Smash Bros + Pokemon in this FY with some other games like Fire Emblem, will hit 20m mark.
If Pokemon is 2019. game but everything points it's this year game, Nintendo will probably have some other heavy hitter for this FY alongside Smash Bros.
Switch is selling better than XB1 desipte XB1 had Monster Hunter, Far Cry 5, AC Origins...also Switch sales until now are very comparable with PS4 2nd year on market.
Pokemon probably will release this year. But what's going to keep the Switch selling in the first 3 quarters of this year? It might well win the fall/holidays, but it's not garunteed. Spider-Man, CoD, Battlefield 5, Red Dead Redemption, Kingdom Hearts 3 are all games the PS4 will have over Smash and Pokemon, and Sony aren't even expecting to sell 20 million.
At the rate both consoles are going now, PS4 is looking like it will be a good 3 million units ahead (or more) of the Switch by September. This is before Spider-Man, CoD, Battlefield and Red Dead release. I have no doubt Smash and Pokemon will do wonders for Switch, but PS4 has some crazy lineup of games coming at around the same time.
The Xbox One argument is moot because PS4 and Xbox One share the same pie, but Sony has the lion's share. They have the mindshare hence the vastly better sales. Do we have to go through this?
First quarter of FY 2018. in witch Nintendo expecting to ship 20m starts on 1. April. What was going keep seling Switch in 1st 3 months of calendar in witch Switch sold almost 3m whitout big games!? Smash Bros could be September release (FY Q2 release), Pokemon November release (FY Q3 release). PS4 sales dont have anuthing with Switch sales, I dont see why you keep mentione them, there is reason why Sony expecting that PS4 will sell 16m and why Nintendo expecting that Switch sell 20m, Smash Bros and Pokemon would whitout problem will push Switch to 20m in FY 2018 beacuse we talking about one of Nintendo biggest system seller games.
Yeah, Smash Bros and Pokemon will do wonders from September until December, just in time period it could easily sell/ship around 10m.
You are one that bringed XB1 in talk, saying that XB1 has big 3rd party games while Switch dont them, while Switch is still selling better despite those games and despite XB1 has probably its best year.