By this time next year how much will each console have sold: Predictions

Zero999

Banned

16,046

4247 posts since 15/04/13

Recent Badges:

Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
Congratulations on Pressing Start! Score your first game in your collection.
Everything's Falling Into Place Add a total of 100 games to your collection.
Pata 100 wall post comments made on gamrConnect.
Right Tool for the Right Tool Score a total of 25 games in your collection.

Zero999 on 05 December 2013

DerNebel said:

Zero999 said:

wii u launch was 970k, how is that 3 times less than ps4's 1.7m launch?

"Plus, the ps4 is almost definitely going to go over 3 million" you expect launch numbers again?

Oh, so the PS4 has launched in Japan already? I wasn't aware of that... The Wii U has launched with about 650k in the west. compared to the PS4 with about 1.8 million, so the Wii U sold about 2.75 times less than the PS4.

lt_dan is a bit optimistic if he thinks that the PS4 is cracking 3 million this week, supply is simply not there for that to happen, but if you think the console won't get to 3 million this december then you're in for a rude awakening.

sony chose not to release in japan to alocate the units to america and europe. had it released in japan too, ps4's numbers would have been the same.

justiceiro

Currently Offline

5,817

1189 posts since 13/09/13

Recent Badges:

10 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 10 years.
Leaving Limbo 100 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.
Open For Business Earned 10 badges.
Congratulations on Pressing Start! Score your first game in your collection.

Currently Playing:

Kirby: Canvas Curse (DS)

justiceiro on 05 December 2013

GdaTyler said:

justiceiro said:
Wiiu: 7.5m
PS4: 15m
X1:9m
psvita: 7m
3DS: 45m

With your predicitions it seems that Vita is discontinued by January and 3DS is discontinued by Q2 2014?

I guess we will have to wait till 2014 and find out than.

"Hardware design isn’t about making the most powerful thing you can.
Today most hardware design is left to other companies, but when you make hardware without taking into account the needs of the eventual software developers, you end up with bloated hardware full of pointless excess. From the outset one must consider design from both a hardware and software perspective."

Gunpei Yoko

DerNebel

Banned

49,013

8866 posts since 30/09/13

Recent Badges:

One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Genocide 5,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
It's a Start Bank a Total of 2,000 VG$.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
One Small 'Splosion Author of 100 forum threads.

DerNebel on 05 December 2013

Zero999 said:

DerNebel said:

Oh, so the PS4 has launched in Japan already? I wasn't aware of that... The Wii U has launched with about 650k in the west. compared to the PS4 with about 1.8 million, so the Wii U sold about 2.75 times less than the PS4.

lt_dan is a bit optimistic if he thinks that the PS4 is cracking 3 million this week, supply is simply not there for that to happen, but if you think the console won't get to 3 million this december then you're in for a rude awakening.

sony chose not to release in japan to alocate the units to america and europe. had it released in japan too, ps4's numbers would have been the same.

That can't be said like that. Nintendo stretched the Wii U launch over 3 weeks, we don't know how much stock Sony would have had available for Japan if they'd done the same thing. They could have allocated their whole Black Friday stock to Japan for example. Fact is the PS4s launch numbers are what they are because of limited stock, which was something the Wii U never experienced, so the whole launch comparison is kinda mute.

lt_dan_27

Currently Offline

2,426

689 posts since 06/08/12

Recent Badges:

10 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 10 years.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.
9 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 9 years.
3 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 3 years.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.

lt_dan_27 on 05 December 2013

Zero999 said:

DerNebel said:

Zero999 said:

wii u launch was 970k, how is that 3 times less than ps4's 1.7m launch?

"Plus, the ps4 is almost definitely going to go over 3 million" you expect launch numbers again?

Oh, so the PS4 has launched in Japan already? I wasn't aware of that... The Wii U has launched with about 650k in the west. compared to the PS4 with about 1.8 million, so the Wii U sold about 2.75 times less than the PS4.

lt_dan is a bit optimistic if he thinks that the PS4 is cracking 3 million this week, supply is simply not there for that to happen, but if you think the console won't get to 3 million this december then you're in for a rude awakening.

sony chose not to release in japan to alocate the units to america and europe. had it released in japan too, ps4's numbers would have been the same.

