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Forums - Nintendo - Mario 3D World sales predictions

zorg1000 on 02 October 2013
fatslob-:O said:
zorg1000 said:
fatslob-:O said:
8-10mil ? I don't know buddy but I think it could pull off 5 mil.


My prediction may be a bit high but I like to stay optimistic. I think 5m is pretty low tho, Sunshine on Gamecube did 6.3m so Wii U would have to sell like 15m lifetime for 3D World to sell that low.

Your forgetting one thing though, it's doing worse than gamecube in the same time frame. I am not joking and I hope your hearing me right. 

I know it is currently but I see a decent sized turnaround for Wii U coming, I think it can do about 40m lifetime so im basing my 3D World prediction off of that number. Do u see Wii U continuing to sell worse than Gamecube?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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JoeTheBro on 02 October 2013

Lifetime, oh 12 million or so. That trailer pumped me up!

End of year, I'd say 3 million.



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fatslob-:O on 02 October 2013
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
zorg1000 said:
Mythmaker1 said:

I find these kind of prediction threads a bit pointless. I've got nothing against predicting lifetime sales, but not only are there a multitude of unknowns, but these kind of things take forever to pan out. First-week, first-month, even first-year seems reasonable, but by the time sales flat-line, most people will probably have forgotten about their predictions here.

With that said, I'll still predict...

6 million. Max.


Ya I guess they are a bit pointless but its just for fun. I like seeing the differences in opinions and possibly some nice discussions.


Not so much the threads themselves as their quantity. And some people taking these sort of threads too seriously.

My only problem with predicting this game is that there's not a whole lot known right now, and the Wii U is a little too uncertain for me to be entirely confident about my prediction.

Hint: The WII U is selling worse than the gamecube as of now. I hope that helped re-evaluate your prediction.

I'm aware. But at the same time, the Gamecube came out over a decade ago. Direct comparisons between consoles so far-removed are troublesome, at best.

Hint: The WII U is still more expensive than gamecube at the time even with inflation accounted for plus this economy is shit so don't expect it to be nice towards to what looks like a dreamcast 2.0 or gamecube HD.



fatslob-:O on 02 October 2013
zorg1000 said:
fatslob-:O said:
zorg1000 said:
fatslob-:O said:
8-10mil ? I don't know buddy but I think it could pull off 5 mil.


My prediction may be a bit high but I like to stay optimistic. I think 5m is pretty low tho, Sunshine on Gamecube did 6.3m so Wii U would have to sell like 15m lifetime for 3D World to sell that low.

Your forgetting one thing though, it's doing worse than gamecube in the same time frame. I am not joking and I hope your hearing me right. 

I know it is currently but I see a decent sized turnaround for Wii U coming, I think it can do about 40m lifetime so im basing my 3D World prediction off of that number. Do u see Wii U continuing to sell worse than Gamecube?

The WII U as of now needs to drop that controller and start doing something on the lines of a VITA TV like NOW! to be able to reach 40mil. 



Mythmaker1 on 02 October 2013
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:

Hint: The WII U is selling worse than the gamecube as of now. I hope that helped re-evaluate your prediction.

I'm aware. But at the same time, the Gamecube came out over a decade ago. Direct comparisons between consoles so far-removed are troublesome, at best.

Hint: The WII U is still more expensive than gamecube at the time even with inflation accounted for plus this economy is shit so don't expect it to be nice towards to what looks like a dreamcast 2.0 or gamecube HD.

If it was a matter of simple economics, that might be the case. However, there is more at play than a simple numbers game. The console industry has undergone a massive shift over the past 10 years, and many of the factors that led to the Gamecube's underwhelming performance don't apply here.

Also, I'm not overly fond of your patronizing tone. It's childish, it's uncalled for, and it's rude.



I believe in honesty, civility, generosity, practicality, and impartiality.

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~kao on 02 October 2013
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
zorg1000 said:
Mythmaker1 said:

I find these kind of prediction threads a bit pointless. I've got nothing against predicting lifetime sales, but not only are there a multitude of unknowns, but these kind of things take forever to pan out. First-week, first-month, even first-year seems reasonable, but by the time sales flat-line, most people will probably have forgotten about their predictions here.

With that said, I'll still predict...

6 million. Max.


Ya I guess they are a bit pointless but its just for fun. I like seeing the differences in opinions and possibly some nice discussions.


Not so much the threads themselves as their quantity. And some people taking these sort of threads too seriously.

My only problem with predicting this game is that there's not a whole lot known right now, and the Wii U is a little too uncertain for me to be entirely confident about my prediction.

Hint: The WII U is selling worse than the gamecube as of now. I hope that helped re-evaluate your prediction.

I'm aware. But at the same time, the Gamecube came out over a decade ago. Direct comparisons between consoles so far-removed are troublesome, at best.

Hint: The WII U is still more expensive than gamecube at the time even with inflation accounted for plus this economy is shit so don't expect it to be nice towards to what looks like a dreamcast 2.0 or gamecube HD.

