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Forums - Sales - Forbes "Nintendo Is Beating Microsoft In Video Game Hardware Sales" (Uses VGChartz # :D)

You cannot just sum up random numbers, especially if some systems were released many months ago. And if you imagine Zelda OOT and Mario 3D Land on Ipad, and Android, it would sell extremely well given the huge user base of over several 100 million units. Billions of Dollars for Nintendo without any effort would be easily earned.

The only other option they have is releasing an own smart phone but if they don't they will die out slowly since the classic handheld market has no future. In 10 years from now, these devices may not exist anymore.



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outlawauron said:
Zax said:
I thought pretty much everyone outside this site looked down their nose at Vgchartz for the sheer inaccuracies? They only ever get it right once other trustworthy like NPD publish numbers.

Most the time official numbers get released and Vgchartz still wont fix them.

lol, you drinking the kool-aid. VGC info is used by dozens of publishers, developers, and journalists.


And Vgchartz get thgeir numbers from sources that actually are reliable like NPD.



See guys, year head starts are totz legit.



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GamechaserBE said:
prayformojo said:
tripenfall said:
It's a flame baited thread no doubt, but I do seriously believe that the Xbone is going to have a tough time of things. Yes I know Titanfall looks impressive, but that is only one game. Will it sell even half of what the PS4 sells this year?

People hanging their hat on Titfall are ignorant for two reasons. The first one is the idea that one game can put a console on top. False. Halo was bigger than Titanfall will ever be, and the original Xbox finished 130 million consoles behind the PS2. So that's proof one really huge FPS doesn't matter at all. And the second reason why they're ignorant is Titanfall isn't even exclusive lol. So not only is it not nearly as hyped and big as Halo was when it first came out, it's not even exlcusive like Halo was. lol

It'll be a big game and it'll be a great FPS (I'm getting it for 360), but it won't save the Xbone.

Without Halo CE/Halo 2 on the original Xbox the Xbox would have sold way less.  You look way to simple to it, having a few Indie hits on Xbla increased people buying the system, increased the number of devs making a game on Xbla and porting their game over and that again increased the numbers of people buying the system and devs making games for XBLA...

If Titanfall is succesfull in sales and attracting some customers it will affect the sales for years;..


I never said it wouldn't impact sales. I said that it won't put the Xbone on top. Yes, without Halo the original Xbox wouldn't have sold as well as it did. But even WITH Halo, it still came up 130+ short lol. That's my point.



Seece said:
binary solo said:
Seece said:
jlmurph2 said:
So they combined 8th gen and 7th gen consoles...then threw a handheld in for a crutch? Why isn't this just called 3DS>Xbox?


Funny thing is that isn't even the case right now.

3DS is doing 25k~ a week in the US not 40k. Europe is likely similar, and Japan is dropping below 30k.

After Titanfall and release in more countries XB1 should be beating every Nintendo system.

How so? Xb 1 is already selling in all the markets that make up the vast majority of a console's sales. On a long term basis adding another 30 countries will probably lift Xb one weekly sales by about 10-15% above what they are currently. And TF will only have a short term effect. If you'd said after a $100 price cut the claim might be more credible. At least this guy is using actual sales data (albeit estimates with a sizeable MoE) not conjecture about what things will be like in a week's time and beyond.

Besides even if the numbers you're suggesting for 3DS are true, 25+25+30 > 57. So it is still the case right now.

Japan will drop more (unless they intervene) I can't quite believe how much it has dropped already.

XB1 can easily sustain 80k+ a week after Titanfall + more markets.

I don't think so. If it was a true Xb one exclusive (i.e. a very strong incentive for 360 owners to upgrade), and there was a worldwide US$50 equivalent price cut I might agree. Or if this had been halo 5. But TF will do very litte for HW sales after about 3-4 weeks on the market, or at least until the free giveaway bundle runs out. You seem to be buying in to the TF uberhype, which doesn't seem like you.

If we say 55K is the current sustained level of Xb1 sales, then +10% for all remaining markets and +10% for long term TF effect (and most of that +10% will be USA) means 66K is the new baseline. 80K+ requires a global price cut and / or flagship true exclusive i.e. Halo 5. What we will have a bit of an indicator of is the effect of the GBP30 price cut in the UK. If that gives Xb one a long term 3-4K lift then post TF baseline could be 70K once all other markets are in (what's the timeline on that btw for the next 37 markets?). To get to 80K from just TF and selling in most of the minor markets requires a 45% lift in baseline sales, how do you figure TF can achieve a 25-30% lift in baseline? I can see 20% for North America, sure, and perhaps UK too (esp with the official price cut there). But in the rest of the markets, where Xb one is virtually irrelevant right now? Short term boost absolutely, long term effect virtually nil.



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prayformojo said:
GamechaserBE said:
prayformojo said:
tripenfall said:
It's a flame baited thread no doubt, but I do seriously believe that the Xbone is going to have a tough time of things. Yes I know Titanfall looks impressive, but that is only one game. Will it sell even half of what the PS4 sells this year?

People hanging their hat on Titfall are ignorant for two reasons. The first one is the idea that one game can put a console on top. False. Halo was bigger than Titanfall will ever be, and the original Xbox finished 130 million consoles behind the PS2. So that's proof one really huge FPS doesn't matter at all. And the second reason why they're ignorant is Titanfall isn't even exclusive lol. So not only is it not nearly as hyped and big as Halo was when it first came out, it's not even exlcusive like Halo was. lol

It'll be a big game and it'll be a great FPS (I'm getting it for 360), but it won't save the Xbone.

