Wow. Big quarter.
AC nearly 12 million in 12 days, just crazy.
Here's the lifetime and quarterly numbers:
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 24.77m (1.81)
Smash Bros Ultimate: 18.84m (1.16)
BOTW: 17.41m (1.07)
Mario Odyssey: 17.41m (0.82)
Pokemon S/S: 17.37m (1.31)
Pokemon Let's Go: 11.97m (0.21)
Animal Crossing: 11.77m
Splatoon 2: 10.13m (0.32)
Mario Party: 10.10m (0.98)
NSMBUD: 6.60m (0.75)
Luigi’s Mansion 3: 6.33m (0.96)
Super Mario Maker 2: 5.48m (0.40)
The Legend of Zelda: Link’s Awakening: 4.38m (0.19)
Fire Emblem: Three Houses: 2.87m (0.29)
Ring Fit Adventure: 2.73m (0.56)
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: 1.26m
Astral Chain: 1.08m (0.05)
Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3: 1.08m (0.06)
Thoughts:
- Seems obvious MK8D is gonna challenge MKWii now for top Mario Kart game.
- Smash still going strong, it's gonna try to keep ahead of the rising juggernaut Animal Crossing.
- Surprised by how low Sword/Shield sold. I thought it'd be about a million higher at this point and it didn't even pass Mario and Zelda yet, though it did outsell them for the quarter so will def pass Mario in the current quarter and possibly Zelda. But has me wondering if Zelda might actually beat out Pokemon in the end?! Forget that AC v Pokemon thread, I think we need a new Zelda vs Pokemon thread!
- Zelda tied with Mario and clearly going to pass it next quarter! WTF?! Truly astounding. Just goes to show that Zelda is still the "killer app" for the Switch as more than all the other record breaking entries in major franchises (MK eventually, Smash, 3D Mario, AC, Mario Party, Luigi's Mansion) Zelda has blown previous records out of the water by the most insane amount. Not only does Zelda beat Mario this gen, but as said above, it looks like it will actually beat out Pokemon!....mind blown.
- Splatoon and Mario Party added to the 10 million list and my god those Mario Party quarterly numbers! 15 million is guaranteed for Mario Party at this point. I would say now it has a distant shot at 20 million except I'm sure we'll see a new Mario Party probably next year that should cut these sales off.
- Of the three games I thought there was a decent chance of hitting 10 million, its obviously Luigi's Mansion is on the way with huge quarterly numbers, I am now 100% confident NSMBU:D will make it there as I can't believe it did 0.75m this quarter(!), but sadly unless the recent Mario Maker update brings in a lot of sales it looks like Mario Maker 2 doesn't have the legs to make 10 million - fairly surprising as Mario Maker seems like a game that should have mega sales. If Mario Maker 2 doesn't hit 10 million it'll be the most undersold game on the system for how good it is and considering it is a Mario game.
- Ring Fit looking strong to have nice legs, Link's Awakening will eventually be a 5 million seller, and Astral Chain sales are dead though for what it is I think it did quite well hitting a million. Also surprised Let's Go got a nice boost, guess that game isn't completely dead after all.
Lifetime sales predictions:
MK8D > MKWii
Smash just under 30 million
AC > 27 million and might compete with Smash for 2nd best selling game
Zelda > Pokemon > Mario all in the 23-27 million range
Mario Party 17m, Splatoon 13m, Luigi's Mansion 13m, NSMBU:D 12m, Mario Maker 9m