momentum and it took Nintendo months to sell through the rest of that initial shipment.  Certainly nothing like the current demand for the PS5.

This are the weekly sales of the WiiU, it seems like it took 30 weeks to sell 3 million

W#WeekUnitsTotal
111/24/2012472,099472,099
212/1/2012322,306794,405
312/8/2012532,2691,326,674
412/15/2012326,3221,652,996
512/22/2012318,6071,971,603
612/29/2012187,6312,159,234
71/5/2013118,5112,277,745
81/12/201345,7752,323,520
91/19/201335,1102,358,630
101/26/201331,3862,390,016
112/2/201334,1262,424,142
122/9/201333,8442,457,986
132/16/201335,9502,493,936
142/23/201332,8412,526,777
153/2/201327,6622,554,439
163/9/201326,5982,581,037
173/16/201326,3952,607,432
183/23/201350,1842,657,616
193/30/201360,7562,718,372
204/6/201341,6302,760,002
214/13/201331,3712,791,373
224/20/201330,0612,821,434
234/27/201327,8062,849,240
245/4/201329,3522,878,592
255/11/201323,6002,902,192
265/18/201321,2082,923,400
275/25/201322,3122,945,712
286/1/201322,0122,967,724
296/8/201320,3682,988,092
306/15/201319,3513,007,443


dmillos said:
archbrix said:

Although I generally agree with you about launches, using the WiiU as an example actually works against your point:  It shipped 3 million in its first quarter but it only sold through about 2 million of those units during that time.  By the end of December it was clear to retailers that WiiU was not going to hold any kind of launch momentum and it took Nintendo months to sell through the rest of that initial shipment.  Certainly nothing like the current demand for the PS5.

This are the weekly sales of the WiiU, it seems like it took 30 weeks to sell 3 million

W#WeekUnitsTotal
111/24/2012472,099472,099
212/1/2012322,306794,405
312/8/2012532,2691,326,674
412/15/2012326,3221,652,996
512/22/2012318,6071,971,603
612/29/2012187,6312,159,234
71/5/2013118,5112,277,745
81/12/201345,7752,323,520
91/19/201335,1102,358,630
101/26/201331,3862,390,016
112/2/201334,1262,424,142
122/9/201333,8442,457,986
132/16/201335,9502,493,936
142/23/201332,8412,526,777
153/2/201327,6622,554,439
163/9/201326,5982,581,037
173/16/201326,3952,607,432
183/23/201350,1842,657,616
193/30/201360,7562,718,372
204/6/201341,6302,760,002
214/13/201331,3712,791,373
224/20/201330,0612,821,434
234/27/201327,8062,849,240
245/4/201329,3522,878,592
255/11/201323,6002,902,192
265/18/201321,2082,923,400
275/25/201322,3122,945,712
286/1/201322,0122,967,724
296/8/201320,3682,988,092
306/15/201319,3513,007,443

Yeah, it was actually 2.5m for the first 3 months that @VGA referenced, but nearly 1m WiiU's still sitting on shelves at the end of launch year actually illustrates that console launches don't always have high demand.



DonFerrari said:
PortisheadBiscuit said:

I can deny the sky is blue too...

Sure you can. But since rumor had 0 proof of what they were claiming don't know why you would take that as true in the first place.

There's a fly in the ointment somewhere, stock levels don't seem to be anywhere near what they promised. Let's see if they actually get to 10 million shipped by March.