Without Halo CE/Halo 2 on the original Xbox the Xbox would have sold way less.  You look way to simple to it, having a few Indie hits on Xbla increased people buying the system, increased the number of devs making a game on Xbla and porting their game over and that again increased the numbers of people buying the system and devs making games for XBLA...

If Titanfall is succesfull in sales and attracting some customers it will affect the sales for years;..


I never said it wouldn't impact sales. I said that it won't put the Xbone on top. Yes, without Halo the original Xbox wouldn't have sold as well as it did. But even WITH Halo, it still came up 130+ short lol. That's my point.

And my point is that one huge FPS matters,  if Halo CE bombed the Xbox would never sold more than GC and probably would have sold less than 15 or 10 million.   The popularity of Halo CE made MS matter a lot about the online community and attracted other shooters like Doom 3/Far cry/Half life 2 but also many pc games like Morowind because their was a market who love shooters and pc gamers.....And yes it did not made the Xbox sell great but it created the view for the future for Xbox and that is what X360 became a console made and create online community with especially shooters and that made the X360 the king in some markets..      so yeah in my book one FPS topgame can matter a lot... I don't believe Titanfall will influence much but I could eat crow...



binary solo said:
Seece said:
binary solo said:
Seece said:
jlmurph2 said:
So they combined 8th gen and 7th gen consoles...then threw a handheld in for a crutch? Why isn't this just called 3DS>Xbox?


Funny thing is that isn't even the case right now.

3DS is doing 25k~ a week in the US not 40k. Europe is likely similar, and Japan is dropping below 30k.

After Titanfall and release in more countries XB1 should be beating every Nintendo system.

How so? Xb 1 is already selling in all the markets that make up the vast majority of a console's sales. On a long term basis adding another 30 countries will probably lift Xb one weekly sales by about 10-15% above what they are currently. And TF will only have a short term effect. If you'd said after a $100 price cut the claim might be more credible. At least this guy is using actual sales data (albeit estimates with a sizeable MoE) not conjecture about what things will be like in a week's time and beyond.

Besides even if the numbers you're suggesting for 3DS are true, 25+25+30 > 57. So it is still the case right now.

Japan will drop more (unless they intervene) I can't quite believe how much it has dropped already.

XB1 can easily sustain 80k+ a week after Titanfall + more markets.

I don't think so. If it was a true Xb one exclusive (i.e. a very strong incentive for 360 owners to upgrade), and there was a worldwide US$50 equivalent price cut I might agree. Or if this had been halo 5. But TF will do very litte for HW sales after about 3-4 weeks on the market, or at least until the free giveaway bundle runs out. You seem to be buying in to the TF uberhype, which doesn't seem like you.

If we say 55K is the current sustained level of Xb1 sales, then +10% for all remaining markets and +10% for long term TF effect (and most of that +10% will be USA) means 66K is the new baseline. 80K+ requires a global price cut and / or flagship true exclusive i.e. Halo 5. What we will have a bit of an indicator of is the effect of the GBP30 price cut in the UK. If that gives Xb one a long term 3-4K lift then post TF baseline could be 70K once all other markets are in (what's the timeline on that btw for the next 37 markets?). To get to 80K from just TF and selling in most of the minor markets requires a 45% lift in baseline sales, how do you figure TF can achieve a 25-30% lift in baseline? I can see 20% for North America, sure, and perhaps UK too (esp with the official price cut there). But in the rest of the markets, where Xb one is virtually irrelevant right now? Short term boost absolutely, long term effect virtually nil.

Our figures are off. They suggest a rise for WiiU in February but not one for XB1 (actually it's trending down) Feb always sees a rise. XB1 is likely doing 45k in the US alone weekly right now, for a total of 180k in Feb NPD, which is up 40k from Jan which is the same % the other consoles have seen in the past.

I could be proven wrong, but I don't think I will.



 

Bad week to quote VGC with the PS4 just releasing, but good article. WiiU is selling 80% as well as the XB1, and like the XB, both systems do typically benefit from strong US holiday sales.

I just really hope Mario Kart can boost sales. Mario Kart has always been that "killer app" for Nintendo consoles. A new Wii Sports with a retail release would be nice too.



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Now that I think of the total Ninty hardware sales (3ds, Wii U and Wii consoles), I see how there hardware business is really no worse than Microsoft's, and no one says Microsoft should exit the hardware business. I think some people really need to see the cold hard facts of the matter, that is, Nintendo hardware is not doomed like detractors and haters would like everyone to believe.



Ledreppe said:

Now that I think of the total Ninty hardware sales (3ds, Wii U and Wii consoles), I see how there hardware business is really no worse than Microsoft's, and no one says Microsoft should exit the hardware business. I think some people really need to see the cold hard facts of the matter, that is, Nintendo hardware is not doomed like detractors and haters would like everyone to believe.

LOL what? You can't be serious.

Anyway, this is a really really poor way of looking at things. It doesn't take into account profits/losses on that hardware, or software and paywalls ect.

MS are currently much healthier with their gaming business than Nintendo are theirs. The Xbox One has just released and has a future, the WiiU and 3DS are uncertain, they're not responding to Nintendo's interventions and 3DS has already had its peak year.