By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - BOLD PREDICTION: PS5 and PS5D to be $399 and $349 respectively

Intrinsic said:

Funny enough, the fact sony upped shipments for the fiscal year (which in this case for the PS5 only covers Nov 2020 -March 2021, 4 months) from 6Mto 10M tells you they always planned on coming in at a price point that could sell units quickly. Mind you, it took sony almost 10 months to ship 10M PS4s, and they plan on shipping that many in 4 months.

Uh...no?

Production of the PS5 started somewhere around early to mid-June. From mid-June to end of March, it's over 9 months, so pretty much the same as the PS4. Sales start in late November and they better have something to sell by then (so units_are_ shipping right now).



Around the Network
PDF said:
The delay in price signals that they were originally high compared to the Xbox X. I bet we see a $499 PS5 and $399-$449 PS5 Digital.

Sony wouldn´t go for 599.99 again since Ps3 fiasco, no matter how you wanna spin it. 599 was not happening. Cerny even said they have a responsability of being cost effective to their massive userbase. 

399.99 & 449.99 are the likely prices for PlayStation 5. 

i can see 499.99e happening sure but that is the ceiling for Ps5 price. 



drkohler said:
Intrinsic said:

Funny enough, the fact sony upped shipments for the fiscal year (which in this case for the PS5 only covers Nov 2020 -March 2021, 4 months) from 6Mto 10M tells you they always planned on coming in at a price point that could sell units quickly. Mind you, it took sony almost 10 months to ship 10M PS4s, and they plan on shipping that many in 4 months.

Uh...no?

Production of the PS5 started somewhere around early to mid-June. From mid-June to end of March, it's over 9 months, so pretty much the same as the PS4. Sales start in late November and they better have something to sell by then (so units_are_ shipping right now).

Pls stop confusing yourself.

No one cars when production starts, what is tracked is how many shipments are done in any given quarter. In the first 2 quarters of the PS4's availability, (q3 + q4 2013/14 fiscal year, Oct 2013 - March 2014), sony was able to ship 7M PS4s in that timeframe. 

Sony is going to ship 10M PS5s in the same time frame. 

It took sony till the q1/q2 2014/15 (apr 2014 - sept 2014) to ship 10M PS4s because having sold through 10M PS4s was announced in August at GDC in 2014. Sony plans on achieving the same feat by March or April 2021.



I'm going to be honest, VGChartz has one of the worst way to do multiquote. I don't know why its so asinine here. 

Intrinsic said:

Words

counting only the 7th and 8th gen isn't a hall decent way to look define a "trend". Why not just count al the gens that the PS and Xbox has been on the market? Sony wom the 5th gen as a newcomer (no small feat by the way) went on stronger with the 6th gen, lost market share with the 7th gen (but still won though, however you wanna dismiss that), then came back stronger than ever with the 8th gen. The only trend that that should show you if you are being honest, is that it literally takes son to fuck up properly for MS to have a fighting chance. 

Is there any indication of that happening right now?

First off, Microsoft wasn't around in the 5th Generation, so it makes no sense comparing that. Even still, the 6th Generation (PS2) is the only time we've seen the prior competitor remain on top. That was about 15 years ago. Since then, we've seen a shift in who's on top. Sony was bested by Nintendo and Microsoft (and yes, I'm willing to say that because Sony's marginal lead was only a result of Microsoft being less competitive in certain countries. Wasn't even close in others). Sony was on top on Gen 8 and now we are looking at Gen 9 and if the pattern holds, we'll see Sony on the bottom. It's like if I were to point out how every president has been followed by one of the opposite party and you go "but but what about Reagan and Bush". 

Thats just deep man... and why I say you have a twisted way of looking at the industry. If all you see in sonys library of games are sequels then you aren't looking. But even if that were the case, gaming is a sequel heavy industry. But simply put, Sony has or will have seven, 8M - 10M+ selling IPs. U4, TLOU2, GTS, GoW, GoT, Spiderman, HZD, And of those 7 IPs, 3 are new IPs, 3 are sequels and one is a remake. And if I were to ad the 4-7M selling IPs to this list, which is where MS offering this gen resides in, then Sony has a shit ton more games there too. 

And MS does not have a single game that has sold up to 10M units all of this gen. Has not introduced a single new IP that has warranted a sequel (unless we count Ori), and somehow, you see sony as the one having cracks? And should you really be talking about sequels when comparing MS to sony? Think about that one.

