How much units will the PS5 sell next year?

[dmillos]

archbrix said:

VideoGameAccountant said:

What your describing is a situation where there is absolutely no demand. That's not what's happening here. Again, console launches always have high demand. For an extreme example, the Wii U sold about 3 million in it's first quarter despite only selling 13 million over a 4 year lifespan. There isn't going to be a drop in demand until after about January.

Although I generally agree with you about launches, using the WiiU as an example actually works against your point:  It shipped 3 million in its first quarter but it only sold through about 2 million of those units during that time.  By the end of December it was clear to retailers that WiiU was not going to hold any kind of launch momentum and it took Nintendo months to sell through the rest of that initial shipment.  Certainly nothing like the current demand for the PS5.

This are the weekly sales of the WiiU, it seems like it took 30 weeks to sell 3 million

W#	Week	Units	Total
1	11/24/2012	472,099	472,099
2	12/1/2012	322,306	794,405
3	12/8/2012	532,269	1,326,674
4	12/15/2012	326,322	1,652,996
5	12/22/2012	318,607	1,971,603
6	12/29/2012	187,631	2,159,234
7	1/5/2013	118,511	2,277,745
8	1/12/2013	45,775	2,323,520
9	1/19/2013	35,110	2,358,630
10	1/26/2013	31,386	2,390,016
11	2/2/2013	34,126	2,424,142
12	2/9/2013	33,844	2,457,986
13	2/16/2013	35,950	2,493,936
14	2/23/2013	32,841	2,526,777
15	3/2/2013	27,662	2,554,439
16	3/9/2013	26,598	2,581,037
17	3/16/2013	26,395	2,607,432
18	3/23/2013	50,184	2,657,616
19	3/30/2013	60,756	2,718,372
20	4/6/2013	41,630	2,760,002
21	4/13/2013	31,371	2,791,373
22	4/20/2013	30,061	2,821,434
23	4/27/2013	27,806	2,849,240
24	5/4/2013	29,352	2,878,592
25	5/11/2013	23,600	2,902,192
26	5/18/2013	21,208	2,923,400
27	5/25/2013	22,312	2,945,712
28	6/1/2013	22,012	2,967,724
29	6/8/2013	20,368	2,988,092
30	6/15/2013	19,351	3,007,443