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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 12, 2020 (Mar 16 - Mar 22)

tbone51 said:
curl-6 said:

Switch sales next week are gonna crash down to almost nothing, this must have wiped out almost every bit of stock they could muster given the current manufacturing shortages.

Define crashing day down 2 almost nothing  

hw might be roughly between 75k-100k and that’s pretty good

I'd just be surprised if there's that much stock left lying around given the massive week they just had and their well documented supply constraints at the moment.



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curl-6 said:
tbone51 said:

Define crashing day down 2 almost nothing  

hw might be roughly between 75k-100k and that’s pretty good

I'd just be surprised if there's that much stock left lying around given the massive week they just had and their well documented supply constraints at the moment.

We’ll see, I doubt it’s just gonna crash under 40k or something.



Didn't Nintendo say, We know there are shortages of switches more are on the way?



My early prediction got somethings right and somethings wrong:

I'm thinking Nintendo will see a massive spike in terms of both hardware and software due to much stronger lineup early on in 2020 compared to 2018/2019.  correct

I would not be suprised if there is at least 10 Switch titles with over 100K Sales this quarter. correct

Massive sales and new demographics buying Switches due to Animal Crossing will drive higher software sales in other evergreen titles. undecided due to hw shortages

Pokemon and Ring Fit Adventure will benefit the most from this. partly true, both benefited but less than I expected due to hw & sw shortages especially for RFA

If Tokyo Mirage is able to clear >100K this quarter it will be a sign. dead wrong sry Tokyo Mirage

Hope 3rd Parties have some female focused gaming experiences they can push in 2020. partly true, Hatsune Miku will probably clear 100K without problems

Still one week left but right now Top 10 Software is up 55% YoY, and next week we will see that number increase considerably. 

We are likely going to see over 4.5M Software Sold just among the Top 10 Switch Titles: 

TOP 10 2020 Switch Famitsu W12:

  1. Animal Crossing - Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 1.880.626
  2. Pokemon Sword / Shield - 539.394
  3. Ring Fit Adventure - 235.669
  4. Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX - 206.893
  5. Minecraft - 175.992
  6. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 170.344
  7. Smash Ultimate - 159.867
  8. Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch - 147.117
  9. Luigi's Mansion 3 - 114.143
  10. Super Mario Party - 111.707

TOTAL: 3.741.752(+55%)

TOP 10 2019 Switch Famitsu Q1:

  1. Smash Ultimate - 631.721
  2. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 547.987
  3. Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! - 225.481
  4. Super Mario Party - 220.392
  5. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 206.568
  6. Minecraft - 182.522
  7. Splatoon 2 - 146.463
  8. Dragon Quest Builders 2 - 97.061
  9. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 95.347
  10. Super Mario Odyssey - 53.224

TOTAL: 2.406.766(+19.7%)

TOP 10 2018 Switch Famitsu Q1:

  1. Splatoon 2 - 417.920
  2. Kirby Star Allies- 372.882
  3. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 305.204
  4. Super Mario Odyssey - 297.817
  5. Zelda:Breath of the Wild - 192.209
  6. Mario + Rabbids - 187.675
  7. 1-2 Switch - 71.591
  8. Arms - 68.842
  9. Dragon Ball: Xenoverse 2 for Nintendo Switch - 48.010
  10. Dragon Quest Builders - 47.101

TOTAL: 2.009.251

Last edited by noshten - on 28 March 2020

Just look at that... Animal Crossing domination. Be the number 1 game in Japan for sure.  Wonder how long it will take to pass Smash.



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Kai_Mao said:
I guess Sakurai abandoned the fighter pass vol. 2 since nothing he has not announced the upcoming fighters at this point. /s

I don't even know if Nintendo employees from Japan are even permitted to come back yet to their respective offices in Kyoto and Tokyo.
Plus, for the General Directs, usually we see Koizumi or Takahashi presenting with a green screen behind them. I don't think they can do that at home.

And as Sakurai noted, he cannot even show presentations to developers who are part of Fighter Pass Vol. 2. Do you think there's anything different for Nintendo employees to be able to work at their offices or even meet reps from third party developers and their offices?

