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Forums - Nintendo - 3DS has 11mil+ Sold For 2013! Does Anybody Here Doubt It Cant Do 15mil+ By Years End? O.o

 

What Do you think 3DS will Be around By Years End?

Just Barely Up YoY (14.5mil) 59 19.87%
 
15mil 60 20.20%
 
15.5mil 33 11.11%
 
16mil 54 18.18%
 
16.5mil 22 7.41%
 
17mil 21 7.07%
 
17.5mil 7 2.36%
 
18mil+ 41 13.80%
 
Total:297

Why are you guys giving Lawlight so much flack? He's clearly got insider information.



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3DS sales last year:

Week 1:    643 153 (week of black friday)
Week 2:    594 782 (first week of december)
Week 3:    750 000 (european xmas sales uptake)
Week 4: 1 025 000 (xmas sales in all territories uptake)
Week 5: 1 241 211 (japan new years holiday uptake)
Week 6:    725 008 (last week of december)

3DS this year

Week 1: 1 292 585 (week of black friday)
Week 2: ?
Week 3: ?
Week 4: ?
Week 5: ?
Week 6: ?

I'm pretty sure it will be up YOY:)



acdcste said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:
Lawlight said:
0 chance. It needs to sell 700,00 each week post-Black Friday for that to happen.

Have you seen the front page recently?


Dont be silly. He does not let silly things like facts get in the way of his anti nintendo agenda.


If Nintendo says 10M 3DS sold from Oct to Dec, then I would have lost my bet. Until then - carry on.



Oh come on, nobody would doubt something so obvious....

*Enter Lawlight*



Of course it will.



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Lawlight said:


If Nintendo says 10M 3DS sold from Oct to Dec, then I would have lost my bet. Until then - carry on.

I have a question -- on the first page of the thread, you said, "It needs to sell 700,00 each week post-Black Friday for that to happen." So what I want to know is, if you are strictly interested in Nintendo's official shipment figures, from where did you get this 700k number?



tbone51 said:
kitler53 said:
tbone51 said:
kitler53 said:
i don't really think 3DS is going to make what you think but I also don't think you are playing with right numbers. ioi did a massive adjustment to 3DS numbers in N. America recently going back all the way to MH. my experience collecting VGChartz data and watching adjustments gives me a gut feeling that it will be readjusted back down again. his numbers yo-yo around a lot and currently we are in an "optimistic" phase.


Its not going to make 15mil? you dont think it'll be up YoY? I put 11mil in the op for a reason, we have it actually at 11.8-11.9mil as of Nov 30th. Wat i did was act like it was overtracked by 800k-900k just in case if it were true. So 11mil and it needs 4mil more by years end in 5 weeks, you dont thnk it will easily make that with pokemon/zelda + 2DS and Bundles? Also PDZ releases in japan on the 12th which will be japans biggest holiday game in sales, even beating FFX-X2/LoZ/GE2 with ease!

i dunno for sure.  it's really just a hunch I have from watching the constant re-adjustments our numbers get.  15M is pretty safe probably.  ..but i don't think the 1M a week average for the rest of the year is.  like i said, i think vgchartz numbers are optimistic atm.


I kno these VGC numbers O.o Thats why i want to make sure we dnnt get overexcited! I left it at a mil and im sure 3DS this holidy is doing much much better than lat years. NPD shows that vgc #s  on 3DS have been accurate and japan numbers we get weekly anywa from MC+Fam. Only Europe is hard to tell. If BF numbers are true however (even if overtracked by 100k-200k) it definitely shows that this holiday can avg 1mil a week imo! That 2DS low price point is definitely helping

I guess we'll see soon enough right lol!

yeah, we'll see.  i checked your profile and it said you joined 2012.  not sure if you lurched prior but i think it was 20120 ps3 got a 1M adjustment and 2011 360 got a 1.5M adustment.  sort of jaded since that.    ...if 3ds hits 16M it's pretty save that even with adjustments 15M was reached.



kitler53 said:
tbone51 said:
kitler53 said:
tbone51 said:
kitler53 said:
i don't really think 3DS is going to make what you think but I also don't think you are playing with right numbers. ioi did a massive adjustment to 3DS numbers in N. America recently going back all the way to MH. my experience collecting VGChartz data and watching adjustments gives me a gut feeling that it will be readjusted back down again. his numbers yo-yo around a lot and currently we are in an "optimistic" phase.


Its not going to make 15mil? you dont think it'll be up YoY? I put 11mil in the op for a reason, we have it actually at 11.8-11.9mil as of Nov 30th. Wat i did was act like it was overtracked by 800k-900k just in case if it were true. So 11mil and it needs 4mil more by years end in 5 weeks, you dont thnk it will easily make that with pokemon/zelda + 2DS and Bundles? Also PDZ releases in japan on the 12th which will be japans biggest holiday game in sales, even beating FFX-X2/LoZ/GE2 with ease!

i dunno for sure.  it's really just a hunch I have from watching the constant re-adjustments our numbers get.  15M is pretty safe probably.  ..but i don't think the 1M a week average for the rest of the year is.  like i said, i think vgchartz numbers are optimistic atm.


I kno these VGC numbers O.o Thats why i want to make sure we dnnt get overexcited! I left it at a mil and im sure 3DS this holidy is doing much much better than lat years. NPD shows that vgc #s  on 3DS have been accurate and japan numbers we get weekly anywa from MC+Fam. Only Europe is hard to tell. If BF numbers are true however (even if overtracked by 100k-200k) it definitely shows that this holiday can avg 1mil a week imo! That 2DS low price point is definitely helping

I guess we'll see soon enough right lol!

yeah, we'll see.  i checked your profile and it said you joined 2012.  not sure if you lurched prior but i think it was 20120 ps3 got a 1M adjustment and 2011 360 got a 1.5M adustment.  sort of jaded since that.    ...if 3ds hits 16M it's pretty save that even with adjustments 15M was reached.



yeah somebody mentioned that! Also ps3+x360 not to long ago got major adjustments if i recall, ps3 overtracked by 1.4mil (it was in like 3 different adjustments in the past 2-3 months. Well VGC has it at 11.8mil, i just hope they aint soooo off :-/ I'll keep it in my mind as 11mil so i wont be let down!!!!!



I think 16 million is doable.



the_dengle said:
Lawlight said:


If Nintendo says 10M 3DS sold from Oct to Dec, then I would have lost my bet. Until then - carry on.

I have a question -- on the first page of the thread, you said, "It needs to sell 700,00 each week post-Black Friday for that to happen." So what I want to know is, if you are strictly interested in Nintendo's official shipment figures, from where did you get this 700k number?


That was using vgchartz numbers but if I have to bet, we need official numbers. Don't you agree?