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Bandorr said:
SanAndreasX said:

Only ten states conduct runoff elections, eight of them in the South. The exceptions are South Dakota and Vermont, and runoffs are only conducted in Vermont if there is a tie between the two front-runners. Runoff elections were conceived as a way to keep the evangelical establishment (which meant white supremacist back when these laws were enacted) in power in Southern states. So the person who gets the most votes in Nevada gets the seat (and Cortez-Masto has narrowed the gap down to a few hundred).

In Alaska and Maine, where they have ranked choice voting, candidates regularly win with less than half. Paul LePage never won a majority on either of his two terms as governor. Mary Peltola, the Democratic front-runner for Alaska's at-large congressional district, holds 46% of the vote, but is benefitting because the Republican vote is split between Sarah Palin and Nick Begich. Thankfully so, because Palin is ahead of Begich, and Palin will hopefully go away forever if she loses this time.

You can't really split the vote if it is ranked choice.  To argue they are splitting the vote you'd also have to argue that everyone that voted for one of them - would have voted for the other.

We know that to be false because of ranked choice voting.  The last run the Belich voters chose Mary over Palin. I think the number was like 30% of them not choosing a second choice. Which means that if they had to choose only one vote and that vote couldn't be belich most of them wouldn't have voted for palin.

Cool. I still live in a winner-takes-all jurisdiction so I don't have personal experience with RCV. So I wonder how many people who voted Peltola had Begich or Palin as their second choice. I have a friend who is a park ranger in Maine and suffered for eight years under Paul LePage, who won one of his elections with just 37.6% of the vote. He is very glad that LePage lost this time, needless to say.

On that note, our Senate election was called for Mark Kelly, which is a relief, and Katie Hobbs is still holding her own against Kari Lake. Arizona counts ballots at a glacial pace.



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A Story of how Young Voters Saved the Dems and Demoralised the Reps, it's a story of how Social justice policies really do influence young voters to step out and vote, hopefully politicians, experts and the media will learn something this time  



The AP just called the Nevada Senate election for Catherine Cortez Masto (D). The Democrats now control 50 Senate seats, with Georgia still to be decided in the December runoff. They have a very slim chance to retain the House. WA-3 just flipped blue for the first time in 12 years with the victor of Mary Glusenkamp Perez over Joe Kent.

In Arizona, Adrian Fontes (D) defeated election denier Mark Finchem (R). Katie Hobbs is maintaining a lead over Kari Lake. In my district, Jevin Hodge holds a very slim lead over incumbent David Schweikert. I was gerrymandered into Schweikert's district from Ruben Gallego's district, so if Schweikert loses, it will be awesome.



It's lovely to see the red wave pretty much evaporate.



smroadkill15 said:

It's lovely to see the red wave pretty much evaporate.

Thank god, I was keeping track of the estimates on 538.com and it was looking good about 2 months ago and then started to swing in the wrong direction. Started to make me worry. Glad the final counts were not as bad as they seemed like they could be. 



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Torillian said:
smroadkill15 said:

It's lovely to see the red wave pretty much evaporate.

Thank god, I was keeping track of the estimates on 538.com and it was looking good about 2 months ago and then started to swing in the wrong direction. Started to make me worry. Glad the final counts were not as bad as they seemed like they could be. 

I saw that with Kari Lake vs. Katie Hobbs in Arizona. Hobbs was ahead through the summer, then Lake started pulling ahead in the last couple of weeks before the election. The last few 538 polls also showed Oz pulling ahead of Fetterman, Laxalt ahead of Cortez Masto, and Kelly in a dead heat with Masters. Kelly won by 5 points. 



Rab said:

A Story of how Young Voters Saved the Dems and Demoralised the Reps, it's a story of how Social justice policies really do influence young voters to step out and vote, hopefully politicians, experts and the media will learn something this time  

Imagine that.  Republicans makes young live difficult, takes away their freedoms, denigrates them and then go all bonkers when the youth doesn't vote for them.



Katie Hobbs beats Kari Lake!

I wanted to wait until more elections were called to start celebrating, and this was a big one. It's deeply concerning how many grifters and fascists were on the ballot this year. Some won in red districts, others came alarmingly close in swing districts, but thankfully those swing districts have remained just sane enough to reject them. With the Senate already a lock I think momentum favors Warnock over Walker in Georgia. Getting rid of Boebert would be the cherry on top but wasn't even on the table initially and if this is how she performs without big funding pushes against her she may not get reelected next time anyway.

It was definitely a nail biter and certainly not all good news (gonna suck if/when we lose the House), but over all I'm feeling a lot better than I expected to about these midterms.



Speaking as an Arizona resident and voter, glad I could do my part to get Hobbs elected and send Lake packing. Lake needs to go find a job as a weather person up in Idaho, or better still, Russia. The AG race is still undecided, with Kris Mayes holding a razor-thin lead over Abe Hamadeh with 99% precincts reporting. Unfortunately, I'm stuck with David Schweikert as my representative in the House. They did an absolute bang-up job at gerrymandering Arizona's congressional districts.



I am not sure its the progressive polices but instead just bad timing by republicans. If SC had waited until after the mid terms to overturn Roe things could have turned out different. Also this crusade that the GOP has with the LGBT community was also probably a factor. Before, GOP kind of just ignored the community but they were actively campaigning against them which probably solidified their base but lost them many more independents. A lot of the races were very close and usually in those situations, independent voters are the ones that swing them one way or the other.