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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu: Super Mario Odyssey sold 511,625 units within first three days in Japan

Nevermind, just checked ResetEra. 3rd highest Mario FW ever, behind NSMB Wii and NSMB, 936k and 865k respectively.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

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SMO got beaten by Splatoon 2, while launching on a larger user-base though.



''Hadouken!''

guiduc said:

What the flamio! And it doesn't include digital sales? So, SMO is the biggest launch for any 3D Mario game ever. And it's mind-boggling how much of a push this has been for hardware, even bigger than on Splatoon 2's launch week (98k I think).

Can't wait for the official Media Create numbers :)

Well, to be fair, thats only because Nintendo had more supply to sell now compared to Splatoon 2 launch.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

Goddamn, that is insane.



Nautilus said:
guiduc said:

What the flamio! And it doesn't include digital sales? So, SMO is the biggest launch for any 3D Mario game ever. And it's mind-boggling how much of a push this has been for hardware, even bigger than on Splatoon 2's launch week (98k I think).

Can't wait for the official Media Create numbers :)

Well, to be fair, thats only because Nintendo had more supply to sell now compared to Splatoon 2 launch.

Yes but still, they handled SMO's launch better.



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That would mean, globally, boost to around 500,000 Switchs sold that week.



I was expecting 500k at first, and then decreased my prediction to 450k because of COMG... Stupid COMG >:(



If Mario Odyssey sold >500k in Japan (and there are digital sales), 900k in USA seem very likely.



Mar1217 said:
palou said:
Well, except if Nintendo has grossly underestimated their own sales, it looks like I've lost my bet. Congrats to Slarvax.

We still don't have FW sales for the US .... + isn't your bet about the first week of sale and not the first 3 days ?

It's NPD, only the last 2 (!) days of the month are included in that iteration. 

 

The problem is, if it sold over 500k in Japan, we know it should be around 500k in Europe, leaving 1m for rest of world and US, so even if we disconsider disrepencies between total/reported reatil total (aka digital), that leaves less than 850k for the us, probably around 775k without day 3.



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.

palou said:
Mar1217 said:

We still don't have FW sales for the US .... + isn't your bet about the first week of sale and not the first 3 days ?

It's NPD, only the last 2 (!) days of the month are included in that iteration. 

The problem is, if it sold over 500k in Japan, we know it should be around 500k in Europe, leaving 1m for rest of world and US, so even if we disconsider disrepencies between total/reported reatil total (aka digital), that leaves less than 850k for the us, probably around 775k without day 3.

Yup. It's gonna be really close. And we know Odyssey did pretty well in UK (around 80k physically), so I think 500k for EU seems accurate. Let's give RotW 100k, and that would put US at exactly 900k

But it also depends what Nintendo decides to announce on NPD. The 2 million WW numbers are sell through, so shipped could be closer to 2.3-2.5m. If they announce shipped, you have a higher chance of winning, and for sell through I have a higher chance of winning.

What a race.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988