By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Politics - BREXIT could cost the UK €300 billion

Ka-pi96 said:
StarOcean said:
Not going to pretend I know a whole lot about this issue, as I only know from what I skimmed and then read through the comments. But when will this decision be made? Soon or in 2018? And what is the actual likelihood of UK splitting from the EU?

Well the UK election was today and one of the parties (maybe even both?) promised referendums on it. If they do a referendum it won't be until at least 2016 and then if they chose to leave it would again take awhile to sort it all out, so yeah it's unlikely anything would really happen before 2018. As for the chances of it happening? Really difficult to actually say, probably be similar to the Scottish referendum where who they think will win will go back and forward a bit before the actual vote happens.

Oh ok, thanks for clearing it up a bit for me!



Around the Network
StarOcean said:
Not going to pretend I know a whole lot about this issue, as I only know from what I skimmed and then read through the comments. But when will this decision be made? Soon or in 2018? And what is the actual likelihood of UK splitting from the EU?


Considering Cameron hasn't even won the elections very small, even if he does actually unless the EU is going to pull of crazy stunts on UK and limiting it's grow by giving fines like they did last year. Uncertainty and the need of safety will make sure the UK will not leave the EU as Scotland didn't leave the UK. There are some parties screaming that the UK should leave while majority doesn't want to take the risk. Although if you would conduct referendums across EU countries, about the EU becoming less a big brother towards it states would be a really interesting one. (75% of your laws are made by the EU)



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

That's kind of wacky. Are there serious people wanting them to leave the EU or is it more like the wacky, loud, and usually racist in the USA that want to leave - like how Texas threatens to leave every so often. But nobody takes it seriously.

Or a few years ago, I think it was one of the Carolina's threatened to leave over gay marriage or giving women the right to vote or ending the ownership of other people. Some kind of equal rights thing got them all in a tizzy for a bit. They huffed and puffed, but eventually it died down.

Them leaving the EU would be stupid, IMO. But sometimes stupid people get political power and do bad things.



 

Really not sure I see any point of Consol over PC's since Kinect, Wii and other alternative ways to play have been abandoned. 

Top 50 'most fun' game list coming soon!

 

Tell me a funny joke!

StarOcean said:
Not going to pretend I know a whole lot about this issue, as I only know from what I skimmed and then read through the comments. But when will this decision be made? Soon or in 2018? And what is the actual likelihood of UK splitting from the EU?


Of the main parties:

Conservatives want to renegotiate the terms of the EU and have a referendum on the revised terms in 2017.

Labour don't want any referendum.

Lib Dems don't want any referendum,but haven't ruled it out as part of a Conservative Lib Dem Coalition (they don't look like winning enough seats for this)

The only other party that wants a referendum is UKIP, and they want it in 2015 as terms of any coalition. However, despite having near double the percentage (approx 15%) of votes that the Lib Dems (8%) look likely to get, they'll be lucky to get a single MP meaning no influence whatsoever in our parliament while the Lib Dems would likely get 20-25 from that 8% due to the boundaries and First Past the Post voting system.

 

I'd actually say the chances of a referendum on the EU being on the cards after the results are in tomorrow is about 25%.



RIP Dad 25/11/51 - 13/12/13. You will be missed but never forgotten.

Ka-pi96 said:
Qwark said:
Ka-pi96 said:

Yes please. IMO the sooner we become one giant European super nation the better


Europe is to diverse for thst to be honest, secondly swiss and norway wouldn't join. Neither would any country which doesn't have the Euro. Would you be glad to hand over the profit of the hard earned North Western economies to support the broke corrupted states even further. I don't want to see that happen since that would tore our continent appart even further. The EU must become more of what the EEC was a party for environmental care, economical colobration and control, controling migration and millitary defense nor shouldn't concern itself with every law made in each state it should lose it's big brother's attitude. The EU should set out a few clear lines to which countries need to obey to stay in the Union (rules about corruption, debt etc.).

It's also what UK wants these days 75% of your lws are delgated from EU policy's.

Except that shouldn't really be a problem. If it were to unite in to one country those wouldn't be broke corrupt states any more. Well, ok they would still be corrupt but much less corrupt than they are now.

Also if some countries don't want to join then really that's just their loss, and as for the Euro one of its main issues was it being a single currency being subjected to many different economies and policies this would prevent that as well if it was all one economy sharing the same economic policies.

 

But how much are you prepared to pay for that as a North Western Europe country? Last time I checked Swiss and Norway did better than any EU country on a ridicilous amount of area's economics, healthcare, education and quite arguable immigration. European countries all have their own culture, much more than American states (even though your states do differ). Our nations are pride of the fact thqt they are Dutch, France, German, they see themselves as citizens of a country not as just an European. In a way the strength of the EU comes in it's diversity. take that away and transform it in another US/ Which would make the continent weaker, we complete each other these days and for that each nation needs some of it's own laws.