And all those weaknesses you mentioned, are not weaknesses at all, and are things only the strongest platform can do and et away with. Why in God's name should sony announce the price first? What have the got to prove? Why should sony encourage crossplay? Do you think if MS was in sony's position they would allow crossplay? That you don't understand why MS pushed so hard for cross-play kinda tells me you haven't really given any of what you are saying much thought.

You can look at most of the titles on the PS5 and a lot of the big hitters coming from Sony are sequels. Horizon Zero Dawn, Rachet and Clank, Spiderman, even Sackboy and Astro's Lounge are part of the same series. The few original titles aren't going to do much (sorry, Bugsnax and Goodbye Volcano High aren't going to set the world on fire). Even their big surprise at the end is a remake of Demon Souls  It's hard not to look at the PS5 line-up and see that there are a lot of similar games to what was on PS5. Same old doesn't always work. You can look at New Super Mario U as an example. Keep in mind, New Super Mario Bros Wii sold over 30 million. Sequels alone aren't a recipe for success.

Also, got to love the "those weaknesses aren't weaknesses, their strengths." You might as well tell me Nintendo Switch Online is a strength with that logic. This is why people get annoyed with Sony fans because they can never criticize their preferred company, even when it was obviously a bad idea. 

Again... a twisted way of looking at the industry. I really hope you don't believe this. 

I've noticed you've used this term a lot in this discussion. Here you don't even bother to explain why I have a twisted view (my guess is because you can't). 

I don't think this comment warrants much of a response, so I'll keep it brief here. First, yes, management changes matter because those are the people who are calling the shots. Phil Spencer isn't going to make the same decisions that Don Mattrick will. Second, look up what a substitute in economics is. If your major selling point is sports game, than people may just leave for a better box that plays sports games.

You are the one making claims, the burden of proof lies with you. 

You really are looking or reading too much into this price nonsense. But here's one for you. MS talked about project scarlet at E3 2019. They showed the bloody hardware at the gams awards. They had a full-blown teardown in March 2020. The first time we saw anything pertaining the PS5 was in June. There were rumors that sony was not ready for next-gen and what not....

Do you know, that till this day, we have not seen a single game running on the Series X? And their flagship title (which is a sequel btw) was in such bad shape that it was pushed to next year. 

MS marketing with regards to next gen has been about making as much noise as possible. Empty noise if I might add. Sony's has been more deliberate and reserved, but when they talk people listen and they give a lot of info. It should tell you a lot that on the day MS announces the series S and pricing for both its consoles, its the PS5 (not the Xbox) that is trending on twitter. Or that the PS5 reveal trailer alone has over 35M views on youtube alone, vs 3M for the series S and 14M for the series X.

If this is sony struggling, then I am sure MS wishes they could be struggling too.

The burden of proof is not with me because I've pointed out examples where insider knowledge turned out to be true. It's with the Sony guys know to show that they are wrong. 

Also, your argument is silly because, let's be real, ALL of the games shown thus far have been running on high end PCs. This is why a lot of Sony's games look better in the promotional trailers than they actually do. Graphics and performance won't matter in the end anyway.

It's also a very fanboy thing to say that Sony's marketing has been "reserved". No, I wouldn't call Sony's lame GDC speech as "reserved". I wouldn't call the tepid Summer showcase "reserved". Sony's messaging looks disjointed. They are relying on their previous success to coast through with the PS5 which, as I laid out earlier, doesn't always work. Microsoft has been far more proactive. I wouldn't say everything they've done has been great, but it's hard to say they've done any worse than Sony. 

My personal opinion on this is that both systems will do well in the fall and then struggle thereafter as people look to cheaper alternatives to game as a result of the COVID induced recession. Microsoft is at least better poised for this scenario (with the $300 box) but they aren't immune. Nevertheless, I think the reason you think I have a "twisted" view is I don't worship the almighty Sony. You're post has just be lavishing praise on your preferred billion dollar corporation. You even go so far as to twist the censorship and crossplay issues as good things for Sony rather than blunders. In fact, I think this article from Business Insider illustrates this point very well and echos some of the things I was saying in this post. I think you are unable to look at Sony objectively, which is why you see what I'm saying as "twisted". 



Visit my site for more

Known as Smashchu in a former life

VideoGameAccountant said:

I'm going to be honest, VGChartz has one of the worst way to do multiquote. I don't know why its so asinine here. 

snip...

I am plenty objective friend... what  I find twisted about what you are saying, is that you are stating conjecture based on absolutely nothing tangible and what seems to entirely your personal preferences a fact. 

Case in point, to suggest that the "trend" is that leading platforms switch sides every new gen is just flat out ridiculous. There is a reason why everything happens, and fromlooking at what is happening,its very easy to dicern what willor could most likely hapen.

eg...