Well, that  aged quickly

curl-6 said:

Top 30:

[NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo, 03/20/20) – 1,880,626 (New)
[PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo, 03/12/20) – 26,140 (118,032)
[NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (Nintendo, 03/06/20) – 21,954 (206,893)
[NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (The Pokemon Company, 11/15/19) – 17,608 (3,527,528)
[NSW] Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Bundle Version Included) (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 12,116 (1,321,931)
[NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 12,095 (2,829,353)
[NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 10,647 (3,612,919)
[NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo, 10/18/19) – 7,505 (731,308)
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (Bundle Version Included) (Nintendo, 07/21/17) – 7,467 (3,349,417)
[NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo, 10/05/18) – 6,580 (1,375,417)
[NSW] The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III (NIS, 03/19/20) – 6,280 (New)
[NSW] Dr. Kawashima’s Brain Training for Nintendo Switch (Nintendo, 12/27/19) – 5,188 (181,813)
[NSW] My Hero One’s Justice 2 (Bandai Namco, 03/12/20) – 5,095 (22,092)
[NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo, 06/28/19) – 5,093 (878,995)
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 4,856 (1,546,362)
[NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (01/11/19) – 4,700 (801,983)
[NSW] Luigi’s Mansion 3 (Nintendo, 10/31/19) – 3,856 (620,141)
[NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games (Sega, 11/01/19) – 3,179 (290,098)
[NSW] Tsuri Spirits Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco, 07/25/19) – 3,043 (409,606)
[PS4] Subnautica (Playism, 03/19/20) – 2,762 (New)
[PS4] Winning Post 9 2020 (Koei Tecmo, 03/12/20) – 2,483 (10,528)
[NSW] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva MegaMix (Sega, 02/13/20) – 2,418 (76,877)
[NSW] Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition (Limited Edition Included) (Square Enix, 09/27/19) – 2,396 (500,402)
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum ‘n’ Fun (Bandai Namco, 07/19/18) – 2,391 (458,252)
[NSW] Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo, 10/27/17) – 2,333 (2,082,275)
[PS4] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers (Limited Edition Included) (Atlus, 02/20/20) – 2,273 (149,898)
[NSW] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers (Limited Edition Included) (Atlus, 02/20/20) – 2,088 (65,653)
[NSW] Pokemon: Let’s Go, Pikachu! / Pokemon: Let’s Go, Eevee! (Nintendo, 11/16/18) – 1,908 (1,712,532)
[NSW] Just Dance 2020 (Ubisoft, 03/12/20) – 1,787 (4,320)
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Link’s Awakening (Nintendo, 09/20/19) – 1,683 (274,208)

NSW - 26

PS4 - 4

https://gonintendo.com/stories/357871-japan-famitsu-sales-for-march-16-22-2020-top-30

Yay, DQXI S got past 500k. Truly deserved and great for a late (if strongly enhanced) port.



Bofferbrauer2 said:

curl-6 said:

Top 30:

[NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo, 03/20/20) – 1,880,626 (New)
[PS4] Nioh 2 (Koei Tecmo, 03/12/20) – 26,140 (118,032)
[NSW] Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX (Nintendo, 03/06/20) – 21,954 (206,893)
[NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (The Pokemon Company, 11/15/19) – 17,608 (3,527,528)
[NSW] Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Bundle Version Included) (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 12,116 (1,321,931)
[NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 12,095 (2,829,353)
[NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 10,647 (3,612,919)
[NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo, 10/18/19) – 7,505 (731,308)
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (Bundle Version Included) (Nintendo, 07/21/17) – 7,467 (3,349,417)
[NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo, 10/05/18) – 6,580 (1,375,417)
[NSW] The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III (NIS, 03/19/20) – 6,280 (New)
[NSW] Dr. Kawashima’s Brain Training for Nintendo Switch (Nintendo, 12/27/19) – 5,188 (181,813)
[NSW] My Hero One’s Justice 2 (Bandai Namco, 03/12/20) – 5,095 (22,092)
[NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo, 06/28/19) – 5,093 (878,995)
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Limited Edition Included) (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 4,856 (1,546,362)
[NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (01/11/19) – 4,700 (801,983)
[NSW] Luigi’s Mansion 3 (Nintendo, 10/31/19) – 3,856 (620,141)
[NSW] Mario & Sonic at the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games (Sega, 11/01/19) – 3,179 (290,098)
[NSW] Tsuri Spirits Nintendo Switch Version (Bandai Namco, 07/25/19) – 3,043 (409,606)
[PS4] Subnautica (Playism, 03/19/20) – 2,762 (New)
[PS4] Winning Post 9 2020 (Koei Tecmo, 03/12/20) – 2,483 (10,528)
[NSW] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva MegaMix (Sega, 02/13/20) – 2,418 (76,877)
[NSW] Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age – Definitive Edition (Limited Edition Included) (Square Enix, 09/27/19) – 2,396 (500,402)
[NSW] Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum ‘n’ Fun (Bandai Namco, 07/19/18) – 2,391 (458,252)
[NSW] Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo, 10/27/17) – 2,333 (2,082,275)
[PS4] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers (Limited Edition Included) (Atlus, 02/20/20) – 2,273 (149,898)
[NSW] Persona 5 Scramble: The Phantom Strikers (Limited Edition Included) (Atlus, 02/20/20) – 2,088 (65,653)
[NSW] Pokemon: Let’s Go, Pikachu! / Pokemon: Let’s Go, Eevee! (Nintendo, 11/16/18) – 1,908 (1,712,532)
[NSW] Just Dance 2020 (Ubisoft, 03/12/20) – 1,787 (4,320)
[NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Link’s Awakening (Nintendo, 09/20/19) – 1,683 (274,208)

