Forums - Sales Discussion - August NPD 2020: Switch 504k, PS4 197k, XBO 45k

RolStoppable said:
mk7sx said:

Leaks from Era

HW YoY

NSW + 109% (504,700)
PS4 -1% (197,000)
XBO -50% (45,400)

Looks like the PS4 is benefiting from the lowered Xbox One production where only the S keeps being made.

If that was the case wouldn't the PS4 have been higher last month when the Xbone had abysmal stock? It was 150k then, so I don't see a clear connection. Regardless its a step up for everyone, didn't expect Xbox to recover or for the PS4 to be that high.



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mk7sx said:

Leaks from Era

HW YoY

NSW + 109% (504,700)
PS4 -1% (197,000)
XBO -50% (45,400)

Switch is bonkers, absolutely insane! Going to break 100M WW pretty easily, might go towards 130M+.

Ps4 also a monster, insane year once again. 120-130M LT without major price cut, if they cut to 149$ it could easily sell to Fifa/Cod crowd during the next 2/3 years in the millions, so 140M+ could be in play. 



mk7sx said:

Leaks from Era

HW YoY

NSW + 109% (504,700)
PS4 -1% (197,000)
XBO -50% (45,400)

SW (All Physical Only)

Madden 305K

ACNH 179K

MK8D 130K

Ghost 122K

GTAV 108K

PM 78K

TLOU2 34K

MK8D with digital must be close to or above 200K.

ACNH should be at or above 60% digital, so 450-500K range with digital.

TLOU2 I am guessing is >50% digital so must be 70-80K.

Trying to do some math here, but GTA 5 is throwing me off.  It isn't even in the top 20 and it sold 108k physical.  I guess those are $20 copies?  If so, then imagine how well Minecraft, PS4 only edition sold.



The last of us 2 looks to be very front loaded sales wise. Also 500k for switch Jesus.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
mk7sx said:

Leaks from Era

HW YoY

NSW + 109% (504,700)
PS4 -1% (197,000)
XBO -50% (45,400)

SW (All Physical Only)

Madden 305K

ACNH 179K

MK8D 130K

Ghost 122K

GTAV 108K

PM 78K

TLOU2 34K

MK8D with digital must be close to or above 200K.

ACNH should be at or above 60% digital, so 450-500K range with digital.

TLOU2 I am guessing is >50% digital so must be 70-80K.

Trying to do some math here, but GTA 5 is throwing me off.  It isn't even in the top 20 and it sold 108k physical.  I guess those are $20 copies?  If so, then imagine how well Minecraft, PS4 only edition sold.

Yes Dolorean confirmed ASP for GTA V physical was $21, so $21 x 108,000 copies was not enough to breach NPD revenue top 20.



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Yikes at tlou 2 sales. And nice ps4 hold. Incredible switch numbers.



 

mM

I always wanted to know how these games ranked if we were comparing physical sales only.  I did some math, including some linear interpolations to fill in the blanks.  Of course, that means what I came up with is an estimate, but I think it gives a more accurate ranking than what the NPD supplied us originally.  


August US Rank by Physical Sales Only
(Revenue and Unit Sales are in thousands.)

Rank Game Leaked Interp. Rev. Unit Sales Price Revenue Unit Rank
1 Madden NFL 21  Y            18,300             305               60          18,300 1
2 Animal Crossing: New Horizons  Y            10,740             179               60          10,740 2
3 UFC 4 N            16,410             159               60            9,518 3
4 Ring Fit Adventure N              9,270             116               80            9,270 7
5 COD: Modern Warfare N            14,520             140               60            8,422 4
6 Mario Kart 8 Deluxe  Y              7,800             130               60            7,800 5
7 Ghost of Tsushima Y            12,630             122               60            7,320 6
8 Super Smash Bros Ultimate  N              6,240             104               60            6,240 9
9 Paper Mario  Y              4,680               78               60            4,680 11
10 Zelda: Breath of the Wild N              3,901               65               60            3,901 13
11 PGA Tour 2k21 N              3,242               54               60            3,242 15
12 NSMB U Deluxe N              3,105               52               60            3,105 16
13 Super Mario Party N              2,968               49               60            2,968 17
14 Super Mario Odyssey N              2,693               45               60            2,693 18
15 Mortal Kombat 11 N              4,296             100               25            2,492 10
16 Luigi’s Mansion 3 N              2,418               40               60            2,418 20
17 GTA 5 Y              2,268             108               21            2,268 8
18 TLOU2 Y              3,517               34               60            2,040 19
19 Minecraft PS4 N              3,380               65               30            1,960 14
20 T.C. Rainbow Six: Siege N              2,830               82               20            1,641 12
21 FF7 Remake N              2,555               25               60            1,482 21

Explanation of table and methodology:

Rank - this is based on revenue of physical only sales (based on my estimates). 

Interp. Rev. - This is revenue based on linear interpolation.  I calculated the revenue of physical sales of the games that were leaked.  To fill in the missing spots, I made a straight line and filled in the amounts between the known values.  Also, based on this and the ratio of physical/total sales of Ghosts of Tsushima I assumed 58% of sales were physical on all games that included both physical and digital.  If you sort this column, then you will get the original ranking given by NPD.  Also GTA5 will be rank 21 if you do this, since it is not only the original NPD table.

Price - Usually $60 is used.  If a game is significantly cheaper or discounted then I used the price on Amazon rounded to the nearest dollar.  (if there is a game I missed that is $30 or less then let me know and I'll adjust the table.  I didn't look up every game.)

Revenue - This is the calculated revenue of physical only sales.

Unit Rank - This is where the game would rank if the table were sorted by unit sales instead of revenue.

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - 6 days ago

And the Switch lits the floor without even trying ... ooooh how massive the upcoming months will be I wonder !

Decent hold for Origami King too !

Though I'm a bit surprised Xenoblade Chronicles Definitive Edition couldn't stay in the Switch Top 10 ... Yet, the top 10 is probably having bonker sales so being out doesn't mean it is not selling.

Btw, it seems against everyone's prediction that Ghost of Tsushima might surpass TLOU P2 sales due to actual legs in its case.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Go Switch. Burn it to the ground.

TLOU P2 was divisive so the word-of-mouth doesn't support high long term sales.

Last edited by Stefan.De.Machtige - 6 days ago

In the wilderness we go alone with our new knowledge and strength.

Seeing how much the Switch sold in August is making me even more excited to see how crazy the November and December NPD's will be.