  • $599 PS3 in 2006 mostly due to sony building in a PS2 into every PS3 and them pushing the new Blu-ray format.
  • Coming out one year after the 360.
  • Complicated architecture that meant everything looks and ran better on the cheaper Xbox consoles.
  • Poor online network which was also lacking very important features. 

Those are the reasons the PS3 struggled, those are the seasons the PS3lost market share to MS. But even then, sony still managed to outsell the 360 for all but one year that both consoles were on the market.

Fast forward to 2020

  • sony is coming from its strongest gen ever.
  • PS has a healthy exhaustive list of multiple 10M selling first-party titles and a lot of other exclusive commercially successful third party titles. And that's not changed at all.
  • There isn't the hubris of them launching at $599 this time around either.
  • They have already announced games that people are excited for and is building a lot of hype.

None of that suggests that sony s somehow in some kinda bad shape or are dropping the ball or resting on their laurels. You may not be interested in their games/exclusives, but the stats don't lie. And i can't be bothered to list of just how many exclusive games sony has that has sold in the 5M - 12M range. And the simple fact of the matter is, we cannot say the same for Xbox.

Sony has a proven strategy, that has worked for them all of this gen and that they seem intent on doubling-down on with net gen. I mean, just look at the number of exclusives they have released this year alone so far. There is absolutely nothing about what sony has done so far to suggest that they are dropping the ball or about to be dethroned. Can you tell me a single thing MShas announced or talked about or shown tat has generated more engagement or traction that a lot of the things sony has said? That's not me being a fanboy, it's just me stating the obvious. Sony has the momentum, and until they do something stupid, or stop trying, then thy arent losing it.

Again, you don't have to like what they show or talk about, or hell... you don't even have to be impressed, but I can tell you this much, a LOT of people do like it and are impressed. A significantly lot more than seem to b interested in anything that has come out of the Xbox camp... and that's how you gauge interest and momentum.



Around the Network
Intrinsic said:
PDF said:
The delay in price signals that they were originally high compared to the Xbox X. I bet we see a $499 PS5 and $399-$449 PS5 Digital.

Nope. The delay in pricing doesn't mean anything of the sort.

That and even what MS was doing is just marketing strategy. Nothing more, nothing less. People are just reading more into it than they need to.

If the Xbox stuff didn't leak, chances are that MS would have kept holding out.

Whoever announces price first, shows their hand and concedes an advantage to whoever comes after.

Especially with both of them releasing two SKUs. MS wouldn't want to rice the XSS at $399, then be DOA the second soy prices the PS5D at $399 too. Sony would not want to price the PS5 at $499, only for MS to come at $449 or even $$399 with the XSX...etc. Its just chess.

Funny enough, the fact sony upped shipments for the fiscal year (which in this case for the PS5 only covers Nov 2020 -March 2021, 4 months) from6Mto 10M tells you they always planned on coming in at a price point that could sell units quickly. Mind you, it took sony almost 10 months to ship 10M PS4s, and they plan on shipping that many in 4 months. You don't do that if your price target is $499 and $599. And sony would know that all too well. This is actually why I am almost certain that at least one PS5 SKU will be $399. The only question is if the other SKU will be $449, $499 or $349.

I'd hafta assume Nvidia 3000 Series GPU's had something to do with the delay, even though Nvidia would have a general idea of what the consoles would cost for consumers. They wouldn't know exactly how much MS and SNY would subsidize them though. 

RDNA 2 Big Navi isn't out yet for AMD and that's what's in the consoles. The sooner Nvidia knew the console pricing, the sooner they would have a better idea of what Big Navi PC cards would cost. AMD wouldn't want that. 

Considering the XBSS 'leak' didn't happen until after the recent Nvidia 3000 announcement happened, which apparently MS planned for the week after the leak, it's not surprising. MS and SNY may have had to wait until a later date, or after Nvidia announced, one or the other. Since SNY was always going to wait for MS, now SNY can go. 



PS1   - ! - We must build a console that can alert our enemies.

PS2  - @- We must build a console that offers online living room gaming.

PS3   - #- We must build a console that’s powerful, social, costs and does everything.

PS4   - $- We must build a console that’s affordable, charges for services, and pumps out exclusives.

PRO  -%-We must build a console that's VR ready, checkerboard upscales, and sells but a fraction of the money printer.

PS5   - ^ -We must build a console that’s a generational cross product, with RT lighting, and price hiking.

PRO  -&- We must build a console that Super Res upscales and continues the cost increases.

EricHiggin said:
Intrinsic said:

Nope. The delay in pricing doesn't mean anything of the sort.

