So I was wrong. Sue me. Sometimes I'm right, sometimes I'm wrong. That's life. As for the PS4, I still think it is a steaming pile of shit packed with over-rated games. That's my opinion. Deal with it. I don't think I'll be wrong about the Switch, but what if I am? Life goes on. You're the one who seems to be getting angry over plastic. That's not my problem. As for my 5 year absence, who cares. I've got a life you know.

⚠️ WARNED: Trolling ~ CGI

The one in line with our bias of course. Since Xbox1 numbers will never be shown, people can claim anything and be as unrealistic as possible and they will never be proven right or wrong. So fans will always go with the highest estimate available, based on evidence or not. 

Yeah no reason to trust these guys.

What YOU don't understand AND ignore:

- I DID account for margins of error, that's why I was generous enough to give the 0.25% number, which is the lowest possible number you need to round up to 0.3%. And it's still well below the mark.
- You can't give two different statistics/estimates that completely contradict each other after you do the math and expect to be taken seriously. That's not how estimating data works. It's one or the other, you can't have both.
- All numbers and estimates are just that, estimates with margins of error. But some are more reliable than others. That's the point. Why should I take this source, who can't get their estimates straight, seriously over other sources who stick to one narrative, one story, and one estimate, AND have a much better track record of accuracy on their resumes than these guys do? The same guys who, as Rol mentioned earlier, completely botched PS4 sales figures that completely contradicted figures from Sony themselves, BEFORE they published their own? Every analyst is wrong from time to time, including Famitsu, VGC, and Daniel Ahmad... but Good God... there's being wrong, and then there's just not giving a shit. 

Rather amusing that the infamous cliff is still being proclaimed with regard to Switch sales.

First Switch was only selling cos it was the hot new fad and it was going to fall off a cliff in 2018 once the novelty wore off.

Then Switch had "used all their big franchises already" by the end of 2018 and it was going to fall off a cliff in 2019.

Now it's "The Switch will fall off a cliff when PS5 and Xbox Two come out", despite years of sales data showing Switch and Playstation/Xbox don't affect each other's sales.

What's worse is that once Switch sales inevitably do start to decline in 2021, the PS5 and Xbox Scarlett's first full year in the market, those people are going to be yelling "See! I told you so!" Completely ignoring the fact that the Switch will be entering its 5th year on the market after March 3, 2021 and starting to show its age, like any other system would at that point. 

You did only account for a margin of error for ONE variable and took the second variable as a fact. What if Famitsu got it wrong and there are 120,000 Xbox Ones or 125,000 sold in Japan? And the estimates don't completely contradict each other, when you consider slight deviations from the true numbers on both variables.

Alright, let's account for if Famitsu got it wrong and do the 120,000 and 125,000 unit numbers.

At those units, divided by 0.3% would equate to:

40 million units (120,000)
41.67 million units (125,000)

So those would still be way below the mark and considerably lower than VGChartz' current worldwide estimates.

And if we reduce the percentage to 0.25%, they would equate to:

48 million units (120,000)
50 million units (125,000)

Now they would be way above the mark.
But all of them are way off from that 46.9 million figure.

There's way too much deviation and margins for error are far too great to be taken seriously, that's the point. In any statistics class you take in college, the point is to maintain the smallest margin of error as possible. Enough to where you can narrow it down to a specific, small range. This range is all over the place. From as low as 36 million to as high as 50 million. You'd have better luck throwing a dart and trying to hit a bulls-eye with a blindfold on. 

Bottom line: There is absolutely no reason whatsoever why we should take CNBC seriously over other trackers and sources that have proven, time and time again, to be much more reliable and accurate. That's all there is to it, and if you can't understand that, then I see no point or purpose to continue this conversation. We're done here.

That is exactly how it will go, annual sales could be something like this

2017-13m (Switch launch)

2018-16m

2019-20m

2020-17m (PS5/XB4 launch)

2021-14m

2022-10m

2023-6m (Switch 2 launch)

2024-3m

2025-1m

Total-100m

and people will still claim that Switch sales were affected by PS5/XB4 despite having a completely normal and healthy sales curve.

I actually think they're going to fall just short of 20 million this year, probably around 18.5-19 million is more likely I think. I'm starting to also think, more and more, that 2020 might be the peak year. The Switch will enter the next year with white hot momentum between Sword/Shield and the Lite model, and then not too long afterwards, we'll have Animal Crossing: New Horizons, which will be the biggest Q1 title for the Switch since Breath of the Wild. And there's going to be at least one more big, AAA Nintendo game. I think that game will be whatever the new 3D Mario game will be, rather than Breath of the Wild 2. And I'm almost certain we'll get new Pokemon games, probably the Diamond/Pearl remakes fans have been expecting and wanting since OR/AS. A year being headlined by Animal Crossing, 3D Mario, and Pokemon, for a system that's selling for $200. I'm almost certain that Breath of the Wild 2 is going to be a 2021 game. And I also think we're going to get a new hardware revision that year that's going to be upgraded hardware much like the Game Boy Color/DSi/New 3DS/PS4 Pro/Xbox One X. And I'm going to keep calling it the Nintendo Switch+ until it is either dis-confirmed or named otherwise.

And I think 2021 and 2022 are going to be considerably higher than you think, especially 2022 as I think that's when we're getting Pokemon Gen 9 as a final swan song for the Switch, much like Sun/Moon was for the 3DS. I also think it's when we'll finally get Metroid Prime 4. And I think it's going to sell well above 100 million. I think 100 million is actually on the lower end of potential lifetime sales, rather than the higher end. The way I can see it playing out is this:

2017: 13 million 
2018: 16 million
2019: 19 million
2020: 20 million (Animal Crossing, 3D Mario, Pokemon Gen 4 remakes)
2021: 17 million (Breath of the Wild 2, Switch+ revision)
2022: 14 million (Pokemon Gen 9, Metroid Prime 4)
2023: 8 million (Switch 2 launch)
2024: 4 million
2025: 2 million
2026 to discontinued: 1 million

Total: 114 million