Wait didn't the X360 make a profit over it's lifetime?

The whole problem with this silly catch up thing. Is that alone, its not enough for the XB1 to sell more. These "predictions" often involve the PS4 selling less.
For example:
With your 32 million XB1, 34 million PS4 by 2016 reasoning why would PS4 only sell 24 million over 2.5 years and the XB1 sell 27 million over the same time period. Why would XB1 suddenly become sell much better and PS4 sell much lower.
Realistically, if the Market Leader drops, that's a sign of the overall sales dropping. Even if the PS4 stops selling that doesn't mean the XB1 will sell more, you said after all gamers have a choice.
Even the last gen which was by all counts the most fair, never had the Wii really declining till the end of its short life time.

The writings on the wall, the quicker you accept it, the faster you can stop worrying about you're console of choices sales, and be more concerned with its Games.

And I realize this is a sales site, but that doesn't mean speculation and flights of fancy make good sales predictions.

Then what about the PS1 and PS2? HECK the PS2 just finally went out of production last year, and the last game released for it was FIFA 14... it got PERSONA 4 in 2008/9 (one of the best JRPGs ever) when the PS3 was already out on the market for 2 years... and the PS2 was still getting exclusives...

and how much was the PS2 selling in those last years? Jut for a reference point, it was at 100 million in 2005 and only sold 55 million in 7 years to the ends of it's production. So yeah, it sold more than 2/3rds of it's sales in less than half of it's life time.

And you continue to avoid any explanation of how you expect this. It's already a 5 million unit gap. How will this happen? In what regions? With what price point/game(s)/strategies?

But what if the Xbox One sells, say, a hundred million, and the PS4 a hundred and twenty? Are you saying that would be more dominant than if the Xbox One sold five million, and the PS4 sold twenty? The larger the install bases get, the less the 'gap' matters, which is why the current numbers are pretty worrisome for Microsoft. They're not just concerned that 'Oh, Sony sold five million more than us.' They're concerned that 'Shit, Sony's selling them twice as fast as us.'

But let's assume that the lower-end console, in this scenario the Xbox One, sells the same as the Xbox 360, 80 million. To reach that 20 million gap, the PS4 only has to outsell it by a ratio of 1.25:1, which is WAY lower than it's been outselling it since launch. So even if at the end of the generation, the Xbox 360 sells 80 million consoles, and the PS4 sells 100 million, then we can say it's dominating, even though it's technically outsold the Xbox One much, much slower than it has this year?

It also brings us back to the last thread you made. When you theorized that the reason the PS4 was selling more was because PS3 owners were more bored with their seventh gen consoles, and Xbox 360 owners were more satisfied. Kind of figure that's why you expect the Xbox One to catch up, you think all the Xbox owners are just so darned happy with their 360s, and all the PS3 owners are desperate for something new. Before I start picking at that, I'd just like to ask if that is still your position, or if you've since changed your mind about that.

Here are some of my reasons, like I said I stated them before, in this thread and this one:http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=189097&page=1