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Forums - Politics - US Medicare For All Bill as good as dead now?

irstupid said:
Megiddo said:

Unfortunately about half the population of the US enjoys being anally reamed by the high costs of private healthcare. Must be something in the water, or maybe they like the feeling of wasted spending.

Anyway, thankfully the Republican base is literally dying away and as long as Democrats can keep the corporatists from holding the reins to the party (they haven't managed it yet but who knows) then there may actually be a little bit of hope for the United States joining the rest of the world in the most fiscally efficient method of healthcare which will guarantee it to all US citizens like practically every other country in the world.

Since the AIA, mine, and everyone I knows premiums have all gone up by at least 50% at the minimum.

Unfortunately for you there is large-scale data that completely refutes this anecdote. According to Kaiser Family data, premiums were increasing at an average of 6-7% per year in the US during the 1990s and 2000s. However in the 2010s, after the ACA was enacted, premiums have increased on average of 3%.

So despite whatever back-asswords inkling you might have in your head, the ACA has lowered the growth of premiums by half of their prior pace and healthcare spending in general has slowed from its prior pace as well.

 



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Puppyroach said:

Well, where I live it´s quite common with research in both the public and the private sector and the government buys the medicines to sell to citizens. Some medicine is quite expensive but we have a high-cost safety net where you nver pay more than approx. 265$ per year for medicine. And we still manage to have way lower expenses per capita for healthcare with a better healthcare outcome than the US. So there must be something about our model that just works =).

What exactly is this "high-cost safety net" that you speak of ? Healthcare outcomes are more than just drug prices ... 

$265 per capita is only enough to cover the R&D expenses of pharma companies in the US. Does that "something" about your nation's model includes the US being a sacrificial lamb ? If so how would that help them since they're the ones being used already ? Should big pharma in the US just pass the cost of development to Europe instead ?  

You should be fortunate enough that your fragile model isn't facing a trade war where your nation would lose access to the most modern foreign developed medicine like how China is experiencing a crisis in their IT industry since their access to US semiconductor technology has been circumvented ... 

I assume that your nation simply doesn't see the value in having a independent technology sector which is a shame since your success will be entirely hinged upon if you guys cross roads with the US or not ... (with the UK leaving the EU, you now face more disunity than ever in a big and growing industry where a couple big players like the UK and Switzerland are fading from your picture)

Having said all of that what exactly is your nation's biggest contribution to the global pharmaceutical industry ? 



Puppyroach said:
Mr Puggsly said:

Its incredibly naive to think the public options is going to be at par with the private option. If that was the case, there wouldn't really be a reason for the private option to exist.

Our government already spends a fortune providing healthcare services to about 1/3 of the country with mixed results.

The wealthy already pay a vast majority of the taxes. For the most part, people want to keep their private options. If the government forces people to pay your hypothetical $1000 into the public option, many may not be able to afford the private option they prefer.

So yeah, some sort of public options existing as option is something many people would support. But don't be surprised if people oppose the government takeover of healthcare. Primarily because we have little faith in government to operate that.

Well, we have that setup in our country, kind of like the US model within education with public schools and charter schools (we also have charter schools).However, private alternatives would likely never be able to exist without government funding. 

I'm not sure what your point is exactly... but even with school people want alternatives to the public option. Republicans and libertarians actually argue for the voucher system, which allows parents to use money that would go to a public schools to pay for private school instead. Charter schools function with less money than public school just to operate with less interference.

Personally, I think blue states like New York or California should create universal healthcare at a local level and see how that goes. Force everybody in the state to pay a new high tax they can't opt out of, even those happy with their private option. Then lets wait and see how many people escape or vote red.



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fatslob-:O said:
Puppyroach said:

Well, where I live it´s quite common with research in both the public and the private sector and the government buys the medicines to sell to citizens. Some medicine is quite expensive but we have a high-cost safety net where you nver pay more than approx. 265$ per year for medicine. And we still manage to have way lower expenses per capita for healthcare with a better healthcare outcome than the US. So there must be something about our model that just works =).

What exactly is this "high-cost safety net" that you speak of ? Healthcare outcomes are more than just drug prices ... 

$265 per capita is only enough to cover the R&D expenses of pharma companies in the US. Does that "something" about your nation's model includes the US being a sacrificial lamb ? If so how would that help them since they're the ones being used already ? Should big pharma in the US just pass the cost of development to Europe instead ?  

You should be fortunate enough that your fragile model isn't facing a trade war where your nation would lose access to the most modern foreign developed medicine like how China is experiencing a crisis in their IT industry since their access to US semiconductor technology has been circumvented ... 

I assume that your nation simply doesn't see the value in having a independent technology sector which is a shame since your success will be entirely hinged upon if you guys cross roads with the US or not ... (with the UK leaving the EU, you now face more disunity than ever in a big and growing industry where a couple big players like the UK and Switzerland are fading from your picture)

Having said all of that what exactly is your nation's biggest contribution to the global pharmaceutical industry ? 

