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Forums - Politics - Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread

Mnementh said:
Biden has already more votes in Arizona than Clinton in 2016, Trump is lagging behind.

lol finally some good news!

Trump needs AZ to win. Perhaps my meltdown was premature?



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Trump now leads in North Carolina by about 3K (no big lead).

Texas now looks more secure for Trump.



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Cerebralbore101 said:
JWeinCom said:

Biden's doing very well in Ohio, where he lost by 9. Less of the votes there are from mail in, so he still has a good chance of winning there. Even if he loses but is close that's a great performance for him.

Michigan counts early votes first so it's expected that Trump will lead there at first. Same thing for Wisconsin, especially as Milwaukee counts will report last.

Midwest is looking fine for now.  

He lost by 9 points somewhere in Ohio? Explain?

Also, if not for Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina being almost certainly called for Trump, I would agree with you that midwest looks fine. The problem with that are two things. 1st off Iowa got a massively well rated poll saying that Trump was up +7 points. That points to a polling error in Trump's favor in the midwest. Second off huge polling errors in the three southeastern states that I mentioned also point to a huge polling error in Trump's favor.

I meant where Clinton lost by 9.

Georgia was close to 50-50, and NC was 60-40 or so. Florida was like 65-35. Wouldn't call those huge polling errors, and Biden was up by way larger margins in the midwest. 

Iowa got a poll up 7, but others showed differently. Can't just based on one poll. 

Not saying how things will turn out, but a bit too early to tell. Arizona and Colorado are looking pretty good right about now.



Cerebralbore101 said:

Biden is losing in Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine and Ohio now too. Mass polling error in Trump's favor once again. I give up on American politics. I live in a shithole country. Simple as that. Never voting again.

Michigan and Wisconsin are not counting their early votes yet, so they will swing blue later down the road instead of early on. It's a red mirage.



Cerebralbore101 said:
Mnementh said:
Biden has already more votes in Arizona than Clinton in 2016, Trump is lagging behind.

lol finally some good news!

Trump needs AZ to win. Perhaps my meltdown was premature?

Does he? The map looks so far very 2016. And Arizona flipping wouldn't change the result in 2016.



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10 years greatest game event!

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Bofferbrauer2 said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

Biden is losing in Michigan, Wisconsin, Maine and Ohio now too. Mass polling error in Trump's favor once again. I give up on American politics. I live in a shithole country. Simple as that. Never voting again.

Michigan and Wisconsin are not counting their early votes yet, so they will swing blue later down the road instead of early on. It's a red mirage.

Yeah, Trump taking Florida so easily has got me spooked. Perhaps this election will turn out alright after all.



Cerebralbore101 said:
Mnementh said:
Biden has already more votes in Arizona than Clinton in 2016, Trump is lagging behind.

lol finally some good news!

Trump needs AZ to win. Perhaps my meltdown was premature?

Everything is premature, especially in the way votes are being counted this year. Clearly not going to be the blowout some were hoping for, but it looks like we're still well within margin of error territory. 



So Trump is doing worse with White voters by 2% but up 3% with black, Hispanic, and Asian voters.



Remember, Arizona counts early votes first. There are a lot of them, but they were expected to lean Dem. It just depends on whether Trump can make up the margins.



So far people on both sides have been pretty civil from what I've seen so far. So good job, and lets keep it that way.