PAOerfulone said:
Conina said:
Sorry if I want to have an informed discussion supported by facts instead of pure bashing and wild speculations. Obviously here is not the right place for that.
What you don't understand (or ignore):
- the 0.3% of sales coming from Japan aren't a fact, they are an estimate with margins of error
- the Famitsu numbers aren't facts but estimates with margins of error
- the VGC numbers aren't facts but estimates with margins of error
- the IDC numbers aren't facts but estimates with margins of error
- the numbers of the analyst Daniel Ahmad aren't facts but estimates with margins of error
- the numbers analysts X, Y or Z aren't facts but estimates with margins of error
- we don't know which numbers are the closest to the truth until Microsoft gives that information eventually
- multiplying or dividing estimate A with estimate b to prove that estimate C is wrong is a fool's errand and only serves confirmation bias
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What YOU don't understand AND ignore:
- I DID account for margins of error, that's why I was generous enough to give the 0.25% number, which is the lowest possible number you need to round up to 0.3%. And it's still well below the mark.
- You can't give two different statistics/estimates that completely contradict each other after you do the math and expect to be taken seriously. That's not how estimating data works. It's one or the other, you can't have both.
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You did only account for a margin of error for ONE variable and took the second variable as a fact. What if Famitsu got it wrong and there are 120,000 Xbox Ones or 125,000 sold in Japan? And the estimates don't completely contradict each other, when you consider slight deviations from the true numbers on both variables.