That and even what MS was doing is just marketing strategy. Nothing more, nothing less. People are just reading more into it than they need to.

If the Xbox stuff didn't leak, chances are that MS would have kept holding out.

Whoever announces price first, shows their hand and concedes an advantage to whoever comes after.

Especially with both of them releasing two SKUs. MS wouldn't want to rice the XSS at $399, then be DOA the second soy prices the PS5D at $399 too. Sony would not want to price the PS5 at $499, only for MS to come at $449 or even $$399 with the XSX...etc. Its just chess.

Funny enough, the fact sony upped shipments for the fiscal year (which in this case for the PS5 only covers Nov 2020 -March 2021, 4 months) from6Mto 10M tells you they always planned on coming in at a price point that could sell units quickly. Mind you, it took sony almost 10 months to ship 10M PS4s, and they plan on shipping that many in 4 months. You don't do that if your price target is $499 and $599. And sony would know that all too well. This is actually why I am almost certain that at least one PS5 SKU will be $399. The only question is if the other SKU will be $449, $499 or $349.

I'd hafta assume Nvidia 3000 Series GPU's had something to do with the delay, even though Nvidia would have a general idea of what the consoles would cost for consumers. They wouldn't know exactly how much MS and SNY would subsidize them though. 

RDNA 2 Big Navi isn't out yet for AMD and that's what's in the consoles. The sooner Nvidia knew the console pricing, the sooner they would have a better idea of what Big Navi PC cards would cost. AMD wouldn't want that. 

Considering the XBSS 'leak' didn't happen until after the recent Nvidia 3000 announcement happened, which apparently MS planned for the week after the leak, it's not surprising. MS and SNY may have had to wait until a later date, or after Nvidia announced, one or the other. Since SNY was always going to wait for MS, now SNY can go. 

I wouldn`t say it is impossible that AMD had in contract or asked for a favor that the console platforms didn`t reveal the price until they reveal the price of their GPUs (and that they were waiting on NVidia). If you are going to launch a little later there is no reason to reveal the price before.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

EricHiggin said:

I'd hafta assume Nvidia 3000 Series GPU's had something to do with the delay, even though Nvidia would have a general idea of what the consoles would cost for consumers. They wouldn't know exactly how much MS and SNY would subsidize them though. 

RDNA 2 Big Navi isn't out yet for AMD and that's what's in the consoles. The sooner Nvidia knew the console pricing, the sooner they would have a better idea of what Big Navi PC cards would cost. AMD wouldn't want that. 

Considering the XBSS 'leak' didn't happen until after the recent Nvidia 3000 announcement happened, which apparently MS planned for the week after the leak, it's not surprising. MS and SNY may have had to wait until a later date, or after Nvidia announced, one or the other. Since SNY was always going to wait for MS, now SNY can go. 

DonFerrari said:

I wouldn`t say it is impossible that AMD had in contract or asked for a favor that the console platforms didn`t reveal the price until they reveal the price of their GPUs (and that they were waiting on NVidia). If you are going to launch a little later there is no reason to reveal the price before.

Those are interesting takes... however, I feel they are unrelated. The only similarity these consoles share with "big navi" is actually that they are all based on RDNA2. It's likely that the smallest "big Navi" GPU would be bigger than or at least on par with the 52CU GPU found in the XSX but clocked higher.

I think this hole pricing delay from both sony and MS was due to each party just not wanting to be undercut. They are both in a position where they have a hard upper limit of $499. No one is going above that price point. Now the question would always be about how low you can go. 

eg... If sony went first and announced the PS5 at $399 and the PS5D at $299 for instance, there is not a chance in hell that MSsells the XSX for $499 and the XSS for $299. They would price match sony on the PS5 with their XSXand drop the XSS below $299, to either$249 0r $269 or even $199 flat. If MSwent first and priced the XSSat $399, then sony could either match that with their PS5D o kill it off or just price their PS5D at $449 and still probably kill it off.

They have both been in a war of attrition all of this year. And their weapon has been price.

Keep in mind, both Sony and MS would have looked at multiple pricing scenarios, they would have even had marketing already prepared for all those scenarios. All they needed was to see who blinks (or fucks up) first.

Now, sony has time to gage the market/media/fans/whatever and adjust what price they come in at accordingly. Now my can come in at $3349 PS5D and $449 PS5 and just be the all-round better value option compared to either the XSS or XSX. Or they can come in at $399 PS5D and $449 PS5 and be a better option compared to the XSX and a debatable (as opposed to clear cut)notion over the XSS.