It´s a government funded safety net that means the government covers cost above that amount, which in turn is funded by all citizens through the universal healthcare system. And you are looking at this matter from a faulty perspective since there is nothing that says R&D needs to be as expensive if you ave a proper right-off period for its benefits.

The second part you will need to prove with some facts because it just sounds made up =).

We have independent research companies. For example, Astra was founded in Sweden and later marged with Zenica to form Astrazenice, one of the world largest pharmaceutical companies. 

When it comes to contributions within the field, you need to look at several key factors.

- One is publications: https://www.scimagojr.com/countryrank.php?area=2700&year=2017. In this area the US contributes with about 16 times more citations, yet the US is about 30 times as big as a country.

- You can also look at the global innovation index: https://www.globalinnovationindex.org/analysis-indicator where we rank fifth in the world in R&D (this is within all areas though).

- We are also fourth in the world in terms of spending on research and development: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_research_and_development_spending.

If you want a specific example of medical innovations, well the Pacemaker is a Swedish invention.

The mistake many on your side of the argument makes though, is that you don´t argue around the fact that we should look at life expectancy, not the number of innovations. If the US is such a succesful country in the medical field, why are they aranked 31 in the world? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy



Puppyroach said:

It´s a government funded safety net that means the government covers cost above that amount, which in turn is funded by all citizens through the universal healthcare system. And you are looking at this matter from a faulty perspective since there is nothing that says R&D needs to be as expensive if you ave a proper right-off period for its benefits.

The second part you will need to prove with some facts because it just sounds made up =).

We have independent research companies. For example, Astra was founded in Sweden and later marged with Zenica to form Astrazenice, one of the world largest pharmaceutical companies. 

When it comes to contributions within the field, you need to look at several key factors.

- One is publications: https://www.scimagojr.com/countryrank.php?area=2700&year=2017. In this area the US contributes with about 16 times more citations, yet the US is about 30 times as big as a country.

- You can also look at the global innovation index: https://www.globalinnovationindex.org/analysis-indicator where we rank fifth in the world in R&D (this is within all areas though).

- We are also fourth in the world in terms of spending on research and development: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_research_and_development_spending.

If you want a specific example of medical innovations, well the Pacemaker is a Swedish invention.

The mistake many on your side of the argument makes though, is that you don´t argue around the fact that we should look at life expectancy, not the number of innovations. If the US is such a succesful country in the medical field, why are they aranked 31 in the world? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy

Isn't Astrazeneca a british private big pharma company though ?  

Sure R&D doesn't need to be expensive if you're only looking to break even but isn't it a smarter idea to keep the profits so that you can build your next generation drug candidates and keep doing that perpetually and so forth instead constantly bankrupting every biotechnology startup ? Does the latter somehow not seem dysfunctional to you in the slightest ? Besides R&D for drug candidates keeps doubling every decade ... (I fear it's getting prohibitively expensive to innovate new drugs since Gilead just had to fork over 10 billion dollars to get production rights for a single molecule) 

Citations aren't everything. China is 3rd in terms of # of citations but their data is mostly garbage and they mostly don't bring drug candidates for the most part so far ... 

Using life expectancy as a measure of success is not a very useful comparison point. Japan decimates just about every western liberal democracies in terms of life expectancy at a portion of the price compared to all OECD nations but would any sane physician say that Japan is somehow delivering higher quality of care than their western counterparts ? Singapore has the 3rd highest life expectancy yet it doesn't have a single payer healthcare system but it also destroys just about every nation in value for only spending a fraction of their healthcare costs compared to everyone else. At that point instead of the question being framed as to why the US spends so much per capita on a worse healthcare outcome the same question can be raised about why European countries are spending more on healthcare yet have worse outcomes than Singapore ? 

Again life expectancy doesn't actually tell you anything about the quality of the healthcare delivered. "What happens if you remove deaths from fatal injuries from the life expectancy tables? Among the 29 members of the OECD, the U.S. vaults from 19th place to…you guessed it…first. Japan, on the same adjustment, drops from first to ninth."



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fatslob-:O said:
Puppyroach said:

It´s a government funded safety net that means the government covers cost above that amount, which in turn is funded by all citizens through the universal healthcare system. And you are looking at this matter from a faulty perspective since there is nothing that says R&D needs to be as expensive if you ave a proper right-off period for its benefits.

The second part you will need to prove with some facts because it just sounds made up =).

We have independent research companies. For example, Astra was founded in Sweden and later marged with Zenica to form Astrazenice, one of the world largest pharmaceutical companies. 

When it comes to contributions within the field, you need to look at several key factors.

- One is publications: https://www.scimagojr.com/countryrank.php?area=2700&year=2017. In this area the US contributes with about 16 times more citations, yet the US is about 30 times as big as a country.

