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Forums - Politics - Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

LOL. Mike from Humanist Report has made a short video about waiting for the Iowa results. Funnily enough he plays Switch in one of the takes, so it fits a video game site.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMyMB4ZVGuU



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10 years greatest game event!

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Bofferbrauer2 said:

You can see the early results here on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Iowa_Democratic_caucuses#Results

And it's a slaughtering for Biden so far. 25% for Bernie. 22 for Warren, 18 for Buttigieg... and just 13 for Biden, even a few votes behind Klobuchar!

Yeah, as far as I can see it is still the same as RCP has, and that is for less than 2% of precincts. So it may give a first impression, but still take it with a grain of salt. Although reports from the campaign indicate similar results regarding Biden. But between Bernie, Warren and Buttigieg I would wait for more data before calling a winner.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Mnementh said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

You can see the early results here on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Iowa_Democratic_caucuses#Results

And it's a slaughtering for Biden so far. 25% for Bernie. 22 for Warren, 18 for Buttigieg... and just 13 for Biden, even a few votes behind Klobuchar!

Yeah, as far as I can see it is still the same as RCP has, and that is for less than 2% of precincts. So it may give a first impression, but still take it with a grain of salt. Although reports from the campaign indicate similar results regarding Biden. But between Bernie, Warren and Buttigieg I would wait for more data before calling a winner.

looks like it's gonna be a long day... or night if yu prefer



Here we go again....

Last edited by uran10 - on 04 February 2020

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If Biden donated more than a thousand dollars, he would have won. Shameful display! As it stands, he'll gather less than Gillibrand for sure. Ten grand is almost enough to buy a car, so that's obviously closer to what you need to rig a statewide primary where voters are aware in real time of how things went on each prescinct. Yang was the most shafted of them all: his raffles could probably have paid for the entire presidential election, but instead he continued to buy 4Chan memes.



 

 

 

 

 

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Why does Pete claim victory so early? With little results? Can someone give a reasonable answer?

It seems pretty clear that Bernie won the thing.



OTBWY said:
Why does Pete claim victory so early? With little results? Can someone give a reasonable answer?

It seems pretty clear that Bernie won the thing.

I wouldn't call it for Bernie so early, the fuckup of the DNC makes all data unreliable. What I read indicates, that it might have happened that voters switched to Mayor Pete in districts where Biden was not viable. I thought it would go the other way.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Also Fivethirtyeight says this big fuckup might influence strongly the whole nomination process. Probably a good thing for Biden and a bad thing for Sanders and Buttigieg.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowa-might-have-screwed-up-the-whole-nomination-process/



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Mnementh said:
Also Fivethirtyeight says this big fuckup might influence strongly the whole nomination process. Probably a good thing for Biden and a bad thing for Sanders and Buttigieg.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowa-might-have-screwed-up-the-whole-nomination-process/

I disagree. Regardless of Iowa's screw up (which was to stop Bernie's momentum and save Biden) Biden was below the threshold for everything shown, and in most districts he didn't get anything. In early results and those live streamed ones we saw Biden was either barely viable or not viable for the most part while Bernie was viable in all. We know the Bernie camp has the full results and I've heard that the Iowa DNC has called a meeting with him and are scrambling to get his precinct captains notes and the results to try to verify the results. Either way, this showing is going to hurt Biden, not help. They may have been able to stop the "BERNIE WINS" headlines when most were expecting it, but Biden being below the threshold is still a thing and people already saw that.



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Mnementh said:
OTBWY said:
Why does Pete claim victory so early? With little results? Can someone give a reasonable answer?

It seems pretty clear that Bernie won the thing.

I wouldn't call it for Bernie so early, the fuckup of the DNC makes all data unreliable. What I read indicates, that it might have happened that voters switched to Mayor Pete in districts where Biden was not viable. I thought it would go the other way.

I guess so but I am asking cause all parties here have their internal data, and they all say different things. So how come those are fully disclosed and then cross referenced or something. Bernie Sanders released data with him clearly being above the rest.

And yes, this is bad optics no matter how you look at it. An absolute joke.