Pokemon + Smash should get it close to 20m.
And maybe Switch at 299$ bundled with Mario Kart? that should do it (also increase nintendo subscriptions for online services).
Pokemon + Smash should get it close to 20m.
And maybe Switch at 299$ bundled with Mario Kart? that should do it (also increase nintendo subscriptions for online services).
I can see the breakdown going something like this:
April - 1m
May - 1m
June - 1m
July - 1.5m (Octopath/Yokai)
August - 1m
September - 2m (Smash)
October - 1.5m
November - 3.5m (Pokemon)
December - 4m
January - 1.5m
February - 1.5m
March - 1.5m
Megiddo said:
@Nuvendil As well What signs do we have? I haven't seen anything other than the initial teaser video. |
Every game that was an updated port was stated from the start to be an updated port.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
LethalP said:
Talking calander years, what do you expect Switch to sell? |
For calander year around 16-18 million, fiscal year at around 17.5-19.5 million sold through with 20 million shipped. Once Pokemon releases I predict a slightly higher baseline for Switch (especially in Japan for the following months) that's why I believe it will sell more in the fiscal year than calendar year.
Last edited by Green098 - on 18 May 2018I doubt they will price cut this year, they have little reason to do it with Pokemin and Smash releasing, expecially considering they have plans to make the Switch last longer than usual.
Even if they don't reach 20m thay can still get quite close to it with those two games plus some e3 surprises.
I guess when Nintendo made that 20 million goal they thought that LABO would move a lot more units. Now 20 million, even with Pokemon, isn't going to be easy/likely.
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prob with 3 versions of pokemon and from the looks of it some more 3rd party support coming up from what I saw on the supposed e3 list. They can make a good run at it. Not to mention if they have new switches or colors you can only get by buying a new switch.
Megiddo said:
Also for some who don't remember, the Wii U had Smash Bros. It's not the end-all-be-all system seller, especially if the NSW Smash Bros is just a port with a bit of new content. |
Wii U also had 3D Mario, MK8, Mario Maker and Splatoon, but all those games come on Wii U when Wii U was already considered for fail and they couldn't change much, but those game are selling Switch units. Also, it seems that Smash Bros for Switch is new game not just port with new content.
Metroid33slayer said: It wont sell 20 million at the rate it's selling even accounting for a big holiday boost. sony predicts 16 million for the fiscal year and its tracking above the switch for a few months so even 16 million will be tough for the switch. |
Offcourse it want at this rate, but with more relases and bigger games it will start selling better esapcily in second half of year when we will have games like Smash Bros, most likly Pokemon and Fire Emblem with some other games. Switch sold 3m in January-March period without big releases,with more relases and bigger games can sell only better. Also Nintendo always can start realsing bundles (console is still selling for $299 whitout game), Black Friday deal and even price cut if its needed one. Saying that Switch want reach 20m just because Sony forecasted 16m for PS4 and had best April from launch because of GoW launch, dont make too much sense.
Nautilus said: I dont see how people are worried about this.Not yet anyway.A clear sign of why the Switch sold "low" numbers in April is easily explained:Lack of a compelling software launched on that month.Mario, Zelda and XC2 are all big games, but they cant keep pushing the system forever(even though they are the ones that are mostly carrying the sales this first half of the year).And I mean, just look at march.The Switch sold MUCH better that month because it had a new compelling software launching that month: Kirby.And mind you, it was not the best Kirby game ever released. Now consider the second half of the year launching with Smash, Fire Emblem, Yoshi, Pokemon potentially between end of the year and somewhere early next year, and whatever new title Nintendo announces at E3, and you have one hell of a lineup going July foward.Not to mention that third party will tend to get better as the Switch gets older.Also, you have Yokai Watch 4 in Japan releasing this year, and even though the series is in decline, its still relevant. There is so much stuff going in favor of the system that I wouldnt worry about reaching that milestone. |
They are not, most of them just using this not good month for Switch like reason to be negative about future Switch sales.
Last edited by Miyamotoo - on 18 May 2018A price drop, and games that would entice the non Nintendo audience.
It already has Zelda, add to that a great pokemon rpg , Bayonetta 3 and more gamers will buy it.
I still think sell-through for this calendar year will be around 17.5m. I think sales for the fiscal year will be similair, maybe a slightly higher 18m.
I think they'll still ship 20m this fiscal year, but there will be plenty of units on shelves.