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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - I predict switch will sell worse than wii u!

AZWification on 04 February 2017

There seems to be way more NS hype than there was WiiU hype. Japanese 3rd party support will also help quite a lot!



                
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Nem on 04 February 2017

It's perfectly possible. The thing is, despite what people think, Nintendo can't support an HD console by themselves. They need third party support.

So, the switch will obviously experience draughts, just like every Nintendo system after the Snes. Even the sucessful Wii lost much of its support on its last years cause third parties jumped ship.
The underpowered home console gig just doesn't fly with developers and publishers. The Nintendo console for Nintendo games only works for fans. So, it's perfectly possible. Especially if you add the unsatisfied Wii U owners.



MDMAlliance on 04 February 2017
mZuzek said:
MDMAlliance said:

Why do you doubt it will be just that?  If this really is a home console first, wouldn't it make it less likely that a mainline Pokemon game will release on it?  Especially given that the philosophy is to keep the games on handheld systems, and you know how stubborn Nintendo can be.

Pokémon games have always been on handhelds to encourage people to take it with them and interact with others who also play the same game. There is absolutely no reason why the Switch wouldn't allow people to do that.

In fact, if you look at recent games, it is clear the series has been getting more and more ambitious, and Sun & Moon were barely playable on the 3DS. The games are demanding better hardware, and the Switch is right around the corner.

BUT
You have to remember, this is Nintendo.



dharh on 04 February 2017
KingofTrolls said:
Bullshit OP. Switch is the only handheld with reasonable power + normal architecture.

Problem here is the battery life.  2-5 hours which probably means 3 hours of typical usage is not enough to make it through the day.



A warrior keeps death on the mind from the moment of their first breath to the moment of their last.
zorg1000 on 04 February 2017
Nem said:

It's perfectly possible. The thing is, despite what people think, Nintendo can't support an HD console by themselves. They need third party support.

So, the switch will obviously experience draughts, just like every Nintendo system after the Snes. Even the sucessful Wii lost much of its support on its last years cause third parties jumped ship.
The underpowered home console gig just doesn't fly with developers and publishers. The Nintendo console for Nintendo games only works for fans. So, it's perfectly possible. Especially if you add the unsatisfied Wii U owners.

I dont think anybody has said that Nintendo can support a device all by themselves, but even with great 3rd party support a Nintendo device needs a solid output of Nintendo games because ultimately those are the biggest reasons to buy any Nintendo device.

Having a solid output of Nintendo games becomes increasingly difficult as development staff/time/cost increases and it's not feasible for Nintendo to provide adequate support to two seperate devices any longer.

Switch needs to be the successor to both 3DS & Wii U in order for Nintendo output to be adequate, if its just the Wii U successor and Nintendo releases a seperate successor to 3DS that is more powerful than Vita, Nintendo output will be poor on both devices and 3rd party support will be split.

The best move for Nintendo is to consolidate their software teams, their userbase & their 2nd/3rd party partners to create a single successful device rather than two seperate poor/mediocre selling devices.

Theoretically, s single device selling 50 million units of hardware & 350 million units of software is likely more profitable for Nintendo than selling two devices at 10-15 million & 35-40 million units of hardware with 100 million & 250 million units of software.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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LudicrousSpeed on 04 February 2017

I predict that you make a lot of bad predictions.



small44 on 04 February 2017

If people considered it more home console than it will fail,if they considered it like a handheld it would sell well.



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

zorg1000 on 04 February 2017
small44 said:
If people considered it more home console than it will fail,if they considered it like a handheld it would sell well.

I think people need to stop arguing over semantics.

"Its a home console that can be played on the go!!!!"

"No, its a handheld that can be played on a TV!!!"

It's simply a device designed to function as both.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

gabzjmm23 on 04 February 2017
Geralt said:

I predict switch will do well the first couple weeks and then itll drop to sub 30k levels. At least the wii u had decent 3rd party support and free online. Switch does not..

I predict sales will be low enough for nintendo to come up with a 3ds successor and switch will sell worse than wii u.

I think 15 million is the maximum the switch well sell. We will see soon!

how could it sell worse than Wii U if you have predicted 15million maximum where as WiiU is less than that.  regardless if there are units that would be sold, i doubt it would be in millions, hundred thousands.  



Miyamotoo on 04 February 2017

I predict it will sell less than Virtual Boy actually. :D