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Forums - Sales Discussion - When Will The Switch Outsell the Xbox One?

 

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Never 147 21.68%
 
1st half 2018 31 4.57%
 
2nd half 2018 58 8.55%
 
1st half 2019 90 13.27%
 
2nd half 2019 140 20.65%
 
1st half 2020 64 9.44%
 
2nd half 2020 70 10.32%
 
1st half 2021 18 2.65%
 
2nd half 2021 21 3.10%
 
2022 and beyond 39 5.75%
 
Total:678
Jigsawx1 said:
40m lifetime is max so it won`t will surpass the Xone

It's all ready sold 10% of that in just 3 months...



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Surprised at the amount of "nevers".

The XB1 went from competing against ps4, to competing against ps4, switch, AND themselves on the PC. So if this is literally about xb1s being sold - then I easily see the switch beating that.

I don't see the switch being a 100 million seller, but I think it can easily do 60-80. While I think xb1 will be stuck around 50 give or take.

Eventually Nintendo will fix their stock issues. So I'd say 2020 at the latest.



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Idk. Depends right?

I'm going for 15 million a year for Switch. Pokemon will be the definitive factor in this. Pu..probably 2nd 2019  but anything could happen though, kinda far-fetched eh? Anyways, the Switch outselling the Xbox One seems inevitable as weekly sales are much worse retrospectively for the Xbox One. The sales have always been stagnant and not groundbreaking, so maintenance is all the Switch needs. Otherwise, it could simply not outsell the Xbox One at all. But even stock issues beg to differ...

zzz



I'm going to say 2nd half of 2020. I personally see XB1 hitting about 50m by the end 2020, when the next Xbox console will most likely release. I think it's going to take Switch at least 3 years to pass XB1 then, so sometime in the 2nd half of 2020.



Bandorr said:
Surprised at the amount of "nevers".

The XB1 went from competing against ps4, to competing against ps4, switch, AND themselves on the PC. So if this is literally about xb1s being sold - then I easily see the switch beating that.

I don't see the switch being a 100 million seller, but I think it can easily do 60-80. While I think xb1 will be stuck around 50 give or take.

Eventually Nintendo will fix their stock issues. So I'd say 2020 at the latest.

For some reason seems they don't reply here.



My prediction in 2021.

SW: 30m

PS5 16m

XBS: 7.5m

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The poll should have only 3 options. Never, before 2020 or after 2020...



 

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  • Deadliest mass shooting by an individual in US history (10/01/2017)
  • Deadliest high school shooting in US history (02/14/2018)
  • Deadliest massacre of Jews in US history (10/27/2018)
  • Political assassination attempt of TWO former presidents(and 10+ other people)  (10/23/2018 - and beyond)
curl-6 said:
Does anyone seriously think it won't outsell it in the end? Even with supply issues, Switch's first year is on track to be bigger than any year of Xbone by a significant margin. And this is just the beginning; once supply constraints are solved, and hardware revisions, price cuts, and Pokemon start to hit, the Switch will be a monster.

For me it is the same as saying (does anyone think it seriously will outsell it).  We simply can't know yet what the holiday sales will be for Xone/Switch Great sure but who wins what will the gap be? So how can we know what 18-20 will be?






Bandorr said:
Wiibaron said:
The poll should have only 3 options. (1)Never, (2)before 2020, or (3)after 2020...

That is only two options..

You might want to count again



konnichiwa said:
curl-6 said:
Does anyone seriously think it won't outsell it in the end? Even with supply issues, Switch's first year is on track to be bigger than any year of Xbone by a significant margin. And this is just the beginning; once supply constraints are solved, and hardware revisions, price cuts, and Pokemon start to hit, the Switch will be a monster.

For me it is the same as saying (does anyone think it seriously will outsell it).  We simply can't know yet what the holiday sales will be for Xone/Switch Great sure but who wins what will the gap be? So how can we know what 18-20 will be?

Do you really expect the Switch to go from outselling the XOne 2-1 in the middle of the year to being behind in the holidays?