If it wasnt supply constrained and they sold say 1.5m retail I'd have guessed a natural 20% digital attach ratio for this. That is 300k digital. So i guess all things considered ~2m isn't beyond the realm of possibility it's just mind blowing and hard for me to accept..

From what I've heard the game has small download size so that should help. That's the biggest detriment to digital games, the file sizes. Anyway 33% digital isn't too high with games like Destiny 2 having 50% sales digital on consoles and this an online focused game.

What recent posts? You mean in reference to that Tweet from Takashi Mochizuki?



Takashi seems to be refering to Capcom's "5 million shipped + digital" statement.
Famitsu are definitely not.

I've already explained this in my previous post:

I had a friend fluent in Japanese double check this for me, and he concurred.
They're talking about sales figures already made in Japan over 3 days (1,35m), and that if you include the downloaded version, the number of sales are estimated to have surpassed 2m.

I edited this into my post before you replied, but I'll repeat it here:

But you're saying that the 3 day (1,35m) figure is shipped units? Well they used the term sold (売), and I don't know how they usually refer to shipped units, but whether the 1,35m figure is shipped or sold, the digital ratio using Famitsu's physical (1,35m) numbers is 32,5%.

I was hesitant to use Famitsu's 1,35m figure at first because I wasn't sure why it differed so much from MC numbers, but it appears MC's numbers are based on 2 days of tracking, and Famitsu's are based on 3 days?

Yes, but I'm wondering why MC and Famitsu physical sold units differ so much? 1.24m vs 1.35m
I can tell you for sure that Famitsu's numbers are based on 3 days. (発売3日間)
Are Media Create's numbers definitely based on 2? If so, that explains the disparity.

And in that case, if we use Famitsu's numbers for physical, the digital ratio comes down to 32,5%.
650 000 / 2 000 000 = 0,325

Is that still hard to believe?

Is that based on 3 days? Sounds very close to Famitsu's number.

Yes, but I'm wondering why MC and Famitsu physical sold units differ so much? 1.24m vs 1.35m
I can tell you for sure that Famitsu's numbers are based on 3 days. (発売3日間)
Are Media Create's numbers definitely based on 2? If so, that explains the disparity.

And in that case, if we use Famitsu's numbers for physical, the digital ratio comes down to 32,5%.
650 000 / 2 000 000 = 0,325

Is that still hard to believe?

Yes, but I'm wondering why MC and Famitsu physical sold units differ so much? 1.24m vs 1.35m
I can tell you for sure that Famitsu's numbers are based on 3 days. (発売3日間)
Are Media Create's numbers definitely based on 2? If so, that explains the disparity.

And in that case, if we use Famitsu's numbers for physical, the digital ratio comes down to 32,5%.
650 000 / 2 000 000 = 0,325

Is that still hard to believe?

Even without shortages, Tekken 7 had 21,5% digital sales during it's opening month.
[PS4] Tekken 7 – 100,010 (78,484 physical, 21,526 digital) 21,5% digital

I can't speak for everyone's mindset, but when it comes to me I'm more likely to go for digital if it's a game I plan to play over a long period of time. (As having it accessible at all times is more convenient than swapping discs often.) That's usually not the case for Jrpgs. I play through them once and then I'm done. But a game like Street Fighter 4 I played actively for 6 years. And Monster Hunter is the type of game to get regular free updates, weekly challenge quests, etc, and it just generally motivates progression long after you 'finish' the game.

So I can see why games like Tekken and MH can be more attractive as digital options for that reason.
I'm not sure how the popularity between MHW and DQXI differs overall (PS4 + 3DS + Switch), but on PS4 alone there's no doubt that MHW was much more popular first week.
And from what I can tell, DQXI only sold through 76% of it's initial shipment: http://nintendoeverything.com/dragon-quest-xi-sold-through-76-of-its-initial-shipment-in-japan-gave-3ds-a-huge-boost/
Although that seems to count both 3DS and PS4.
But MHW reportedly did 95%. So everything seems to be in favor of more digital for MHW.

If Tekken 7 could do 21,5% then I think a sold out MHW could probably do 32,5%.

How is it "quite easy" for a game that sold 100k to have a high digital ratio?
I don't see the correlation between lower sales and high digital ratio, unless we're talking about figures like '2 units sold', where you can't get a proper estimate of people's tendencies. But 100 000? That's quite a large number of people. Explain how that number is more likely to 'quite easily' prompt a higher digital ratio? Their tendencies are going to remain the same. You don't base your decision making on whether you should go with physical or digital on "I wonder how many other people bought this game? If it's 1m+ I'll buy physical. But if it's 100k, I'll buy digital."
That's definitely not how it works. People's decisions are based on other factors.

CoD is a type of game that's designed to be played competitively over a longer period. FFXV and MGSV are (generally) not.
Systems like 3DS that come with limited storage space have a lower incentive for digital downloads than consoles that are designed to accommodate digital downloads more properly.
The data I pulled up in regards to Tekken 7 was actually from a comparison between consoles and handhelds when it came to digital ratio. And the overal digital download ratio for PS4 games appear noticeably higher than for 3DS, and probably for the obvious reasons.