In an ideal world it could work, but it would make a huge mess of Europe due to all the uncertainties it will bring with it if Europe decides to become a supercontinent. Which industrie will profit from that, which industrie will be torn appart by that, the stock courses would go down damning the superstate. After a while they will recover and become strong but at a huge cultural, economical and industrial cost. I prefer Europe as a whole lot of different countries working together on some aspects and do there own thing (specialize)on other aspects 



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Around the Network
Ka-pi96 said:
Qwark said:
Ka-pi96 said:

Except that shouldn't really be a problem. If it were to unite in to one country those wouldn't be broke corrupt states any more. Well, ok they would still be corrupt but much less corrupt than they are now.

Also if some countries don't want to join then really that's just their loss, and as for the Euro one of its main issues was it being a single currency being subjected to many different economies and policies this would prevent that as well if it was all one economy sharing the same economic policies.

 

But how much are you prepared to pay for that as a North Western Europe country? Last time I checked Swiss and Norway did better than any EU country on a ridicilous amount of area's economics, healthcare, education and quite arguable immigration. European countries all have their own culture, much more than American states (even though your states do differ). Our nations are pride of the fact thqt they are Dutch, France, German, they see themselves as citizens of a country not as just an European. In a way the strength of the EU comes in it's diversity. take that away and transform it in another US/ Which would make the continent weaker, we complete each other these days and for that each nation needs some of it's own laws.

In an ideal world it could work, but it would make a huge mess of Europe due to all the uncertainties it will bring with it if Europe decides to become a supercontinent. Which industrie will profit from that, which industrie will be torn appart by that, the stock courses would go down damning the superstate. After a while they will recover and become strong but at a huge cultural, economical and industrial cost. I prefer Europe as a whole lot of different countries working together on some aspects and do there own thing (specialize)on other aspects 

Why can't they still retain some of their own identity though? I'm thinking more of a federal structure with a similar basis to the UK. So the individual areas are still unique countries in many ways and manage a lot of their own affairs, they just aren't sovereign states anymore.

Many laws are specifically designed for certain countries to make sure it's industrie and economics are strong and sustainable. Let's say we take Germany they make cars lots of them and there are quirte a few laws and delegates laws from that point making sure they can do that the way they see fit. France and Italy also makes cars but does do that differently and they have anotherset of laws for that. Combining all of those laws to one and hand them out is unwanted since everything needs to change. I wouldn't want a superior state to look in everything my country does and make practically all rules. For that instance I like Euro's guidelines makes sure this happens in x years  and you're free to do it your own way. Each country has it ways of doing this and ever had those ways the SuperEU should only give guidelines with deadlines which you have to make. If you do not there will be concequences, this way you retain the uniqueness of eah nation. Yet the EU is perfectly capable for that, but they should lose the directly enforcing European law trough EU members throat even if that certain party doesn't want that law. Keep our nations sovereign it's part of our identity and making them unsovereign would be one hell of a job to do ayways.  



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Ka-pi96 said:
Scoobes said:
Ka-pi96 said:

Yes please. IMO the sooner we become one giant European super nation the better

I honestly never thought I'd see anyone from the UK (or any EU country actually) support that. National identity tends to be quite strong in European countries thanks to the history we all have. The UK especially as we're also physically seperated from the rest of Europe.

Well as they say there's a first time for everything

But yeah, I see myself as European first and British second. Europe as a whole has a strong and proud history so I want what is best for all of us. We would be much stronger as one united Europe (able to compete even with the US and China) than we are as individual countries.

That's actually really refreshing to read.



I personally don't like the EU. I like free trade, and free movement of people. I don't think that Europe represents either of those things. In fact, the EU is one of the most protectionist blocs in the world.

Some earlier posts in this thread said that the EU's financial markets would be much more stable without London. This is laughable, considering the situation with the Greek banks, and the absolutely dire state that Deutsche Bank are in.

British banks, for the most part, are withdrawing from, or reducing their presence in, European markets.



SamuelRSmith said:
I personally don't like the EU. I like free trade, and free movement of people. I don't think that Europe represents either of those things. In fact, the EU is one of the most protectionist blocs in the world.

Some earlier posts in this thread said that the EU's financial markets would be much more stable without London. This is laughable, considering the situation with the Greek banks, and the absolutely dire state that Deutsche Bank are in.

British banks, for the most part, are withdrawing from, or reducing their presence in, European markets.

1. i traveld a lot the last 2 years, without talking to any border guard or paying any fee. just get up, shave, take the bike to the train station, buy a ticket, take the train to paris, or amsterdam, or warsaw.

free trade is a different thing, but less EU will not help. we need more EU for that, if every country has the same taxes, trade will be easyer.

 

and the europea banks could be much better regulated without london. thats a big plus.   and greek isnt such a big problem, the need to renew 400b in debt.

thats not so bad, they dont make much new debt(less than the uk)  and the EU without the UK would stand stronger, with lower ficaldeficit and lower tradedeficit.(and the Eurozone is way better of than the US, there is no new junkrealestate buble in the EU, ther is no tightoil buble in the EU and european students have no debt problem...)



In my opinion the EU has a lot of problems but moest of these problems come from not enough EU. More Eu is needed because most problems come from the countries having a lot of different rules imo