I think this is what this whole pricing thing has been about. At this juncture, whatever is associated with any upcoming next-gen platforms would be associated with them for the rest of the generation. If sony comes in at $449 for the PS5, even if six months later the XSX drops to $449, i would always be said that the PS5is "cheaper" and a better value.



Intrinsic said:
EricHiggin said:

I'd hafta assume Nvidia 3000 Series GPU's had something to do with the delay, even though Nvidia would have a general idea of what the consoles would cost for consumers. They wouldn't know exactly how much MS and SNY would subsidize them though. 

RDNA 2 Big Navi isn't out yet for AMD and that's what's in the consoles. The sooner Nvidia knew the console pricing, the sooner they would have a better idea of what Big Navi PC cards would cost. AMD wouldn't want that. 

Considering the XBSS 'leak' didn't happen until after the recent Nvidia 3000 announcement happened, which apparently MS planned for the week after the leak, it's not surprising. MS and SNY may have had to wait until a later date, or after Nvidia announced, one or the other. Since SNY was always going to wait for MS, now SNY can go. 

DonFerrari said:

I wouldn`t say it is impossible that AMD had in contract or asked for a favor that the console platforms didn`t reveal the price until they reveal the price of their GPUs (and that they were waiting on NVidia). If you are going to launch a little later there is no reason to reveal the price before.

Those are interesting takes... however, I feel they are unrelated. The only similarity these consoles share with "big navi" is actually that they are all based on RDNA2. It's likely that the smallest "big Navi" GPU would be bigger than or at least on par with the 52CU GPU found in the XSX but clocked higher.

I think this hole pricing delay from both sony and MS was due to each party just not wanting to be undercut. They are both in a position where they have a hard upper limit of $499. No one is going above that price point. Now the question would always be about how low you can go. 

eg... If sony went first and announced the PS5 at $399 and the PS5D at $299 for instance, there is not a chance in hell that MSsells the XSX for $499 and the XSS for $299. They would price match sony on the PS5 with their XSXand drop the XSS below $299, to either$249 0r $269 or even $199 flat. If MSwent first and priced the XSSat $399, then sony could either match that with their PS5D o kill it off or just price their PS5D at $449 and still probably kill it off.

They have both been in a war of attrition all of this year. And their weapon has been price.

Keep in mind, both Sony and MS would have looked at multiple pricing scenarios, they would have even had marketing already prepared for all those scenarios. All they needed was to see who blinks (or fucks up) first.

Now, sony has time to gage the market/media/fans/whatever and adjust what price they come in at accordingly. Now my can come in at $3349 PS5D and $449 PS5 and just be the all-round better value option compared to either the XSS or XSX. Or they can come in at $399 PS5D and $449 PS5 and be a better option compared to the XSX and a debatable (as opposed to clear cut)notion over the XSS.

I think this is what this whole pricing thing has been about. At this juncture, whatever is associated with any upcoming next-gen platforms would be associated with them for the rest of the generation. If sony comes in at $449 for the PS5, even if six months later the XSX drops to $449, i would always be said that the PS5is "cheaper" and a better value.

Sure both were playing chicken, but from what was discovered from MS leak they were planning to reveal S and price this week (and seemling sony as well, but they decided to give themselves extra days to as you said gauge the market and fine tune their price) and sure I agree that they had several price point and marketing bullets prepared to use depending on what the competitor that gone first revealed. But truly is a lot of coincidence that both were gearing to reveal on the same week and short after NVidia revealed their new GPU family.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari said:

Sure both were playing chicken, but from what was discovered from MS leak they were planning to reveal S and price this week (and seemling sony as well, but they decided to give themselves extra days to as you said gauge the market and fine tune their price) and sure I agree that they had several price point and marketing bullets prepared to use depending on what the competitor that gone first revealed. But truly is a lot of coincidence that both were gearing to reveal on the same week and short after NVidia revealed their new GPU family.

I just don't see Nvidia having anything to do with it. I would write that off to just coincidence. There isn't anything Nvidiacould have announced that would anyway impact the announcements of next-gen console pricing or release dates. 

I believe that holistically there are, and have always been bounds to which both Sony and MS are confined to as to just how far they could hold back these announcements. It could never have been later than September, especially if they plan for a November launch. The primary reason for this is that pre-orders (when pricing is available) provides the most accurate gauge of demand specific to ever region they are in. That in turn feeds into how their very limited launch shipments are shared by region. And even how many units they should be aiming to make in the first 3-6 months.

This price game they had been playing could only go so far, this is why after MS announcements (in another thread), I said that at the very least, the main takeaway from this is that we can now confirm that a PS5 announcement will happen before Sept. 22.