- You can also look at the global innovation index: https://www.globalinnovationindex.org/analysis-indicator where we rank fifth in the world in R&D (this is within all areas though).

- We are also fourth in the world in terms of spending on research and development: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_research_and_development_spending.

If you want a specific example of medical innovations, well the Pacemaker is a Swedish invention.

The mistake many on your side of the argument makes though, is that you don´t argue around the fact that we should look at life expectancy, not the number of innovations. If the US is such a succesful country in the medical field, why are they aranked 31 in the world? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy

Isn't Astrazeneca a british private big pharma company though ?  

Sure R&D doesn't need to be expensive if you're only looking to break even but isn't it a smarter idea to keep the profits so that you can build your next generation drug candidates and keep doing that perpetually and so forth instead constantly bankrupting every biotechnology startup ? Does the latter somehow not seem dysfunctional to you in the slightest ? Besides R&D for drug candidates keeps doubling every decade ... (I fear it's getting prohibitively expensive to innovate new drugs since Gilead just had to fork over 10 billion dollars to get production rights for a single molecule) 

Citations aren't everything. China is 3rd in terms of # of citations but their data is mostly garbage and they mostly don't bring drug candidates for the most part so far ... 

Using life expectancy as a measure of success is not a very useful comparison point. Japan decimates just about every western liberal democracies in terms of life expectancy at a portion of the price compared to all OECD nations but would any sane physician say that Japan is somehow delivering higher quality of care than their western counterparts ? Singapore has the 3rd highest life expectancy yet it doesn't have a single payer healthcare system but it also destroys just about every nation in value for only spending a fraction of their healthcare costs compared to everyone else. At that point instead of the question being framed as to why the US spends so much per capita on a worse healthcare outcome the same question can be raised about why European countries are spending more on healthcare yet have worse outcomes than Singapore ? 

Again life expectancy doesn't actually tell you anything about the quality of the healthcare delivered. "What happens if you remove deaths from fatal injuries from the life expectancy tables? Among the 29 members of the OECD, the U.S. vaults from 19th place to…you guessed it…first. Japan, on the same adjustment, drops from first to ninth."

Well that was convenient, remove life expectancy as a factor in order to reach first place 😊. And publications as well a citations are the usual measurements with which you estimate the success within a field.



Haha, I enjoy the argument you guys are having, but I think this new topic of the value of universal healthcare vs privatized is way off the rails =D

I see several posts I want to respond to, but then I would be contributing to the derailment; something I have been trying to stop doing recently =D



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

the-pi-guy said:
contestgamer said:
Hope so. Quality of healthcare would go down for the top 1%. There's a reason billionaires come to the US for their treatments from around the world.

I've asked you this before, do you have a source for that claim?

What exactly are you trying to source? The US has the best hospitals and surgeons in the world, if you can afford to get the highest level of care.



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the-pi-guy said:
Mr Puggsly said:

Personally, I think blue states like New York or California should create universal healthcare at a local level and see how that goes. Force everybody in the state to pay a new high tax they can't opt out of, even those happy with their private option. Then lets wait and see how many people escape or vote red.

As long as the state is actually able to put together a plan that works, that'd mostly be fine.  

The challenge would be that healthy people who are able to move, would be more likely to move out of the state.  And sick people who would want to take advantage of that, would move into the state.  Causing prices to rise.  

A lot of people would be likely to vote red, even if the plan was saving them money.  Because "high taxes" are highly demonized and the blame goes on the government, even though the alternative is paying even more to a company.

That's the thing, if you're confident it could save people money and in theory provide them equal quality of healthcare, it will prove to the country its the best way to provide healthcare.

If states want to provide healthcare for all its population, they can do it with some limits. For example, don't allow people to move in simply to drain healthcare resources, they would not qualify for the state's socialized healthcare. A socialized healthcare system needs be responsible with its resources, something dems seem to ignore when suggesting we should provide free healthcare for countless illegals.

Last edited by Mr Puggsly - on 09 October 2018

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SpokenTruth said:
Mr Puggsly said:

Personally, I think blue states like New York or California should create universal healthcare at a local level and see how that goes. Force everybody in the state to pay a new high tax they can't opt out of, even those happy with their private option. Then lets wait and see how many people escape or vote red.

You can't do universal at a non-universal level.  Do you not understand what universal means? 

Being universal enables far greater price management.  If you remove that price management aspect, you remove the efficacy of such a system.  You can't trial universal in one state because the not all the beneficial mechanisms of universal would be there. 

Obviously I mean universal at a state level, its not a new concept I'm creating. I'm not even sure why we use the word universal, maybe it just sounds nice but it was the language used in Vermont when they were considering it.

Just raise taxes on everybody and businesses which would happen anyway. Also limit who can benefit from the healthcare system but can't contribute. Hence, don't allow people to come into the state just to sponge off the system.

Last edited by Mr Puggsly - on 09 October 2018

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