Okay, I've been making a conscious effort to be more positive over the last year, and this comment may well come back to bite me on the arse, but I have trouble seeing Astral Chain become a smash hit. I don't think it will flop, but it just seems a bit too niche to be runaway success. It's got the usual Platinum dual-problem of being stylistically non-mainstream and receiving little to no advertising. Even most Switch owners I know weren't aware of its existence until I brought it up.

However, a game I can see possibly broaching the 10 million barrier lifetime is Luigi's Mansion 3; LM2 managed nearly 6 million on the 3DS and the Switch has demonstrated far greater software-selling power than its handheld predecessor.

They should have looked for a way to combine 2 and 4, being the Robo and the VR kit. Since the former has a visor anyway, it just makes sense to me to put both of them together.

At the rate it is going, it even has a shot at overtaking Mario Kart Wii, and that's without counting the Wii version. Mario Kart Wii, which btw is still selling and shows up regularly on the Amazon Top 100.

That reminds me, anyone has a clue if Nintendo made new shipments of MKWii this quarter again? I think there were 300k last quarter (or was that the holiday quarter?) iirc, so it's not impossible.

Well, if you take a look at Japan, several countries in Europe and the US, then the PS4 is down by quite a bit in most regions by about 30%.

It's possible that US retailers have ordered the console en masse in prospect of the tariffs so they'll have a complete stock before this happens. With the new Switch models incoming, they couldn't do the same with Nintendo, giving them even more space to fill up with Playstations.

In fact, it might not be the tariffs on consoles only, but since there were a slew of tariffs that came into effect yesterday, there might have been something in those that could have negatively impacted the console market.

But all this is to be taken with a heavy grain of salt. I think we'll have a clearer picture during the next quarter results.

According to VGC, 13.1%.

http://www.vgchartz.com/article/439757/year-on-year-sales-amp-market-share-charts-july-20-2019/

That's all of the markets combined. Including others (which are probably up compared to last year) and all countries in Europe, while I just said some countries in Europe.

In the US and in Japan however, sales seem to be around 30% down. For instance, the PS4 sold almost 700k so far in Japan, but it did over 1M already by this point last year. In the US, PS4 sales are marketly down from last year according to NPD, at least until April (we didn't get any June results). I'll give you Shadow1980's charts for you to see:

See how that Dark Blue line at the end in every month from March to May was the lowest it ever reached in those months, and January and February it only managed to equal the lowest numbers of those months. The last chart says it all: 2018 was at over 1.5M at that point, while 2019 barely managed to get past the 1M mark.

It also seems to be down by a similar amount in some European countries, though Europe as a whole isn't down by that much.

Nice. This means the Switch should surpass the Xbox One between December 2019 to march 2020. That attach rate is incredible.

Looking at those tie ratios I must be one of like 6 Switch owners who doesn't own BOTW, Mario Kart 8, or Smash Ultimate on it, lulz

Don't forget there's a holiday season before that, and with a mainline Pokemon title to boot. In other words, XBO should be overtaken this year already.

Wait, what? You don't own BotW? Do you own the Wii U version or something?

Yeah, got it on Wii U as I was far from sold on Switch at the time. I wanted to wait and see if the Switch was going to turn out to be another Wii U type failure before I bought one, so I didn't bite the bullet til October 2017.