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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict Lifetime Sales for All Current Consoles

 

Will 3DS or Switch sell more?

3DS 48 21.82%
 
Switch 132 60.00%
 
Tie (within 5 million) 25 11.36%
 
See results 15 6.82%
 
Total:220

Oh, fun!

3DS: 75m
PS4: 120m
Xbone: 55m
Switch: 100m



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PS4: 110m; it's going to continue selling very well, but don't think it'll be PS2 ubiquitous

Switch: 80m; too early to tell, could very well be higher, depending on whether it can recapture the 3DS audience

3DS: 75m; the system has peaked, plus Nintendo will be keen to move support to the Switch after this year

XBone: 45m; they'd be lucky to get this high, will probably try to cut the generation short, again



mZuzek said:
Platina said:
I'm pretty bad at predicting

3DS: 73M
PS4: 105M
XOne: 58M
Switch: 75M

So do you predict you'll be wrong?

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[3DS] Winter Playtimes [Wii U]

PS4: 102 million
Xbox One: 48 million
Switch: 83 million
3DS: 74 million



Dang, a lot of you are way more optimistic about Xbox One's future sales than I am



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PlayStation 4 - 200 Million
Xbox One - 70 Million
Switch - 120 Million
3DS - 75 Million

Switch is the hardest to predict, it could do 40 Million left as is, or it could do 240 Million if they go full on mobile in future iterations. 3DS should slow way down/stall next year. Xbox will do better than people expect, but Windows is the future of gaming in the Micosoft ecosystem. PlayStation will have further iterations of PS4 reaching even higher and lower tiers, making PlayStation 4 a choice for people wanting a set top box, to those that want the best performance available, but don't want a PC.



Stop hate, let others live the life they were given. Everyone has their problems, and no one should have to feel ashamed for the way they were born. Be proud of who you are, encourage others to be proud of themselves. Learn, research, absorb everything around you. Nothing is meaningless, a purpose is placed on everything no matter how you perceive it. Discover how to love, and share that love with everything that you encounter. Help make existence a beautiful thing.

Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010 

KBG29 on PSN&XBL

KBG29 said:
PlayStation 4 - 200 Million
Xbox One - 70 Million
Switch - 120 Million

Switch is the hardest to predict, it could do 40 Million left as is, or it could do 240 Million

Wow. I didn't know the forum rules even allowed this level of wrong.

Edit: I mean, you know something isn't right when the most likely prediction is 120m Switch.




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mZuzek said:
KBG29 said:
PlayStation 4 - 200 Million
Xbox One - 70 Million
Switch - 120 Million

Switch is the hardest to predict, it could do 40 Million left as is, or it could do 240 Million

Wow. I didn't know the forum rules even allowed this level of wrong.

Edit: I mean, you know something isn't right when the most likely prediction is 120m Switch.

The PS4 prediction may be a bit high. It will outsell PS2 lifetime, but maybe not quite 200 million. I see extreamly strong legs once the 7nm super slim model arrives at $149.99. With OTT TV services growing and the Set Top Box becoming a staple of every TV. PS4 will be the ultimate device for any room in the house for many years to come.

What is wrong with XBO though? It will be in the high 30 millions by the end of the year as best we know, and we are on the not even at the half way point for sales. Why would it not roughly double over the next 4 years? It will benefit from the surge in OTT TV as well, and it will have a 7nm revision as well which will make it easily one of the best options in the market of Rokus, Amazon Fire TV, and Apple TV devices.



Stop hate, let others live the life they were given. Everyone has their problems, and no one should have to feel ashamed for the way they were born. Be proud of who you are, encourage others to be proud of themselves. Learn, research, absorb everything around you. Nothing is meaningless, a purpose is placed on everything no matter how you perceive it. Discover how to love, and share that love with everything that you encounter. Help make existence a beautiful thing.

Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010 

KBG29 on PSN&XBL

3DS: 75M
PS4: 110M
Xbox One: 55M
Nintendo Switch: 100M

Currently it's still very hard to predict Switch sales, its only 6-7 months on market and its was most of time supply constrained on most on markets, I think we need at least another whole year of sales without stock problem and than to make some more accurate predictions.



KBG29 said:
PlayStation 4 - 200 Million
Xbox One - 70 Million
Switch - 120 Million
3DS - 75 Million

Switch is the hardest to predict, it could do 40 Million left as is, or it could do 240 Million if they go full on mobile in future iterations. 3DS should slow way down/stall next year. Xbox will do better than people expect, but Windows is the future of gaming in the Micosoft ecosystem. PlayStation will have further iterations of PS4 reaching even higher and lower tiers, making PlayStation 4 a choice for people wanting a set top box, to those that want the best performance available, but don't want a PC.

Based on your prediction, do you suppose that PS4/XB1 will have another revision somewhwere around 2019-2021 instead of proper next-gen? Because if they won't that's highly unlikely that PS4 will sell that much. And your statement about Windows being the future of gaming in MS ecosystem... While I agree with it, I still don't see it coming in the near future. They've got a long way to go. I doubt Windows 10 will be able to become a decent gaming platform in the next 5 years. MS has made very little progress since last year with it. And they basically need to kill off Steam probably if they want to use Windows 10 instead of Xbox as their main focus. And the problem with MS is that they are some kinda impatient so they can give up on that idea just like they did with GFWL.