NSW - 26

PS4 - 4

https://gonintendo.com/stories/357871-japan-famitsu-sales-for-march-16-22-2020-top-30

Yay, DQXI S got past 500k. Truly deserved and great for a late (if strongly enhanced) port.

I wonder if it's getting close to a million in terms of global with digital, if it's halfway there just in physical copies in Japan.

I know it's not as popular in the West, but surely it must be getting there.



Pokemon Black/White

2.557.779 / NEW
828.580 / 3.386.358
374.589 / 3.761.217
231.638 / 3.992.855
168.541 / 4.161.397
81.915 / 4.243.312
68.686 / 4.311.998
56.719 / 4.368.711
{Skip a couple of weeks}
57.576 / 4.966.738 (W52)

PS4 / NSW 

FY1 7.50mil / 2.74mil
FY2 14.80mil / 15.05mil
FY3 17.70mil / 16.95mil
FY4 20.00mil / 21.03mil

FY5 19.00mil /
FY6 17.80mil /
FY7 13.60mil 
FY8 ??.??mil

 



1) 630.552 PS2 2000 W09 (Launch)

2) 614.748 NDS 2005 W51

3) 611.504 GBA 2001 W12 (Launch)

4) 524.982 NDS 2006 W51 

5) 510.629 3DS 2011 W51

6) 441.485 NDS 2004 W48 (Launch)

7) 433.788 3DS 2012 W51

8) 408.195 NDS 2005 W52 

9) 392.576 NSW 2020 W12 (ACNH)

10) 387.838 3DS 2011 W50

381.776 NDS 2005 W50

377.114 3DS 2011 W49
375.468 NDS 2006 W50

371.936 WII 2006 W48 (Launch)

371.326 3DS 2011 W09 (Launch)

​333.409 3DS 2012 W50

330.637 NSW 2017 W09 (Launch)

327.905 PSP 2010 W48

323.686 GBA 2001 W13

322.083 PS4 2014 W08 (Launch)

321.407 PSV 2011 W50 (Launch)

319.051 NDS 2007 W51

316.675 GBA 2003 W01
314.724 PS2 2002 W01
311.549 NDS 2008 W01

308.570 WIU 2012 W49 (Launch)

305.690 3DS 2013 W01

305.321 NDS 2007 W01 
303.834 GBA 2002 W51
303.504 NSW 2017 W51
302.355 PS1 1998 W01
300.661 NSW 2018 W51

300.121 NDS 2006 W21 

298.354 3DS 2013 W37 [MH4+] 

295.701 NDS 2005 W49 [MKDS+]

292.938 NDS 2006 W39 [Pokémon DP+]

291.485 NSW 2019 W51

286.481 GBA 2002 W01 
285.513 NSW 2018 W50
284.648 WII 2006 W51 
284.827 NSW 2020 W01

282.561 NSW 2020 W13 [ACNH W2]

278.313 NSW 2018 W49 [SSBU+]

275.402 NDS 2008 W52

>600k weeks
PS2 {2000 W09 -> Launch week} - 630.552
NDS {2005 W51 -> Holiday season} - 614.748
GBA {2001 W12 -> Launch week} - 611.504

>500k weeks
NDS {2006 W51 -> Holiday season} - 524.982
3DS {2011 W51 -> Holiday season} - 510.629


>400k weeks
NDS {2004 W48 -> Launch week, holiday season, Super Mario 64 DS #1, WarioWare: Touched! #1} - 441.485
3DS {2012 W51 -> Holiday season} - 433.788
NDS {2005 W52 -> Holiday season} - 408.195