The WiiU launched with a little over 500k in the west based on what I'm seeing, so yes, the ps4 sold about 3 times as well. You're also ignoring the fact that the Lost all demand after the initial few weeks of supply. While sony if showing a very high demand. So that means, no matter where it releases, it's going to sell the units that there is a demand for. Whether it be at launch, or 2 months later. And on top of this, you have been deverting from the main subject of your rediculous prediction of 20million for the wiiU. I predict the ps4 will surpass the wiiU in sales by the end of January at the latest, and the xbox one will do so by the end of February.
@derneberl. I don't think the ps4 is going to sell 3 million by the end of this week. I'd expect 2.5 probably. I was trying to make a statement about the demand for the console.

Seece

Currently Offline

309,578

30066 posts since 07/02/08

Recent Badges:

The High Flyer Earned 40 badges.
Place Your Bets Now Enter 10 Prediction League events.
Gaming Engineer 100 games added to the VGChartz database.
Talk of the Town 1,000 wall posts made on gamrConnect.
God Of VGC 10,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.

Currently Playing:

Pokémon Sword / Shield (NS)
Pokémon Trading Card Game Online (PC)
Mortal Kombat 11 (XOne)

Seece on 05 December 2013

Zero999 said:

DerNebel said:

Zero999 said:

wii u launch was 970k, how is that 3 times less than ps4's 1.7m launch?

"Plus, the ps4 is almost definitely going to go over 3 million" you expect launch numbers again?

Oh, so the PS4 has launched in Japan already? I wasn't aware of that... The Wii U has launched with about 650k in the west. compared to the PS4 with about 1.8 million, so the Wii U sold about 2.75 times less than the PS4.

lt_dan is a bit optimistic if he thinks that the PS4 is cracking 3 million this week, supply is simply not there for that to happen, but if you think the console won't get to 3 million this december then you're in for a rude awakening.

sony chose not to release in japan to alocate the units to america and europe. had it released in japan too, ps4's numbers would have been the same.

What do you make of this weeks numbers?

EdHieron

Currently Offline

6,042

733 posts since 12/06/11

Recent Badges:

2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.
Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
Leaving Limbo 100 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
10 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 10 years.

EdHieron on 05 December 2013

Playstation 4 -- 10 Million
Wii U -- 9 Million
XOne -- 8 Million

3DS 52.5 Million
PSV 12.5 Million

Zero999

Banned

16,046

4247 posts since 15/04/13

Recent Badges:

First Rung Of The Ladder Earned 10,000 gamrPoints
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
Spreading the Disease Score a total of 50 games in your collection.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
50 in One Add a total of 50 games to your collection.
Everything's Falling Into Place Add a total of 100 games to your collection.

Zero999 on 05 December 2013

DerNebel said:

Zero999 said:

DerNebel said:

Oh, so the PS4 has launched in Japan already? I wasn't aware of that... The Wii U has launched with about 650k in the west. compared to the PS4 with about 1.8 million, so the Wii U sold about 2.75 times less than the PS4.

lt_dan is a bit optimistic if he thinks that the PS4 is cracking 3 million this week, supply is simply not there for that to happen, but if you think the console won't get to 3 million this december then you're in for a rude awakening.

sony chose not to release in japan to alocate the units to america and europe. had it released in japan too, ps4's numbers would have been the same.

That can't be said like that. Nintendo stretched the Wii U launch over 3 weeks, we don't know how much stock Sony would have had available for Japan if they'd done the same thing. They could have allocated their whole Black Friday stock to Japan for example. Fact is the PS4s launch numbers are what they are because of limited stock, which was something the Wii U never experienced, so the whole launch comparison is kinda mute.

so basically, the same total numbers we have now.

DerNebel

Banned

49,013

8866 posts since 30/09/13

Recent Badges:

Pata 100 wall post comments made on gamrConnect.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Congratulations on Pressing Start! Score your first game in your collection.

DerNebel on 05 December 2013

Zero999 said:

DerNebel said:

That can't be said like that. Nintendo stretched the Wii U launch over 3 weeks, we don't know how much stock Sony would have had available for Japan if they'd done the same thing. They could have allocated their whole Black Friday stock to Japan for example. Fact is the PS4s launch numbers are what they are because of limited stock, which was something the Wii U never experienced, so the whole launch comparison is kinda mute.

so basically, the same total numbers we have now.

Well basically all PS4s we have sold till now could hypothetically be counted as launch sales, if in that scenario all PS4s that were shipped to NA after launch, would instead be shipped to Japan for the launch over there, if that's what you mean by "same total numbers", then yeah you're right.

Like I said though it doesn't really matter, the limiting factor for the launch of those consoles was supply not demand, even the Wii U sold out in it's first week, kinda forgot that, my bad.

The simple fact that it just wasn't difficult to find a Wii U last december shows though how much lower the demand for it was in comparison to the PS4, since it will be very difficult to get one of those this christmas.