How much units will the PS5 sell next year?

[archbrix]

VideoGameAccountant said:

DonFerrari said:

Sure launch window doesn't ensure lifetime sales. But if there wasn't demand from even scalped consoles they wouldn't be continuing to scalp even a month after release and we will see lack of availability probably until April.

What your describing is a situation where there is absolutely no demand. That's not what's happening here. Again, console launches always have high demand. For an extreme example, the Wii U sold about 3 million in it's first quarter despite only selling 13 million over a 4 year lifespan. There isn't going to be a drop in demand until after about January.

Although I generally agree with you about launches, using the WiiU as an example actually works against your point:  It shipped 3 million in its first quarter but it only sold through about 2 million of those units during that time (EDIT: actually 2.5m if you count its first 3 months), but by the end of December it was clear to retailers that WiiU was not going to hold any kind of launch momentum and it took Nintendo months to sell through the rest of that initial shipment.  Certainly nothing like the current demand for the PS5.

Last edited by archbrix - on 23 December 2020