>350k weeks
NSW {2020 W12 -> Animal Crossing: New Horizons #1} - 392.576
3DS {2011 W50 -> Holiday season} - 387.838
NDS {2005 W50 -> Holiday season} - 381.776
3DS {2011 W49 -> Holiday season, Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate #1} - 378.114
NDS {2006 W50 -> Holiday season} - 375.468

WII {2006 W48 -> Launch week, holiday season, Wii Sports #1} - 371.936
3DS {2011 W09 -> Launch week} - 371.326


>300k weeks
3DS {2012 W50 -> Holiday season} - 333.409
NSW {2017 W09 -> Launch week, Breath of the Wild #1} - 330.637
PSP {2010 W48 -> Holiday season, Monster Hunter Freedom 3 #1} - 327.905
GBA {2001 W13 -> Week after launch} - 323.686
PS4 {2014 W08 -> Launch week} - 322.083
PSV {2011 W50 -> Launch week, holiday season} - 321.407

NDS {2007 W51 -> Holiday season} - 319.051
GBA {2003 W01 -> Holiday season} - 316.675
PS2 {2002 W01 -> Holiday season} - 314.724
NDS {2008 W01 -> Holiday season} - 311.549

WIU {2012 W49 -> Launch week, holiday season} - 308.570
3DS {2013 W01 -> Holiday season} - 305.690
NDS {2007 W01 -> Holiday season} - 305.321
GBA {2002 W51 -> Holiday season} - 303.834
NSW {2017 W51 -> Holiday season} - 303.504
PS1 {1998 W01 -> Holiday season} - 302.355
NSW {2018 W51 -> Holiday season} - 300.661

NDS {2006 W21 -> New Super Mario Bros. #1} - 300.121

>275k weeks
3DS {2013 W37 -> Monster Hunter 4 #1} - 298.354
NDS {2005 W49 -> Holiday season, Mario Kart DS #1} - 295.701
NDS {2006 W39 -> Pokémon Diamond/Pearl #1} - 292.938
NSW {2019 W51 -> Holiday season} - 291.485
GBA {2002 W01 -> Holiday season} - 286.481
NSW {2018 W50 -> Holiday season} - 285.513
WII {2006 W51 -> Holiday season} - 284.648
NSW {2020 W01 -> Holiday season} - 284.827

NSW {2020 W13 -> Animal Crossing: New Horizons #2} - 282.561
NSW {2018 W49 -> Holiday season, Super Smash Bros. Ultimate #1} - 278.313
NDS {2008 W52 -> Holiday season} - 275.402

 pdated!!! 21 weeks


PokeSmash - 6630k vs ACNH - 5551k (to 21W)

Gap-1079k

First 52 weeks (PokeSmash vs ACNH)

W1: 2603k - 1880k
W2: 827k - 728k
W3: 700k - 423k
W4: 456k - 293k
W5: 498k - 286k
W6: 351k - 284k
W7: 289k - 260k
W8: 234k - 195k
W9: 105k - 130k
W10: 84k - 102k
W11: 66k - 102k
W12: 50k - 98k
W13: 47k - 77k
W14: 48k - 74k
W15: 38k - 70k
W16: 45k - 53k
W17: 40k - 56k
W18: 33k - 72k
W19: 29k - 94k
W20: 26k - 57k
W21: 25k - 108k
W22: 33k - 106k
W23: 18k - 46k
W24: 17k
W25: 16k
W26: 17k
W27: 12k
W28: 14k
W29: 14k
W30: 16k
W31: 16k
W32: 18k
W33: 18k
W34: 16k
W35: 18k
W36: 20k
W37: 26k
W38: 17k 

W39: 19k

W40: 24k

W41: 19k

W42: 12.3

W43: 13.3

W44: 9.3

W45: 6.7

W46: 7.3

W47: 7.2

W48: 7.1

W49: 7.7k

W50: 6.7k

W51: 7.0k

W52: 9.8k

total so far 7018.6k


ACNL Double Pack vs ACNH

W1: 1443k - 1880k
W2: 631k - 728k
W3: 477k - 423k
W4: 239k - 293k
W5: 232k - 286k
W6: 428k - 284k
W7: 801k - 260k
W8: 329k - 195k
W9: 267k - 130k
W10: 175k - 102k
W11: 196k - 102k
W12: 166k - 98k
W13: 152k - 77k
W14: 182k - 74k
W15: 154k - 70k
W16: 156k - 53k
W17: 152k - 56k
W18: 138k - 72k
W19: 122k - 94k
W20: 121k - 57k
W21: 122k - 108k
W22: 104k - 106k
W23: 73k
W24: 70k
W25: 67k
W26: 81k
W27: 44k
W28: 31k
W29: 31k
W30: 36k
W31: 27k
W32: 27k
W33: 25k
W34: 29k
W35: 23k
W36: 26k
W37: 26k

