By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict Lifetime Sales for All Current Consoles

 

Will 3DS or Switch sell more?

3DS 48 21.82%
 
Switch 132 60.00%
 
Tie (within 5 million) 25 11.36%
 
See results 15 6.82%
 
Total:220
Platina said:
I'm pretty bad at predicting

3DS: 73M
PS4: 105M
XOne: 58M
Switch: 75M

So do you predict you'll be wrong?




I make music, check it out here on Bandcamp, Spotify, and Youtube!

Around the Network

3DS: 78M
PS4: 112M
XBO: 46M
NSW: 118M



3DS - 71,5M
PS4 - 125,5M
XboxOne - 52M
Switch - 83M



3DS: 72M
PS4: 112M
Xbox One: 62M
Nintendo Switch: 92M



3DS - 75M
PS4 - 110M
XBOX ONE - 73M
SWITCH - 82M

Some of you all's predictions are very optimistic to say the least. Especially the ones that has the Switch beating the PS4 in lifetime sales.



PSN ID- RayCrocheron82

XBL Gamertag- RAFIE82

NNID- RAFIE82/ Friend Code: SW-6006-2580-8237

YouTube- Rafie Crocheron

Around the Network
Rafie said:
3DS - 75M
PS4 - 110M
XBOX ONE - 73M
SWITCH - 82M

Some of you all's predictions are very optimistic to say the least. Especially the ones that has the Switch beating the PS4 in lifetime sales.

Wait... you're telling other people that their predictions are optimistic right after predicting 73 million for Xbox One?



StarDoor said:
Rafie said:
3DS - 75M
PS4 - 110M
XBOX ONE - 73M
SWITCH - 82M

Some of you all's predictions are very optimistic to say the least. Especially the ones that has the Switch beating the PS4 in lifetime sales.

Wait... you're telling other people that their predictions are optimistic right after predicting 73 million for Xbox One?

73M isn't plausible for the Xbox One?!



PSN ID- RayCrocheron82

XBL Gamertag- RAFIE82

NNID- RAFIE82/ Friend Code: SW-6006-2580-8237

YouTube- Rafie Crocheron

Rafie said:
StarDoor said:

Wait... you're telling other people that their predictions are optimistic right after predicting 73 million for Xbox One?

73M isn't plausible for the Xbox One?!

Considering how you predict 110M for PS4, not really.

You think the lifetime gap between PS4 and Xbox One is going to be 37M.

PS4 is currently at 62M, while Xbox One is currently at 30.5M, a gap of 31.5M

So you think that PS4 is going to sell 48M for the rest of its life, while Xbox One is going to sell 42.5M for the rest of its life, even though Xbox One has consistently been outsold by PS4 by a factor of over 2 to 1 for its entire life and is now being regularly outsold 3 to 1.



StarDoor said:
Rafie said:

73M isn't plausible for the Xbox One?!

Considering how you predict 110M for PS4, not really.

You think the lifetime gap between PS4 and Xbox One is going to be 37M.

PS4 is currently at 62M, while Xbox One is currently at 30.5M, a gap of 31.5M

So you think that PS4 is going to sell 48M for the rest of its life, while Xbox One is going to sell 42.5M for the rest of its life, even though Xbox One has consistently been outsold by PS4 by a factor of over 2 to 1 for its entire life and is now being regularly outsold 3 to 1.

After a while, every console hits a plateau in sales. I do think the PS4 will be over 100M, seeing as it's tracking with the PS2. I think the Xbox One is still selling well. Just not as well as the PS4. So that 73M is still realistic to me. Nothing more than 75M. I don't think it's a stretch. My optimistic comment was really toward those that think the Switch will beat out the PS4 in LT sales. While the Switch is selling quite well. It's still too early to say that it will beat out the monster that is the PS4 (saleswise). Sony pretty much has the rest of the planet in it's hands. The fight is closer in the US and I believe the Switch will overtake the PS4 in Japan. That's about it though.



PSN ID- RayCrocheron82

XBL Gamertag- RAFIE82

NNID- RAFIE82/ Friend Code: SW-6006-2580-8237

YouTube- Rafie Crocheron

Rafie said:
StarDoor said:

Considering how you predict 110M for PS4, not really.

You think the lifetime gap between PS4 and Xbox One is going to be 37M.

PS4 is currently at 62M, while Xbox One is currently at 30.5M, a gap of 31.5M

So you think that PS4 is going to sell 48M for the rest of its life, while Xbox One is going to sell 42.5M for the rest of its life, even though Xbox One has consistently been outsold by PS4 by a factor of over 2 to 1 for its entire life and is now being regularly outsold 3 to 1.

After a while, every console hits a plateau in sales. I do think the PS4 will be over 100M, seeing as it's tracking with the PS2. I think the Xbox One is still selling well. Just not as well as the PS4. So that 73M is still realistic to me. Nothing more than 75M. I don't think it's a stretch. My optimistic comment was really toward those that think the Switch will beat out the PS4 in LT sales. While the Switch is selling quite well. It's still too early to say that it will beat out the monster that is the PS4 (saleswise). Sony pretty much has the rest of the planet in it's hands. The fight is closer in the US and I believe the Switch will overtake the PS4 in Japan. That's about it though.

So you do expect Xbox One to start selling as well as PS4? At the end of this year, the gap between the two consoles is likely to already be 37M. Xbox One: 36M, PS4: 73M. Mathematically, the only way for Xbox One to sell as well as you expect it to sell compared to PS4 is for Xbox One to start selling as well as or better than PS4 after this year.