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Megiddo said:

Title needs to be updated as he only mentions that the Switch is tracking towards only shipping 8 mil this fiscal year, which is basically just saying that the first quarter was awful, which it was. Nintendo needs stronger quarters than that if it hopes to come even close to shipping 20 million this fiscal year.

Right.  Commenters here are taking this out of context.  He's just extrapolating out numbers based on a slow first quarter.  He did not say that he thinks Switch cannot pass 8mm, he's just working with the data that actually exists.