W38: 34k

W39: 31k

W40: 31k

W41: 38k

W42: 24k

W43: 21k

W44: 18k

W45: 17k

W46: 16k

W47: 16k

W48: 16k 

W49: 16k

W50: 15k

W51: 15k

W52: 15k

Y1: 7722k


Milestones New Leaf x2 vs New Horizons

W01-10: 5020k (5020k) vs 4582k (4582k) [Gap 438k]

W11-20: 1538k (6558k) vs 756k (5337k) [Gap 1221k]

W21-30: 659k (7217k) vs 108k* so far 

W31-42: 341k (7558k)

W43-52: 164k (7722k)

Milestones Pokesmash vs New Horizons

W01-10: 6147k (6147k) vs 4582k (4582k) [Gap 1565k]

W11-20: 422k (6569k) vs 756k (5337k) [Gap 1232k]

W21-30: 196k (6765k) vs 108k* so far

W31-42: 194.5k so far (missing 4weeks of pokemon)

W43-52: 82.1k (smash only)

PokeSmash: 7041.6k (Missing Pokémon W39-52)

ACNH: 5445k (Missing W22-52)

Last edited by tbone51 - on 29 August 2020

First 8 weeks retail (Famitsu)
Pokemon SWSH
1.364.544 / NEW
382.540 / 1.747.084
275.959 / 2.023.043
201.838 / 2.224.881
231.578 / 2.456.459
288.199 / 2.744.658
243.476 / 2.988.134
196.925 / 3.185.059

29,297mil DS (21quarters)

Super Smash Ultimate
1.238.358 / NEW
444.193 / 1.682.551
424.127 / 2.106.678
253.977 / 2.360.655
267.432 / 2.628.087
63.277 / 2.691.364
46.368 / 2.737.732
37.015 / 2.774.747

Animal Crossing New Leaf
72786 / NEW
315.317 / 1.037.103 (-56%)
237.823 / 1.274.926 (-25%)
118.898 / 1.393.824 (-50%)
115.556 / 1.509.380 (-3%)
213.329 / 1.722.709 (+85%)
400.320 / 2.123.029 (+88%)
163,948 / 2,286,977 (-59%)

 

2.666.040 W8


3.339.623 W13

 3.662.672 w26

 3.823.486 w39

4.017.159 w52

3DS

2011: 4.135.739

2012: 5.626.763

2013: 4.931.509

2014: 3.153.045

2015: 2.189.900

2016: 1.874.457

2017: 1.827.131

2018: 566.420

2019: 191.350

Total: 24.496.314


NSW

2017 3.407.158

2018 3.482.388

2019 4.493.885 

2020 1.854.992

2021

2022

2023

DS

2004: 1.495.593 (holiday launch)
2005: 4.151.356 
2006: 8.358.730 
2007: 7.167.372 
2008: 3.946.585 
2009: 4.159.445 
2010: 2.872.621 
2011: 657.815 
2012: 68.973 


...Road to Blow Past 3DS...

[3DS <><><> NSW]

Y1-Y3: 14.69mil <> 11.38mil  [Gap 3.31mil]


Y4: 3153k <> 2667k

Q1: 691k <> 1700k

Q2: 374k <> 967k

Q3: 537k <>

Q4: 1551k <>

Y5: 2190k 

Y6: 1874k

Y7: 1827k

Y8: 566k



3DS vs NSW (Yearly Sell thru Fam)

Y1: 4.136mil <><> 3.407mil
Y2: 5.627mil <><> 3.482mil
Y3: 4.932mil <><> 4.494mil

14.695mil vs 11.383mil (Gap 3.312mil)

Y4: 3.153mil <><> 2.816mil
Y5: 2.190mi
Y6: 1.874mi
Y7: 1.827mi
Y8: 566k
Y9: 191k

Lifetime: 24.497mil vs 14.199mil (Gap 10.30mil)

Last edited by tbone51 - on 28 October 2021

Is +500k the actual number for DQ XI S digital sales in Japan? That's seems way too high



 

 

We reap what we sow