zorg1000 said:
Yes, they will compete in the general sense that every consumer product competes with one another in some form but that does not mean they are in DIRECT competition. Are $300 laptops direct competitors to $1000 Macbooks? What about cheap $100 android tablets, are they competing directly with the $800+ Surface Pro or iPad Pro? Does the $200, 32", 720p TV compete directly with the $1000, 50"+, 4k TV? Do cheap sub-$100 off contract phones compete directly with the flagship Galaxy or iPhone? The answer to all these questions is no, they are similar products but clearly aimed at different demographics just like NX will be to PS/XB. Casual is not a demographic, it's a stupid term that "hardcore" gamers came up with to discredit sales of devices and games that dont cater specifically to them. And again, controller was not the only selling point of Wii, the combination of software+marketing+price+aiming at a demographic that the others were neglecting were huge factors as well, without those things a controller is useless. So yes the Wii Remote was a major factor in the success of Wii but it was not even close to the only major factor. And once again, why does the console need to replicate the sales of Wii to be a success? Japanese & indie developers will be on board, Nintendo has strong relations with these types of developers. As far as Western 3rd parties, there are basically 6 major western publishers, EA, Activision, Ubisoft, Warner, Bethesda, Take Two. Bethesda & Take Two have never supported Nintendo in a meaningful way so not having them doesn't really affect Nintendo. As far as the other 4, they will surely give at least minimal support at the beginning and further support will rely on whether or not their games sell well and are profitable, at the bare minimum it just gets the kid/family friendly titles from them that Nintendo currently gets. So worst case scenario is that Nintendo has a strong software output of Nintendo games+Japanese games+indie games+kid/family friendly games. |
The problem is there aren't these massive different areas of console demographics. Consoles by their nature are a fairly cheap, easy to use product. That's the entire *point* a home video game console from the onset that they are a cheap, dummy-proof alternative to PCs.
Yes, that means Sony and MS too. $299-$349 for an XBox One is not a "luxury" item, Sony/MS are not selling Rolls Royce and Lamborghinis here while Nintendo is some mass market savior offering Honda Civics to people who can't possibly afford such luxury items. Or to your analogy, Nintendo sure as hell is not offering $300 laptops to $1000+ Playstation laptops. At best this will be a $100 difference, as PS4/XB1 will be even cheaper a year from now, let alone two.
This is why a $99 GameCube got beat by both the more expensive PS2 and XBox. Game consoles are *all* cheap relatively, what it comes down then it who is offering the best value, and this is painful for some Nintendo fans to hear, but a PS4 with 10x more games offers far more value than Wii U does even if the PS4 costs a little more upfront. Here's a newsflash ... it ain't just rich folkes buying a PS4 ... it's "broke" college kids, it's households making $40k a year in a run down neighborhood, etc. etc. too.
It's time Nintendo gets its head out of the clouds and realize they're not only in a boxing fight, they're getting their head punched in, and if they don't start swinging back and fighting smart, they are going to get their ass knocked out.
Also I think Nintendo is going to have to accept a painful truth ... the "family console" market doesn't exist in 2015 the way it did in 1985 or 1995. The console market of today is 95% based in North America and Europe (not 50% in Japan) and they are largely purchased either by A) Grown adults or B) Kids who don't want to play Mario Kart but desperately want GTAV for social acceptance in their peer group.
That's just the reality of it. If Nintendo had some firm lock on the kids console market, they would not be in the situation they are in right now. Indie developers aren't going to save Nintendo either because they basically put their games on every console, so that's not a savior for them.
It's time also that more sane people within Nintendo's leadership structure *stepped up* and started making sane decisions in touch with the reality of the market today. Stop living in the 80s/90s. Miyamoto is a brilliant game designer, but he needs to be kept the fuck away from making hardware decisions. You don't let Willy Wonka run the accounting and business side of the chocolate factory.