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Forums - Sales Discussion - When Will The Switch Outsell the Xbox One?

 

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Never 147 21.68%
 
1st half 2018 31 4.57%
 
2nd half 2018 58 8.55%
 
1st half 2019 90 13.27%
 
2nd half 2019 140 20.65%
 
1st half 2020 64 9.44%
 
2nd half 2020 70 10.32%
 
1st half 2021 18 2.65%
 
2nd half 2021 21 3.10%
 
2022 and beyond 39 5.75%
 
Total:678
Jigsawx1 said:
CGI-Quality said:

Why?

sorry for 2 posting.i forgot to quote.....

Because is has no 3rd party support and it cant be the casual Mainstream console because the Ps4 is that. So it has the same fanbase then the wiiu had and no mariokart or splatoon can change that it would be same if someone want to tell you that the Xbox One (X) could outsell the ps4 because of a good halo 6 or GoW 5......

I think it will selll better then the WIIu perhaps it doubles or triples the sales but it wont outsell the Xone when the switch will reach 30 Million the Xone will be at 50 i think we will reach this point at the mid of 2020

You are forgetting, it is the best handheld ever made and we are getting a Pokemon for it.
Easy 50+ million minimum.
No system that has had a mainline Pokemon game ever has sold under 60 million units lifetime.



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I voted for second half 2020, but I could see it being first half 2020 or maybe even holidays 2019. I think its pretty much a race to 50 million. Xbox will be limping across 50 million in 2020, getting ready for a new xbox, while Switch is blowing by 50 million around the same time. After this year Switch should be doing 15-20+ million a year, so yeah early 2020 it should pass 50 million and it should be past xbox by that point.



2021



Slownenberg said:
I voted for second half 2020, but I could see it being first half 2020 or maybe even holidays 2019. I think its pretty much a race to 50 million. Xbox will be limping across 50 million in 2020, getting ready for a new xbox, while Switch is blowing by 50 million around the same time. After this year Switch should be doing 15-20+ million a year, so yeah early 2020 it should pass 50 million and it should be past xbox by that point.

So you think it will sell better then the Ps4? why it is behind the ps4 in weekly?

If the switch continous ( I dont think that) to outsell the Xone by 70k a week it would need  ~ 7 years to close the gap..........

 

My opinion is that the switch and Wiiu combined will be behind the Xone by 10 million after this "generation" so when the starting system dont get new gaming content.

And that the Xbox is at 50 million in the mid of 2020 is a very low prediction because it is selling ~9 million units per year so normally it should be around 55 million in the mid of 2020



Jigsawx1 said:
Slownenberg said:
I voted for second half 2020, but I could see it being first half 2020 or maybe even holidays 2019. I think its pretty much a race to 50 million. Xbox will be limping across 50 million in 2020, getting ready for a new xbox, while Switch is blowing by 50 million around the same time. After this year Switch should be doing 15-20+ million a year, so yeah early 2020 it should pass 50 million and it should be past xbox by that point.

So you think it will sell better then the Ps4? why it is behind the ps4 in weekly?

If the switch continous ( I dont think that) to outsell the Xone by 70k a week it would need  ~ 7 years to close the gap..........

 

My opinion is that the switch and Wiiu combined will be behind the Xone by 10 million after this "generation" so when the starting system dont get new gaming content.

where did he say anything about it outselling PS4?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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zorg1000 said:
Jigsawx1 said:

So you think it will sell better then the Ps4? why it is behind the ps4 in weekly?

If the switch continous ( I dont think that) to outsell the Xone by 70k a week it would need  ~ 7 years to close the gap..........

 

My opinion is that the switch and Wiiu combined will be behind the Xone by 10 million after this "generation" so when the starting system dont get new gaming content.

where did he say anything about it outselling PS4?

"15-20 million per year"   <--- there



Jigsawx1 said:
zorg1000 said:

where did he say anything about it outselling PS4?

"15-20 million per year"   <--- there

PS4 has sold 15-20 million per year



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

To me it all depends on stock issues. I voted Second Half of 2019, but if they fix stock issues and release Pokémon in October 2018, I think it will surpass X1 sometime in December 2018.



End of 2019.



At the moment I say never, it's still too early to tell if the Switch will be a success or if it is all hype. I will re evaluate after its first year.