The PS4 YoY didn't jump anywhere near 92% like the Switch did. Plus Sony's recent financial report showed the PS4 was down YoY Worldwide in the 1st Quarter which shows corona isn't having much of a major affect in sales anymore. 

My answer on this very well may change once we know what games Nintendo has coming out for the rest of the year.

Right now I think it is very likely to break the Wii's home console annual sales record, but it will probably fall short of the DS's annual record for any system.  Switch is selling well enough that it has a shot of breaking the record, but I think it is about 1/3 likely to do it and 2/3 likely that it won't.  The pandemic did boost sales so that it is currently tracking ahead of the DS, but it is unlikely that worldwide Switch will keep up this pace for the whole year.    

I'm going off of the assumption that the only big game they have left this year is a Mario 3D collection.  If it turns out that they don't even have this, then Switch might not even break the Wii's record.  On the other hand if Switch has another big game, like BotW2 to go with the Mario collection, then it has a very good shot of breaking the DS's all time record.

In the end it comes down to what kind of software is coming out for the rest of the year, but based on what we know now I think it's going to peak somewhere between the Wii and DS which is still going to be an extremely high peak.

Voted no. I don't think Nintendo will have enough stock to sell over 29 millions. I know they are increasing production but i don't think is by that much. 

I don't think Nintendo will have the stock to do that. If they were planning on massively upping production by such an amount this year (like 50%) I think we would have heard some mention of increased production when they announced quarterly results last week.

I think they'll sell everything they get on shelves by end of year. If they don't want to have insane shortages during the holidays then they should have at least like 26 million on store shelves this year - which would still make it hard for people to buy for Christmas. I think if they get 29 or 30 million on shelves they could probably sell that assuming a good holiday lineup, but I'd be shocked if they have had the time and foresight to do that since coming into this year it was reasonable to expect sales of maybe 22-24 million Switches, not 30 million.

I'm gonna assume Nintendo has some big sellers lined up for the holidays. Just because Nintendo is not announcing things doesn't mean they don't have stuff. Just a few months ago people wondered if they'd have zero games the rest of the year after AC and Xenoblade:DE, but Paper Mario already came out and we know about Pikmin and I think likely that Mario Collection rumor is true and I'd guess there will probably be one more popular GC/Wii/WiiU port along with a couple new games, though perhaps not a major mega selling AAA game. Mario Collection will probably be the main seller but if they do it right, like if it's an HD Galaxy Collection or a 4-game HD All-Stars style collection or maybe even two games like a Galaxy Collection and a fantastic looking 64 remake or something, then that should be desired enough to take the place of a big new AAA mega seller.

If Nintendo announces BotW2 for this holiday, a fantastic Mario Collection, and one more popular game whether port or new, then it just comes down to Switch production.

35 million this year why not

You're nuts if you think COVID19 hasn't had a large impact on consumer trends this year.

Netflix, Peloton (at home workout), Playstation all have seen record breaking revenue surges. Activision recorded their highest COD sales. Nintendo is in that group. Grocery stores are seeing record profit. Disney Plus subscriptions are way ahead of their targets.

Some businesses DO rise in a recession. When you can't go to Disneyworld like you promised the kids way back in January, a $200-$300 Switch looks awfully good to help ease their complaining. 

My neighbour's kids were driving him nuts at home all day, not even being able to see their school friends, so he bought them a Switch to save his sanity. They wanted that or a new Macbook, guess which option was a lot cheaper. The kids use it when they go on short weekend trips because they can't travel long distance this year. 

You're not taking any nuance into account by simply just looking at unemployment numbers. In general tech companies (Apple, Microsoft, Facebook, etc) have done very well under COVID19 ... the Nasdaq stock index is higher now than it was in February, before all the shut downs. Largely because with nothing to do sitting at home, the demand for personal technology and entertainment is at a premium. 

I think there's a chance but it most likely won't. I would really like if it did happen since a console selling over 30 million in a single year for the first time ever would be a cool event. A big obstacle is right now it seems like there won't be a holiday title as strong as previous years.

Why only 29 million? Seems like a small number to me.
I am not saying it will sell over 10 billion or something (probably not even 5% chance of that happening), but maybe somewhere in between.

VGChartz now updated their most recent week of sales from 350K to 430K, so sales are far from leveling off especially with so much demand right now that Nintendo hasn't been able to meet since March, at this point the Switch's sales are determined by how much Nintendo is able to ship and not how much demand there is, since the demand has been greatly exceeding the supply for the Switch.

Plus the summer is known to be the slow season for any console when it comes to console sales since there are usually less major games releasing during that time period as companies are focusing their efforts towards their holiday titles. Also people tend to go out more in the summer and usually have less disposable income for games.

If the Switch hasn't leveled off now in the quietest part of a console sales season while selling 400K+ a week and still can't meet demand. It's never going to level of from here on out as console sales as early as September begin picking up steam as we approach the Holiday Season once consumers realize big games are coming out and have more disposable income during this period. Keep in mind the Switch is selling this much without Nintendo not even announcing much of anything in the future, once Nintendo does eventually demand will skyrocket even more,

A 12M Holiday Season for the Switch is definitely achievable, the Switch last Holiday Season shipped nearly 11M units and so far Switch sales are up twice as much as 2019 this year. While it's impossible the Switch will sell 22M in a Holiday Season, the Switch could certainly sell at or over 12M based on its pace right now, even without a major holiday title, Animal Crossing is so huge it could carry the Switch this holiday alone. So there's certainly a possibility the Switch outsells the DS's prime 2008.