Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Pachter: Switch on track to sell only 8 million systems this Fiscal Year

Given that Pachter, whether he’s positive or negative, tends to predict the opposite of what ends up happening...can’t say this really sways me much either way here. XD

Switch could certainly miss its forecast. It’s first quarter was basically the same as last year. But predicting 8 million seems a tad...overblown.

Nintendo has always made the bulk of its sales during the holiday season. Given that Nintendo didn’t lower their expectations after Labo floundered, I imagine they’ve always thought they’d make the bulk of their sales with Pokemon and Smash.



Around the Network
Jumpin said:
Megiddo said:

Isn't it down YoY so far despite last year having massive supply issues/shortages?

It's down in shipments by 80K, but up in sales by 1 million.

Wow, it's up that much in sales? Can you link your source to this information?



Megiddo said:
Jumpin said:

It's down in shipments by 80,000 but up in sales by 700,000.

Wow, it's up that much in sales? Can you link your source to this information?

www.nintendo.com for shipments
www.vgchartz.com for sales



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Does he mean 8m for the holiday season or actually 8m for the whole fiscal year?



He means it's tracking for 8 million in the fiscal year. Meaning that if quarters 2-4 are just like the first quarter that's what it would end up as. From what I read he made zero prediction/estimation of the actual sales for the fiscal year, only that it was probable it will not make the 20 million goal.



Around the Network
contestgamer said:
Pachter has been right with MOST o his predictions for the past 10 years I've followed him. Sure, he's not right 100% of the time, but he's usually accurate, so this seems likely.

Hope when he say anything negative about ps4, you will agree with him



Megiddo said:
He means it's tracking for 8 million in the fiscal year. Meaning that if quarters 2-4 are just like the first quarter that's what it would end up as. From what I read he made zero prediction/estimation of the actual sales for the fiscal year, only that it was probable it will not make the 20 million goal.

As others have pointed out, that's still a dumb thing to say, as it acts as if there is no historical trend for holiday boosts. Worse case scenario, it matches last year. Personally, I think it hits 17M-18M. 



Patcher is always wrong. Just take the opposite of what he says and you get the right answer! Wait. What's the opposite of 8 million?



Tag:I'm not bias towards Nintendo. You just think that way (Admin note - it's "biased".  Not "bias")
(killeryoshis note - Who put that there ?)
Switch is 9th generation. Everyone else is playing on last gen systems!

Biggest pikmin fan on VGchartz I won from a voting poll
I am not a nerd. I am enthusiast.  EN-THU-SI-AST!
Do Not Click here or else I will call on the eye of shinning justice on you. 

8M only?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6abmXivp-AI

Quote from the Video (around the 7:48 Mark): "Nintendo is just out for lunch, I think they have no idea what they're doing!"

His 8 Million comment is at around 9:00, says Nintendo is tracking for 8 Million, and "they're missing [the 20M target] by a mile"

His argument is in both cases that the Switch is too expensive, that Nintendo has no strategy and that the price would need to drop to 199 to sell even close to 20M

While we're at it, he says also that crunch is a rare thing in the Videogame industry... and then explains exactly why that's not the case

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 20 August 2018

Bofferbrauer2 said:

8M only?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6abmXivp-AI

Quote from the Video (around the 7:48 Mark): "Nintendo is just out for lunch, I think they have no idea what they're doing!"

His 8 Million comment is at around 9:00, says Nintendo is tracking for 8 Million, and "they're missing [the 20M target] by a mile"

His argument is in both cases that the Switch is too expensive, that Nintendo has no strategy and that the price would need to drop to 199 to sell even close to 20M

While we're at it, he says also that crunch is a rare thing in the Videogame industry... and then explains exactly why that's not the case

Hahaha LOL