Yes I agree first year looks very impressive and I believe Pokemon will boost the sales but then you get at a point what's next and we don't know, we don't know for xbox one and we don't know yet for Switch. Will third party be a succes on the Switch how big will third party support be in 18-20? How many will go for the Switch or skip it and only makes games for Xone/PS4, next GTA?RDR2/COD/FIFA/destiny2/KHIII/Anthem/Metro and so on...
Switch doesn't really need AAA third party blockbusters like GTA or Destiny, just like 3DS and Wii didn't need them.
Of course MS are hiding there numbers, back before the S model came out. They are sticking to not telling gamers the numbers because all its doing is creating negative feedback for the platform. Its smart actually not to reveal sales numbers. All MS care about is the profit at the end if the day.
Halo is on the decline yet Halo 4 is one of the best selling Halo games, out selling many of the previous ones apart from 3 and Reach? I dont understand your logic here.
X1 is too expensive yet the Switch is more expensive to buy?
The Switch does not appeal to the 4k industry or movie industry. The Switch also lacks 3rd party support, something X1 does well im.
How do you know Halo 6 or Sea of Thieves wont be major hits? Haha thats an assumption. I am just giving examples here. Red Dead 2 will sell well on X1 or the next GTA game.
Why would MS replace the foundation they just built? They wouldnt he heavily focused on BC games just so they can restart again. Switch will be a hard sell in afew years when 4k becomes the norm. X1 wont.
Even if the Switch doesn't outsell X1. Sales doesnt lead to quality. Switch and X1 are still great platforms with very good benefits on both.
It's simple; Halo Reach sold less than 3, then 4 sold less than Reach, now 5 is selling less than 4. That's a constant sales decline for the last 10 years and three entries.
And Switch is $300 USD, Xbox One X is $500. XBX is likely not going to being a big hit at that price when people can get a PS4 Pro for less. Third party support similarly won't help Xbone much cos pretty much every third party game you can get on it you can also get on the more popular PS4. Switch on the other hand doesn't really need AAA third party support, it's selling on its first party lineup. Exclusive games sell systems, and Xbox One can't match Switch in this department.
Xbox One's trajectory is pretty much set at this point in its life. The system is a well known quantity, consumer perception of it has solidified, and its major cards have mostly been played already. (Removing Kinect, price cuts, hardware revision, Halo, Gears) Nothing from now on is going to massively change its sales curve.
Switch on the other hand is tracking well ahead of Xbone already and still has many powerful cards to play, from solving its supply issues, to hardware revisions, to price cuts, to big system sellers like Pokemon, Splatoon 2, and Mario Odyssey.
And Switch won't be a hard sell in 4 years at all; the average consumer cares less about specs than you think, and by 2021 Switch will be much cheaper than it is now, and have a massive library of killer exclusives under its belt.
Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.