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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Pachter: Switch on track to sell only 8 million systems this Fiscal Year



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contestgamer said:
Pachter has been right with MOST o his predictions for the past 10 years I've followed him. Sure, he's not right 100% of the time, but he's usually accurate, so this seems likely.

I highly doubt the Switch would just sell 2 million per quarter for the rest of the fiscal year. It would be likely if we ignore the fact that the holiday season boosts the sales of every game system. 



Actually, he said it's tracking to sell 8 millions.



HoloDust said:
Actually, he said it's tracking to sell 8 millions.

That's still too low considering sales for game systems are usually higher than other quarters of the year.



Michael Patcher in 2018. Just not.



Switch Friend Code = 5965 - 4586 - 6484

PSN: alejollorente10

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Megiddo said:

Title needs to be updated as he only mentions that the Switch is tracking towards only shipping 8 mil this fiscal year, which is basically just saying that the first quarter was awful, which it was. Nintendo needs stronger quarters than that if it hopes to come even close to shipping 20 million this fiscal year.

Its still a dumb statement because it completely ignores the holiday boost. They shipped just under 2 million in Q1 so that would mean no boost whatsover to get to 8m shipped.

A professional analyst should have the common sense to factor in seasonal variations in sales, its one thing to say they will miss their 20m forcast (very possible) its a totally different thing to say they will miss it by 60% and be down ~45% YoY.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Surely he must be trolling? Unless Smash and the holidays are canceled, there's no way Switch is only selling 8 million for the entire fiscal year.



Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Why he having big influence in game media ?

He has zero influence nowadays.People just make threads about him for the laughs, and as has already been said, he is basically a meme now.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

Nautilus said:
Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Why he having big influence in game media ?

He has zero influence nowadays.People just make threads about him for the laughs, and as has already been said, he is basically a meme now.

He has a ton of influence on people that matter, people investing in video game companies on the stock market. And I dont see the problem with that, Pachter is brilliant at his job in the field.



Megiddo said:

Title needs to be updated as he only mentions that the Switch is tracking towards only shipping 8 mil this fiscal year, which is basically just saying that the first quarter was awful, which it was. Nintendo needs stronger quarters than that if it hopes to come even close to shipping 20 million this fiscal year.

Right.  Commenters here are taking this out of context.  He's just extrapolating out numbers based on a slow first quarter.  He did not say that he thinks Switch cannot pass 8mm, he's just working with the data that actually exists.