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Forums - Nintendo - Mario 3D World sales predictions

AshKetchum1992 on 02 October 2013

7.5 - 8.5 million, it will have very long legs like most nintendo games



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fatslob-:O on 02 October 2013
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:
Mythmaker1 said:
fatslob-:O said:

The console industry hasn't changed a whole lot, it will always be the games that sell the hardware and the WII U hasn't proven anything so far like the WII did. Your overcomplicating the factors when the simple answer is that nintendo opted for red ocean instead of blue ocean. BTW I despise the shit out of gamecube and dreamcast together since their god awful consoles that nobody would own seeing as how everbody voted the PS2 with their wallets and if those consoles were good then why on earth did they get rejected so harshly ? 

You only need to look at the relative install-bases to see how much has changed; when exactly did Microsoft reach near-parity with Sony? For that matter, when did touch-screens and motion controls become standard features in virtually every console now on the market? When did online console gaming, and everything that came of it, rise to prominence? When did the ability to control your TV and video-conference using a gaming console become selling points? These are all big changes that have taken place over the past 10 years.

And the reason for the woes of the Gamecube and Dreamcast are well-known, and only circumstantially similar to the Wii U. Some issues remain the same, but not for the same reasons, and many of the same factors still apply, but don't matter. And while there are obviously similarities, it's far from 1:1.

The reason why microsoft succeeded in getting a huge slice was how sony screwed up with the PS3. Motion controls are far from the standard seeing as how all next gen consoles use an average gamepad. Online gaming came into focus because consoles decided to be more like PC's. The ability to do other things than non gaming were never selling points cause otherwise bluray would have taken off with the PS3 LOL. These changes are mostly meaningless except for the fact that the HD twins keep leaching off from PC gaming while nintendo keeps pulling off another gamecube. 

The reason why they failed had to do with how thhey didn't disrupt the market like the wii did so yeah alot of the factors apply to all of these next gen consoles.

One-line dismissals backed up by vague opinions and generalizations. And a final line that contradicts the idea of the rest of the post. 

You can stop bothering me now. You're contributing nothing of substance.

Opinions and generalizations ? Really ?! Then I guess you can't accept those facts! The fact is nintendo pulled another gamecube but apparently you can't see that. I would really hate to be that blind smh. BTW nintendo also decided to become more like the HD twins just so you know. So what have you bought to the disscusion that was insightful and explain to me why I can't apply the same situation to wii u because saying that it doesn't isn't very elaborative on your part now is it ? 



the_dengle on 02 October 2013
fatslob-:O said:

Hint: The WII U is selling worse than the gamecube as of now. I hope that helped re-evaluate your prediction.

Thank you for bringing this to our attention, I might have made the mistake of saying about 7 million, but now I must reconsider.

I will adjust my prediction accordingly... upwards to 15 million. Get mad.



fatslob-:O on 02 October 2013
zorg1000 said:
fatslob-:O said:

Wii Party, Wii Fit, Wii Sports, Wii Karaoke, 4-player Mario..........very family oriented

Well Wii U Is $100-200 cheaper than PS4/One and thats with a game+free online so its more like $200-300 cheaper so id say alot of people will see the value. And the typical consumer wont care that Wii U had a lousy first year. Somebody who is a fan of Mario/Donkey Kong/Zelda/Mario Kart/Smash Bros isnt going to skip buying a Wii U in 2014 because it had a drought in 2013.

Except for one thing, those games won't have any affect seeing as how the WII U lost every new audience they gained from the WII if only nintendo would accept the fact that gamecube was a failure and that they thrive in blue ocean then it would be different. 2D mario is family oriented otherwise why didn't 3D mario do the same god damn thing ?! It doesn't matter if the WII U is cheaper or not seeing as how PS4/X1 will have the games to justify their prices. 

They lost every new audience? What do u have to backup those claims?

I have no idea what ur trying to say with ur 2D/3D Mario comparison

Are u implying thay Wii U wont have the games to justify a purchase this holiday and next year?

The fact that the WII U is doing horrible compared to the same time frame that the wii did. Do you know why the wii was successful at the beginning because nintendo sure don't seem to understand LOL or anyone here for that matter other than rolstoppable or sean malstrom and the others. The wii u will have games to justify it's purchase but your forgetting the fact that nintendo went red ocean with a bunch of sharks where sony and microsoft are the biggest predators. 



fatslob-:O on 02 October 2013
the_dengle said:
fatslob-:O said:

Hint: The WII U is selling worse than the gamecube as of now. I hope that helped re-evaluate your prediction.

Thank you for bringing this to our attention, I might have made the mistake of saying about 7 million, but now I must reconsider.

I will adjust my prediction accordingly... upwards to 15 million. Get mad.

Facts hurt huh ?  I guess I should be throwing it more out there to show that nintendo and it's followers are clueless. 

~ Mod edit ~

This user was moderated by TruckOSaurus for this post



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zorg1000 on 02 October 2013
WagnerPaiva said:
2 to 3 million, with a increase of 0,5 to 1 million on the install base


I know everyone is entitled to there opinion but this is one of the most absurd predictions I have ever seen. Wii U would have to sell under 10m lifetime for this game to sell so low.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

DietSoap on 02 October 2013
fatslob-:O said:
BTW Both the PS360 sold 6mil in it's first year considering the fact that they were expensive as hell. If the WII U can't pull off 5 mil this year then that's pretty pathetic.

Where are you getting the 5 million figure? Assuming we're going from November 2005 - November 2006 for 360, it's about 6 million, and November 2006 - November 2007 for PS3 was closer to 7 million (despite only having 8 months in Europe rather than a full year at that point.)



fatslob-:O on 02 October 2013
DietSoap said:
fatslob-:O said:
BTW Both the PS360 sold 6mil in it's first year considering the fact that they were expensive as hell. If the WII U can't pull off 5 mil this year then that's pretty pathetic.

Where are you getting the 5 million figure? Assuming we're going from November 2005 - November 2006 for 360, it's about 6 million, and November 2006 - November 2007 for PS3 was closer to 7 million (despite only having 8 months in Europe rather than a full year at that point.)

The gamecube did under 5 mil with a full year and since the wii u is doing worse than gamecube I'm going to aim lower. 



forethought14 on 02 October 2013

Wii U is no Wii, and with Wii's sales, the Galaxy 1 went over 10 million. It could do 5 million, or even 6 million. Going more than that is pushing it, unless Wii U sales suddenly explode out of control! O_o



Cj2i3 on 02 October 2013

5 million