CGI-Quality said:
Landguy said: So many absolutes being used here: 1. It's an absolute that sony announced it sold 18.5 million. - Probably true or accurate. 2. It's an absolute that AMD announced "nearly" 30 million. - Whatever nearly means 3. It's impossible for there only to be 500k consoles on the shelves. - I guess most people have no idea of stocking levels on Jan 1 at most retailers. Based on the reports, you couldn't find a PS4 in europe for 2 weeks after the holidays. 4. XB1 therefore is overtracked. - So, when we add fuzzy math of #2 and minus 1 we can only achieve #3? And people here complain about the accuracy of the numbers on VGchartz? |
Then what's your call? Hard to criticize opinions and barely give one of your own, is it not?
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So I will make up the answer that the XB1 is probably a little overtracked and it should be at 10.6 or 10.7 on Jan 1 of 2015. That is the guess that I came to with the info provided. I of course assumed that the stores are loaded with systems to come to that conclusion.
IF, unlike others, I believe that retail stock levels are nowhere near what they used to be. Almost all retailers keep just a small percentage of stock over what will sell in the next few days or week in their stores nowadays. So, the need to think that there are so many PS4/XB1 units stacked up on Jan.1 isn't too true. But, even though the sample size is small, I did see stock of the XB1 in most stores in the week or so around Jan1. So, I think that the tracking could be spot on(even though that would be a first).
See how there really is no definitive answer? I am inclined to lean towards the second answer...