My answer on this very well may change once we know what games Nintendo has coming out for the rest of the year.
Right now I think it is very likely to break the Wii's home console annual sales record, but it will probably fall short of the DS's annual record for any system. Switch is selling well enough that it has a shot of breaking the record, but I think it is about 1/3 likely to do it and 2/3 likely that it won't. The pandemic did boost sales so that it is currently tracking ahead of the DS, but it is unlikely that worldwide Switch will keep up this pace for the whole year.
I'm going off of the assumption that the only big game they have left this year is a Mario 3D collection. If it turns out that they don't even have this, then Switch might not even break the Wii's record. On the other hand if Switch has another big game, like BotW2 to go with the Mario collection, then it has a very good shot of breaking the DS's all time record.
In the end it comes down to what kind of software is coming out for the rest of the year, but based on what we know now I think it's going to peak somewhere between the Wii and DS which is still going to be an extremely high peak.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox







