Shiken said:
People will be stuck at home and out of work for two years? Not how that works...
I myself am already back to work, and I get over an hour a day to play from my commute to beat traffic. I was out of work for one week. Now don't get me wrong, there are still shut downs happening over the next month or so. But if you really think that people will still be locked in their homes by the time the new consoles drop, you will be in for what I hope would be a pleasant suprise for you.
But I guess the situation may differ from country to country as well, and some will bounce back faster than others. Only time will tell, I can only speak for the trends I see around me. If this does stretch out over the course of two years, console wars will be the last thing on anyone's mind to begin with TBH.
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I don't think you're grasping the magnitude of this situation. There were 23,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States at this same time yesterday and there are 32,000 now. That's what a difference of just one day looks like now. They're doubling every three days. The experts are predicting there will be more than 100,000 cases in the U.S. by the end of the month, over a million by the start of May, tens of millions by election day, and that most of the population will have been infected by this same time next year, and that 1 to 3 million Americans will die from it over that same period of time: more than die annually of cancer and heart disease combined. Covid-19 will, within the next year, become the leading cause of death in America by a lot, in other words. It could well overwhelm our whole hospital system too if we're not careful. There is no cure, no treatment, and no immunity as yet. Vaccines and treatments take a solid year at minimum to make it through testing and licensing and become generally available to the public. You do the math.
My point is that NONE of this stuff that's been delayed "three weeks" or "two months" or whatever on paper is coming back. Not within the next year or two anyway. There will be no Black Friday this year (or at least not offline anyway), no trick-or-treating for Halloween, none of that. Eventually, we'll almost certainly be Italy: on total lockdown, legally prohibited from leaving our homes for any purposes save to go get food or pick up prescription drugs.
The impact on the economy will be severe. The experts are predicting that the next weekly jobless claims report may see as many as two million Americans having filed for unemployment. JP Morgan Chase is predicting an economic contraction of 24% for the second quarter, which is a depression-level disaster.
I don't mean to be scary or dystopian here, I'm just saying that this is an extremely serious situation we're facing right now in this country. It's not an exaggeration to say that this, in the end, will be the worst, most devastating pandemic the world has seen in a century and it's going to take a long time, not just a month or two, for any kind of real solution (like a vaccine, a mitigating treatment, or a build-up of general immunity resulting from sufficiently broad exposure to the virus) to come into being. We need to be real about that. And in that context, I say people are indeed going to be pretty focused on indoor activities and hobbies, like video games for example, by the fall.