By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - How is the Switch going to sell 20M when it only sold 1.88M this quarter?

Y’all sleeping on Pokemon Let’s Go that’s all I’m gonna say



Around the Network

Kids usually get their presents on Christmas.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

Simply put, it won't.
Is has shipped less than 5M unit this half of the year, haven't it? Even if it sells like last year and shipps around 7M in Q4 it would need another 8M in Q3 to ship 20M units this year.
Now, fiscal year would not count the 3M from Jan-Mar of this year but from next year instead, but expecting it to ship like we had this year keeps the projection the exact same.
So Nintendo needs to ship a bit more than 15M units from July to December. It won't happen.
Nintendo completely overblew their projections.



TheGamer_1995 said:
Y’all sleeping on Pokemon Let’s Go that’s all I’m gonna say

Because its like The Colour Splash version of Paper Mario.
Its changeing the formula of pokemon... It ll probbly sell well, but I doubt it ll be a fan favorite in the series.



Depends on how much Nintendo is willing to go to reach their own target. If they're happy with being a million or two off but with maximised profits then probably not. But if they think it's important to get that bigger install base they can go 3DS and give Switch price cuts, bundles, probably too early for a revision but they can release special coloured editions.



Around the Network

Same topic open for the 4th time ?



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TGM3 MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Western record on TGM3 EASY : 1484
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

Nope. As I said in the financial thread, if they beat every quarter from last year by 1M, or just the holiday quarter by 3M, they will still be a little over 2M behind. 17M-18M is what it'll do.

The only thing that may help is a $50 price cut. Bundles alone aren't going to cut it. 



zorg1000 said:
Wii in fiscal year Apr 09-Mar 10 is probably the best comparison.

Q1-2.23
Q2-3.52
Q3-11.31
Q4-3.48

It kinda just coasted with small-medium tier titles for most of the year and had two big things that pushed sales like crazy during the holidays.

1. Price cut in the last week of Sept.
2. New Super Mario Bros Wii in Nov.

Its similar to Switch this year in that its been coasting with some medium tier titles and is saving two big guns for the holidays, Pokemon & Smash Bros while likely also getting its first value bundles.

New Super Mario Bros. Wii was the great and last Wii system seller. The sales spike in December was legendary.



20M units this fiscal year was always a very optimistic goal by Nintendo. Back then I didn't expect them to reach this number and now with the Q1 result it's seems even more unlikely.



zorg1000 said:
Wii in fiscal year Apr 09-Mar 10 is probably the best comparison.

Q1-2.23
Q2-3.52
Q3-11.31
Q4-3.48

It kinda just coasted with small-medium tier titles for most of the year and had two big things that pushed sales like crazy during the holidays.

1. Price cut in the last week of Sept.
2. New Super Mario Bros Wii in Nov.

Its similar to Switch this year in that its been coasting with some medium tier titles and is saving two big guns for the holidays, Pokemon & Smash Bros while likely also getting its first value bundles.

Thank you for the data. Do you know where we can find EVERY fiscal Q results for every machines ?

So I still bet that Switch will break the Q3 record of all time and make a 12M. So 20M is still reachable :

Q1 = 1,88

Q2 = 4

Q3 = 12

Q4 = 4

If they make a price cut they can reach 22M+



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TGM3 MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Western record on TGM3 EASY : 1484
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary