Do you guys think Switch software totals can reach 1bn?

It’s been the trend with Nintendo consoles/handhelds probably since N64 era with a few exceptions.

Next quarter will get very interesting with the launch of the Lite and upgraded base model. Although looking at the shortages right now, the uptick might be smaller than anticipated - though a real verdict can't be given until preorders are open for the new models.

It is tracking similarly to last year, good time for the Switch Lite to shake things up.

alright for some reasons VGC was bugged and it was not showing me the recents threads... i knew it was too strange that there wasn't a thread yet for Nintendo results lol

Ah I read it as 16 million, 604 thousand Yen.

Yeah, you're correct of course, but what i meant is that Nintendo, with this strategy bets all the success of their home console in just a few games. If the main Mario and/or Zelda are a huge commercial and/or criticial success it's almost a guarantee the console is going to be a succeess too and other first party IP's are going to receive the attention to flourish and sell well (like Mario Party, Metroid, Fire Emblem, Donkey Kong, ...etc). But, if the main Mario or Zelda game is not really popular or a sales phenomena it drags the sales of the console like it happened with the WiiU or GC. That's what i meant, i find this strategy really unbalanced and more than ever now that they have decided to aim for the all in one hybrid console style like the Switch.

If it works it's really, i mean REALLY profitable for them, but if not......Nintendo will find themselves in a far worse situation that what they were during 2013-2015 era.

That's why i think Switch, despite having such a success this gen with milestone record sales for some of their franchises won't reach Wii lifetime software sales and that could put Nintendo in an impossible situation with the Switch succesor. Next gen consoles launching next year won't help receiving more 3rd party support either, so Nintendo will have the pressure to launch sequels to beloved games that had put the bar way too high. Is Nintendo capable of doing that?, of course, but this is the hardest way of achieving success.

As for the prediction, i side by Switch being more than 18M this year too, but a few weeks ago i was almost certain it would ship more than 20M this year, but i'm not as sure anymore. 19M still seems like the safest bet this year.

Cheers, I've added conversions to USD to the OP.

Metroid Prime, Metroid 2d, Pikmin, Starfox, Kid Icarus, 3d Donkey Kong, Mother 4, etc. They have a huge backlog they can do for years to come. And on top of that, Botw2 shows us they are willing to do two games from the same series in one generation. Now start imagining Odyssey 2, Tropical Freeze sequel, etc. They have so much they can do, and have hardly tapped all their ips this gen so far. They could make games for 10 years and still not hot all their ip for Switch generation, unless they greatly expanded output and studio size.

I'm not sure why these numbers would change your prediction, it's quite clear Nintendo is deliberately trying to lower stock on shelves to make way for the 2 new models releasing this quarter.