"Everybody's got their problems,"
"Everybody says the same things to you."
"It's just a matter how you solve them,"
"And knowing how to change the things you've been through."

-

"Part of me, won't agree,"
"Cause I don't know if it's for sure."
"Suddenly, suddenly,"
"I don't feel so insecure."

Europe is losing their supremacy in COVID deaths fast. Belgium is gonna lose their top spot to Peru, while US, Chile and Brazil are rushing past the previous hotspots of UK, Spain, Italy and Sweden.

Its gonna take some time for them to pass Belgium.

858 deaths pr million, is 283,000+ people in the US.
US is still 110,000+ people off.
That wont happend until end of the year.

Peru could pass Belgium in that stat, within a week.
Chile and Brazil is still far off.... possibly end of year as well.

According to a recent study from the Karolinska Institute in Sweden, T-Cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 increased from 28% in 2019 preserved blood samples to 46% in 2020 blood samples from healthy donors. That would suggest that, unless there has been a massive increase in the prevalence of some other virus that induces cross-immunity to SARS-CoV-2 around the same time, we can infer that 46 - 28 = 18 + (28 x 0.18) = 23.04% of the population has been exposed to SARS-CoV-2 in Sweden this year, plus whoever has been diagnosed positive in the antigen tests. I think antibody tests alone suggested about half that number, suggesting the importance of gauging cellular immunity.

On the other news, antibody data from Daegu in South Korea suggests the true prevalence of the virus there was 27 times more than what has been oficially diagnosed (around 6.2% of the population, compared to 0.033% having antibodies in the rest of South Korea). The relatively low IFR there (0.11% compared to 0.68% in the rest of South Korea, based on previous testing that excluded Daegu) suggests it was mainly younger people that drove the initial Daegu outbreak in February, compared to other places in Europe etc. where it started in hospitals and retirement homes. Of course, as shown above, real prevalence could be significantly higher.

Yeah, deaths are down... but so are the cases due to all the measures taken by the government. This has nothing to do with herd immunity.

You should have a look who's infected in that second wave there. Just like here in Luxembourg, most of the new infectees were under the age of 40, and since we have not just good, but more to the point functional and functioning healthcare systems over here, persons under the age of 50 don't die from the disease.

Increased testing just means you can find asymptomatic patients more easily.

Luxembourg can also actually disprove your theory that the increase just comes from increased testing. We ended the first mass testing campaign on July 7 for the summer break (will resume in mid September), after that the number of daily tests went down substantially from 22k to 7k. Despite this, cases continued to climb and peaked twice, first on July 16 and then again on July 29 with 163 and 158 cases respectively, much higher than the 61 cases we had on July 7 (which still was the highest number of cases we had since April 16 at the time).

Testing has been mostly stable since mid-July but only in August did we see an inversion of the trend and case numbers going down. And this decrease boils down to tighter controls in café/bars and festive sites where the youth partied the end of the lockdown and infected everybody for a second wave, not any change in test numbers.

8/18/20 - Covid-19 - Global cases: 22 million
US cases - 5.6 million

Where is Spoke? Spoke, we need an update on your charts. NP is begging to see an update. ;)

Here in Aus we just had our lowest daily case count in over a month, and for my state (which has been the epicenter for the current outbreak) the 4th day running in the 200s range, down from the 700s at the second wave's peak. Safe to say at this point we're over the summit, the second wave is winding down.

Now we just gotta make sure we don't get complacent again; after the first wave people were too quick to go back to normal as if we weren't still in a pandemic.

Mississippi quarantines more than 2,000 students and 500 teachers as hundreds tested positive for coronavirus, but the governor says, 'It doesn't mean they caught it there ' https://www.businessinsider.com/mississippi-schools-reopen-2500-students-teachers-coronavirus-quarantine-2020-8
Wonder if we will see a spike in cases next month again due to school openings and labor day coming up

I mean who knows how these things go right? could all just be... happenstance? that just randomly 100s of students all test possitive for it.
Sure governor :)