Hint: Ps3 and Xbox 360 sold about 5 mill consoles on its first year, not really that far from what Wii U is now

and certainly in that time no one was complaining about how little was, but oh, the important thing is to doom nintendo

 

Pd: I am aware that the wiiu need to sell more, but the wiiu "apocalyptic" attitude is just awful

 

Pd2: Oh, for me this game is having 4-12 mill sells, even more if the console owners grow in number



Ultravolt on 02 October 2013

I think 8-10 million. 



   

fatslob-:O on 02 October 2013
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:

Hint: The WII U is selling worse than the gamecube as of now. I hope that helped re-evaluate your prediction.

I'm aware. But at the same time, the Gamecube came out over a decade ago. Direct comparisons between consoles so far-removed are troublesome, at best.

Hint: The WII U is still more expensive than gamecube at the time even with inflation accounted for plus this economy is shit so don't expect it to be nice towards to what looks like a dreamcast 2.0 or gamecube HD.

If it was a matter of simple economics, that might be the case. However, there is more at play than a simple numbers game. The console industry has undergone a massive shift over the past 10 years, and many of the factors that led to the Gamecube's underwhelming performance don't apply here.

Also, I'm not overly fond of your patronizing tone.

The console industry hasn't changed a whole lot, it will always be the games that sell the hardware and the WII U hasn't proven anything so far like the WII did. Your overcomplicating the factors when the simple answer is that nintendo opted for red ocean instead of blue ocean. BTW I despise the shit out of gamecube and dreamcast together since their god awful consoles that nobody would own seeing as how everbody voted the PS2 with their wallets and if those consoles were good then why on earth did they get rejected so harshly ? 



zorg1000 on 02 October 2013
fatslob-:O said:
zorg1000 said:
fatslob-:O said:
zorg1000 said:
fatslob-:O said:
8-10mil ? I don't know buddy but I think it could pull off 5 mil.


My prediction may be a bit high but I like to stay optimistic. I think 5m is pretty low tho, Sunshine on Gamecube did 6.3m so Wii U would have to sell like 15m lifetime for 3D World to sell that low.

Your forgetting one thing though, it's doing worse than gamecube in the same time frame. I am not joking and I hope your hearing me right. 

I know it is currently but I see a decent sized turnaround for Wii U coming, I think it can do about 40m lifetime so im basing my 3D World prediction off of that number. Do u see Wii U continuing to sell worse than Gamecube?

The WII U as of now needs to drop that controller and start doing something on the lines of a VITA TV like NOW! to be able to reach 40mil. 

Nah they should keep the controller, maybe bundle an addition Motion Plus with it. But it should have a decent boost this holiday, they seem to be aiming towards families pretty hard which is a good idea.

Next year should be strong with a huge game each quarter. Q1-Donkey Kong, Q2-Mario Kart, Q3-Smash Bros, Q4-Zelda. If they have a lineup like that and games like Yoshi, Bayonetta, X, SMTxFE, 3rd Sonic exclusive and Wii Sports Club retail version mixed in between then Wii U has potential to sell over 10m in 2014.

Price cut to $199 in 2015 and release games like Paper Mario, Kirby, Metroid, Animal Crossing, Mario Party, Star Fox, F-Zero, Pokemon, sequels of 2012-2014 games can provide sustained sales thru 2016.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 on 02 October 2013
~kao said:
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
zorg1000 said:
Mythmaker1 said:

I find these kind of prediction threads a bit pointless. I've got nothing against predicting lifetime sales, but not only are there a multitude of unknowns, but these kind of things take forever to pan out. First-week, first-month, even first-year seems reasonable, but by the time sales flat-line, most people will probably have forgotten about their predictions here.

With that said, I'll still predict...

6 million. Max.


Ya I guess they are a bit pointless but its just for fun. I like seeing the differences in opinions and possibly some nice discussions.


Not so much the threads themselves as their quantity. And some people taking these sort of threads too seriously.

My only problem with predicting this game is that there's not a whole lot known right now, and the Wii U is a little too uncertain for me to be entirely confident about my prediction.

Hint: The WII U is selling worse than the gamecube as of now. I hope that helped re-evaluate your prediction.

I'm aware. But at the same time, the Gamecube came out over a decade ago. Direct comparisons between consoles so far-removed are troublesome, at best.

Hint: The WII U is still more expensive than gamecube at the time even with inflation accounted for plus this economy is shit so don't expect it to be nice towards to what looks like a dreamcast 2.0 or gamecube HD.

Hint: Ps3 and Xbox 360 sold about 5 mill consoles on its first year, not really that far from what Wii U is now

and certainly in that time no one was complaining about how little was, but oh, the important thing is to doom nintendo

 

Pd: I am aware that the wiiu need to sell more, but the wiiu "apocalyptic" attitude is just awful

 

Pd2: Oh, for me this game is having 4-12 mill sells, even more if the console owners grow in number


4-12m? Might as well as said between zero and infinity lol be more specific



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.