Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Pachter: Switch on track to sell only 8 million systems this Fiscal Year

Nautilus said:
Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Why he having big influence in game media ?

He has zero influence nowadays.People just make threads about him for the laughs, and as has already been said, he is basically a meme now.

He has a ton of influence on people that matter, people investing in video game companies on the stock market. And I dont see the problem with that, Pachter is brilliant at his job in the field.



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Megiddo said:

Title needs to be updated as he only mentions that the Switch is tracking towards only shipping 8 mil this fiscal year, which is basically just saying that the first quarter was awful, which it was. Nintendo needs stronger quarters than that if it hopes to come even close to shipping 20 million this fiscal year.

Right.  Commenters here are taking this out of context.  He's just extrapolating out numbers based on a slow first quarter.  He did not say that he thinks Switch cannot pass 8mm, he's just working with the data that actually exists.  



It seems like he is a supporter of the Switch Falling of The Cliff Statement!



Pocky Lover Boy! 

contestgamer said:
Nautilus said:

He has zero influence nowadays.People just make threads about him for the laughs, and as has already been said, he is basically a meme now.

He has a ton of influence on people that matter, people investing in video game companies on the stock market. And I dont see the problem with that, Pachter is brilliant at his job in the field.

 

 

User warned - Bristow9091

Last edited by Bristow9091 - on 20 August 2018

My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

curl-6 said:

https://nintendosoup.com/michael-pachter-believes-nintendo-switch-will-fail-to-sell-20-million-units-this-fiscal-year/

Now there's a truly... ah... "bold" prediction.

For reference, Nintendo aims to sell 20 million this FY, and last FY they sold 15 million.

And this guy actually gets paid for his predictions.

He doesn't even have the acumen to factor in the holiday pick up he just multiplied the earlier quarterly sales then again this is the same person who later in that video when talking about gaming residuals tries to make an example as to why you need a good lawyer, brings up Stan Lee from Marvel, shows he knows nothing about early Marvel by confusing himself on Stan lee's work , then states stan lee is destitute because he' was ripped off , is corrected on air by his producer who states that Stan lee is worth over a 100 million then tries to spin that saying  yes he should be worth billions he was in every movie , not realising Stan Lee unlike George Lucas never held creative rights to all of Marvel in his own name ,he co created some beloved superheros and married into the firm becoming marvels public face all this earning him millions but Marvel was never his to the extent that he would have made billions , Jack Kirby  would have been a better choice.



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VAMatt said:
Megiddo said:

Title needs to be updated as he only mentions that the Switch is tracking towards only shipping 8 mil this fiscal year, which is basically just saying that the first quarter was awful, which it was. Nintendo needs stronger quarters than that if it hopes to come even close to shipping 20 million this fiscal year.

Right.  Commenters here are taking this out of context.  He's just extrapolating out numbers based on a slow first quarter.  He did not say that he thinks Switch cannot pass 8mm, he's just working with the data that actually exists.  

No matter what way you look at it, its a dumb comment.

Q1 was down ~5% YoY, so how in the world does that translate to being down almost 50% YoY for the full fiscal year?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

8M only in NA i think.



Prediction: In 5 years Nintendo will Lauch a "Core Mario game"  very similar to Astro Bot. That said, many will Ignore Astro Bot existence and say Nintendo created this concept.

I'd love to know what his average day is like. Is this his main gig? If so, what a lovely little grift. I kinda want to meet him.



Chinese food for breakfast

 

I said 10-12 million on another thread, and no one seemed to agree. 20 mil are high expectations and 8 are too low. The truth lies somewhere in the middle.



Nintendo Switch faces an uphill battle because of its "problematic" $299 price point and an "underwhelming" slate of launch titles, Wedbush video games analyst Michael Pachter has said.

Pachter says Switch hardware sales will reach one million in financial year 17, which ends March 31, although Nintendo has stated it will ship two million units in March. The following year Pachter forecasts Switch sales of five million units.


https://www.videogamer.com/news/pachter-gives-his-nintendo-switch-verdict