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Forums - Sales Discussion - BOLD & DARING Prediction PS4 WILL go below 100k WW at least one week this year

 

Will this prediction come true?

Yes 125 56.82%
 
No 74 33.64%
 
Phreakin' copy cat! 21 9.55%
 
Total:220

Yep. Who would have thought. I thought the hype would ride it on into the sunset. I blame Japan mostly. Letting it fall like it has. Big games need to come to get this gen out of a huge slump!



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outlawauron said:
NobleTeam360 said:
Looks like a the minority got it right. Anyone who thought it would stay above 100k during the summer months is crazy.

Did we read the same thread? The vast majority, if not all sane, people said "Of course it'll drop below 100k, I wish bold predictions were actually bold".

I was reffering to the poll results, which at the time of that post had less people voting for it will drop below 100k. 



NobleTeam360 said:
outlawauron said:
NobleTeam360 said:
Looks like a the minority got it right. Anyone who thought it would stay above 100k during the summer months is crazy.

Did we read the same thread? The vast majority, if not all sane, people said "Of course it'll drop below 100k, I wish bold predictions were actually bold".

I was reffering to the poll results, which at the time of that post had less people voting for it will drop below 100k. 

I see. I never bother to vote in polls, so the results were not displayed.



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Honestly, the PS4 may never recover in Japan. Home consoles might be as good as dead there.



jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.



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I think it's a tad early to finalize this prediction as right/wrong. I'd say the probability of the PS4 hitting under 100k at least 1 week this year is incredibly high (almost guaranteed in-fact), but we don't know if it's actually happened yet. VGC has the latest two weeks at 99.5k and 96.5k, both of which are incredibly close to 100k. Given the (sometimes rather large) margin for error VGC has with its number, both could very will be above 100k or even lower than they are now.

Regardless to which direction they go, the fact remains that even a small margin of error can put both numbers above 100k. If after adjustments both are still under 100k then we can, for the sake of argument, say it has "officially" fallen below 100k this year.



Clyde32 said:
jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.

I don't understand. watch_dogs on PS4 alone is still above 100k and it'll be one of  the most purchased games this holiday. It's guaranteed top 20 in month of December.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

Taking into account the accuracy (or lack thereof) of VGChartz' numbers over the last couple of months, I think it would be prudent to wait for the NPD Groups figures before commenting upon the accuracy of this prediction.



Clyde32 said:
jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.

still with in margin of error you also have NPD to wait for which have made numerous upwards PS4 adjustments this year

 

compared to how poorly the other 2 consoles are doing one with one of if not biggest exclusive released and the the other which had what was called the next big thing in FPS released aswell as a drop of 100 in price if the PS4 can stay above 85-90k for the next 2 months i would call it a sucess



                                                             

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Clyde32 said:
jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.

Not really funny actually. Watch_Dogs is having great legs so far. No one would have predicted the PS4 version to have outsold MK U by close to 300k so far. If you're really looking for a chuckle though, you can take a look at this week's Wii U sales..