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Seece on 06 March 2014
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binary solo said:
Seece said:
binary solo said:
Seece said:
jlmurph2 said:
So they combined 8th gen and 7th gen consoles...then threw a handheld in for a crutch? Why isn't this just called 3DS>Xbox?


Funny thing is that isn't even the case right now.

3DS is doing 25k~ a week in the US not 40k. Europe is likely similar, and Japan is dropping below 30k.

After Titanfall and release in more countries XB1 should be beating every Nintendo system.

How so? Xb 1 is already selling in all the markets that make up the vast majority of a console's sales. On a long term basis adding another 30 countries will probably lift Xb one weekly sales by about 10-15% above what they are currently. And TF will only have a short term effect. If you'd said after a $100 price cut the claim might be more credible. At least this guy is using actual sales data (albeit estimates with a sizeable MoE) not conjecture about what things will be like in a week's time and beyond.

Besides even if the numbers you're suggesting for 3DS are true, 25+25+30 > 57. So it is still the case right now.

Japan will drop more (unless they intervene) I can't quite believe how much it has dropped already.

XB1 can easily sustain 80k+ a week after Titanfall + more markets.

I don't think so. If it was a true Xb one exclusive (i.e. a very strong incentive for 360 owners to upgrade), and there was a worldwide US$50 equivalent price cut I might agree. Or if this had been halo 5. But TF will do very litte for HW sales after about 3-4 weeks on the market, or at least until the free giveaway bundle runs out. You seem to be buying in to the TF uberhype, which doesn't seem like you.

If we say 55K is the current sustained level of Xb1 sales, then +10% for all remaining markets and +10% for long term TF effect (and most of that +10% will be USA) means 66K is the new baseline. 80K+ requires a global price cut and / or flagship true exclusive i.e. Halo 5. What we will have a bit of an indicator of is the effect of the GBP30 price cut in the UK. If that gives Xb one a long term 3-4K lift then post TF baseline could be 70K once all other markets are in (what's the timeline on that btw for the next 37 markets?). To get to 80K from just TF and selling in most of the minor markets requires a 45% lift in baseline sales, how do you figure TF can achieve a 25-30% lift in baseline? I can see 20% for North America, sure, and perhaps UK too (esp with the official price cut there). But in the rest of the markets, where Xb one is virtually irrelevant right now? Short term boost absolutely, long term effect virtually nil.

Our figures are off. They suggest a rise for WiiU in February but not one for XB1 (actually it's trending down) Feb always sees a rise. XB1 is likely doing 45k in the US alone weekly right now, for a total of 180k in Feb NPD, which is up 40k from Jan which is the same % the other consoles have seen in the past.

I could be proven wrong, but I don't think I will.