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Forums - Nintendo - 3DS has 11mil+ Sold For 2013! Does Anybody Here Doubt It Cant Do 15mil+ By Years End? O.o

 

What Do you think 3DS will Be around By Years End?

Just Barely Up YoY (14.5mil) 59 19.87%
 
15mil 60 20.20%
 
15.5mil 33 11.11%
 
16mil 54 18.18%
 
16.5mil 22 7.41%
 
17mil 21 7.07%
 
17.5mil 7 2.36%
 
18mil+ 41 13.80%
 
Total:297
kirby007 on 06 December 2013

11.8 +2.1(20th)+1.7(13th)+1(6th and 27th combined)=16.9



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

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EricFabian on 06 December 2013
tbone51 said:
EricFabian said:
it needs to sell 1mil every week of dec, I don`t know. Maybe 14mil


Ummmmm..... Not sure if serious??? Its at 11.8mil here and like i said even if overtracked and its 11mil there are 5 weeks left of the year.

For 14mil it needs 600k Weekly Avg. There is no way in the hell this is happening. If it sold 1mil per week on avg it would put it at 16mil - 17mil by years end!


of course I was not serious. We just need some negativity on 3DS threads.



aikohualda on 06 December 2013
Pavolink said:
aikohualda said:
i doubted tbone for his insane 15 million prediction! i wanna eat a crow!


He predicted 20m.

oh he did??? lol now i feel less bad about myself.... where is that thread anyways! i wanna see my prediction :)



 

Pavolink on 06 December 2013
aikohualda said:
Pavolink said:
aikohualda said:
i doubted tbone for his insane 15 million prediction! i wanna eat a crow!


He predicted 20m.

oh he did??? lol now i feel less bad about myself.... where is that thread anyways! i wanna see my prediction :)


Dunno.

But I remember being between 14-15m



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Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


aikohualda on 06 December 2013
spurgeonryan said:
1 million or more week after black friday. Then 1.5, 2 million or more coming up to Christmas, then 2 million christmas week, then another 1.3-2 million the last week in the month. CLose to 20 million for the year......... Did I add too many weeks in? Lol

I hope not.


how come you didnt buy the mario 3d world for 49.99?



 

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kitler53 on 06 December 2013

i don't really think 3DS is going to make what you think but I also don't think you are playing with right numbers. ioi did a massive adjustment to 3DS numbers in N. America recently going back all the way to MH. my experience collecting VGChartz data and watching adjustments gives me a gut feeling that it will be readjusted back down again. his numbers yo-yo around a lot and currently we are in an "optimistic" phase.



tbone51 on 06 December 2013
kitler53 said:
i don't really think 3DS is going to make what you think but I also don't think you are playing with right numbers. ioi did a massive adjustment to 3DS numbers in N. America recently going back all the way to MH. my experience collecting VGChartz data and watching adjustments gives me a gut feeling that it will be readjusted back down again. his numbers yo-yo around a lot and currently we are in an "optimistic" phase.


Its not going to make 15mil? you dont think it'll be up YoY? I put 11mil in the op for a reason, we have it actually at 11.8-11.9mil as of Nov 30th. Wat i did was act like it was overtracked by 800k-900k just in case if it were true. So 11mil and it needs 4mil more by years end in 5 weeks, you dont thnk it will easily make that with pokemon/zelda + 2DS and Bundles? Also PDZ releases in japan on the 12th which will be japans biggest holiday game in sales, even beating FFX-X2/LoZ/GE2 with ease!



kitler53 on 06 December 2013
tbone51 said:
kitler53 said:
i don't really think 3DS is going to make what you think but I also don't think you are playing with right numbers. ioi did a massive adjustment to 3DS numbers in N. America recently going back all the way to MH. my experience collecting VGChartz data and watching adjustments gives me a gut feeling that it will be readjusted back down again. his numbers yo-yo around a lot and currently we are in an "optimistic" phase.


Its not going to make 15mil? you dont think it'll be up YoY? I put 11mil in the op for a reason, we have it actually at 11.8-11.9mil as of Nov 30th. Wat i did was act like it was overtracked by 800k-900k just in case if it were true. So 11mil and it needs 4mil more by years end in 5 weeks, you dont thnk it will easily make that with pokemon/zelda + 2DS and Bundles? Also PDZ releases in japan on the 12th which will be japans biggest holiday game in sales, even beating FFX-X2/LoZ/GE2 with ease!

i dunno for sure.  it's really just a hunch I have from watching the constant re-adjustments our numbers get.  15M is pretty safe probably.  ..but i don't think the 1M a week average for the rest of the year is.  like i said, i think vgchartz numbers are optimistic atm.



tbone51 on 06 December 2013
kitler53 said:
tbone51 said:
kitler53 said:
i don't really think 3DS is going to make what you think but I also don't think you are playing with right numbers. ioi did a massive adjustment to 3DS numbers in N. America recently going back all the way to MH. my experience collecting VGChartz data and watching adjustments gives me a gut feeling that it will be readjusted back down again. his numbers yo-yo around a lot and currently we are in an "optimistic" phase.


Its not going to make 15mil? you dont think it'll be up YoY? I put 11mil in the op for a reason, we have it actually at 11.8-11.9mil as of Nov 30th. Wat i did was act like it was overtracked by 800k-900k just in case if it were true. So 11mil and it needs 4mil more by years end in 5 weeks, you dont thnk it will easily make that with pokemon/zelda + 2DS and Bundles? Also PDZ releases in japan on the 12th which will be japans biggest holiday game in sales, even beating FFX-X2/LoZ/GE2 with ease!

i dunno for sure.  it's really just a hunch I have from watching the constant re-adjustments our numbers get.  15M is pretty safe probably.  ..but i don't think the 1M a week average for the rest of the year is.  like i said, i think vgchartz numbers are optimistic atm.


I kno these VGC numbers O.o Thats why i want to make sure we dnnt get overexcited! I left it at a mil and im sure 3DS this holidy is doing much much better than lat years. NPD shows that vgc #s  on 3DS have been accurate and japan numbers we get weekly anywa from MC+Fam. Only Europe is hard to tell. If BF numbers are true however (even if overtracked by 100k-200k) it definitely shows that this holiday can avg 1mil a week imo! That 2DS low price point is definitely helping

I guess we'll see soon enough right lol!



benji232 on 06 December 2013
Lawlight said:
benji232 said:

Alrightey, 3month sig bet that it they will have shipped 15M 3DS's in their full fiscal year. Meaning till the end of march. Unless you consider March-Dec a full year lolol...

We'll get the numbers at the end of January 2014 so February to April is better.

Umm, i'm not sure I get what you mean? You can't just combine Q4 2013 with Q1-Q3 2014 and say that's a full year of sales. Our bet would be on the shipments of fiscal year 2014 or vg sales data of 2013. You choose.  



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M